Houston Texans
(34) Jayden Higgins WR Iowa St.
(48) Aireontae Ersery OT Minnesota
(79) Jaylin Noel WR Iowa St.
(97) Jaylin Smith CB USC
(116) Woody Marks RB USC
(187) Jaylen Reed S Penn St.
(197) Graham Mertz QB Florida
(224) Kyonte Hamilton DT Rutgers
(255) Luke Lachey TE Iowa
Immediate Impact: WR Jayden Higgins, OT Aireontae Ersery
The team lost Tank Dell to a gruesome knee injury late in the year and so they really shouldn’t expect him back this next season. They drafted Higgins to be the outside WR opposite Nico Collins and he should be an excellent addition. OT Aireontae Ersery was a mid-second round pick who has a legitimate chance to start at LT. Cam Robinson is a stopgap at best and Ersery has plenty of upside. He’s a massive human being who has athleticism you wouldn’t expect out of man his size; he wins the job over Robinson in camp.
Best Value: WR Jaylin Noel
I should probably give this to Ersery and if he proves me right and wins the starting LT job it really is him. A starting LT at 48th overall is great value. However, Noel was an absolute steal in round three. I doubt the Texans had planned on drafting both Iowa St. WRs but when he was still on the board at 79, they couldn’t pass him up. The team traded for Christian Kirk so Noel won’t be an immediate starter but if he ends up playing more than Kirk, that’s not going to be surprising.
Sleeper: TE Luke Lachey
The top two TEs on the depth chart are Dalton Schultz and Brevin Jordan, neither of whom have guaranteed money on their contracts past this season. The team took Cade Stover in the 2024 draft but Lachey offers more upside as a receiver. He had a tough year at Iowa coming off an injury, adjusting to a new offense, and dealing with some bad QB play, but Lachey has talent. It won’t happen immediately unless there are some injuries but he’s a worthwhile bet in round seven.
Overall Analysis
The Texans traded out of round one to allow the Giants to move up to get QB Jaxson Dart and while they didn’t get a big haul of picks, they got some value. Both Iowa St. WRs give them help at WR even if it didn’t seem like a glaring need. They have a lot of bodies at the position but both Higgins and Noel are well positioned to get playing time. John Metchie III and Christian Kirk are penciled in as starters and neither one of them is a guarantee. Ersery was arguably the last viable starting LT option on the board and they needed a guy who can beat out Cam Robinson, Ersery will.
The next two picks were a bit odd and were probably reaches where they were taken. Jaylin Smith is an undersized CB who is likely a nickel and the Texans already have Jalen Pitre and CJ Gardner-Johnson who can play that position. Not sure Smith was so good you needed to take him in round three. RB Woody Marks is a solid back and good pass catcher but they traded up for him in round four, he wasn’t that highly regarded. S Jaylen Reed is a solid prospect but he’s going to find it hard to make this roster at safety, they’re deep there.
QB Graham Mertz was also a questionable pick. This team has CJ Stroud entrenched at QB with Davis Mills seemingly entrenched as his backup. They have Kedon Slovis, who they drafted last year, as a developmental QB and I don’t think Mertz is an upgrade there. Strange choice. DT Kyonte Hamilton may have been a late round pick but the DT spot isn’t overly impressive so he could stick around. Lachey has plenty of potential.
Nitpick or Concern: I have a few. This was an interesting draft in the fact that every pick the Texans made was traded at some point. Up or down, GM Nick Caserio didn’t sit still. The middle round picks of Jaylin Smith and Woody Marks were questionable at best. Smith will find playing time hard to come by on this roster. Marks can find a role behind Joe Mixon because Mixon isn’t a pass catcher, but there were better RBs on the board; Jarquez Hunter, Dylan Sampson, Jordan James, and Jaydon Blue were literally the next four RBs off the board. Also, while they were taking guys like Smith and Marks, there were DTs like Deone Walker, Ty Robinson, CJ West, and Jordan Farmer on the board. They had a bigger need at DT than at nickel and those guys would have helped.
Indianapolis Colts
(14) Tyler Warren TE Penn St.
(45) JT Tuimoloau DE Ohio St.
(80) Justin Walley CB Minnesota
(127) Jalen Travis OT Iowa St.
(151) DJ Giddens RB Kansas St.
(189) Riley Leonard QB Notre Dame
(190) Tim Smith DT Alabama
(232) Hunter Wohler S Wisconsin
Immediate Impact: TE Tyler Warren
The Colts have a huge need at TE and Warren is a guy who can fill it. He has the all-around game every team hopes to find at TE. He isn’t an elite blocker but he can get the job done and he’s probably an upgrade over the guys they have. If the Colts figure out the QB situation with a suitable solution, whether it’s Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones, Warren can be an additive piece to the offense.
Best Value: RB DJ Giddens
The RB room is getting a little crowed after the team signed Khalil Herbert and drafted DJ Giddens to join starter Jonathan Taylor and backup Tyler Goodson. They probably didn’t need Giddens but he was too good to pass up in round five. He’s a good RB who brings value in the passing game and he might make Goodson expendable.
Sleeper: OT Jalen Travis
RT Braden Smith is in the last year of his contract and is 29 years old. LT Bernhard Raimann is an emerging talent that they are going to want to secure into the future with a new deal. They probably won’t want to pay to keep Smith and Travis has starter potential. He needs some development but he’s 6’8 339 lbs. and you can’t teach that kind of size. He can be the swing tackle this year with the upside to be the starting RT next year.
Overall Analysis
TE Tyler Warren going to the Colts was one of the most mocked picks leading up to the draft and it came true for a reason. The Colts needed a real TE and they got one. DE JT Tuimoloau is such a Colts type of DE I can’t believe more people didn’t put it together. They collect big, physical DEs with high floors but low pass rush ceilings like it’s their job. Tuimoloau isn’t going to blow anyone away with his pass rush but he is going to be a very reliable defender on the edge. CB Justin Walley felt a little early in round three.
OT Jalen Travis and RB DJ Giddens were good value picks who can contribute to this team, it just might not be this year unless injuries strike. QB Riley Leonard is a nice idea if you think a team would put together a package to use his running ability but this team has Anthony Richardson or Daniel Jones at QB, those guys are already runners. You could assume they just wanted a QB with a similar skill set as the QB3 but that’s giving Leonard a lot of credit, he’s not that good of a passer.
DT Tim Smith is a solid interior defensive lineman from Alabama who isn’t going to blow you away physically but is going to be solid. The DT group isn’t deep so he could stick on this roster. S Hunter Wohler is a size, speed guy that is a Chris Ballard special, maybe he sticks on special teams.
Nitpick or Concern: It’s not that I don’t like JT Tuimoloau but they could have had an edge rusher with more juice like Mike Green or Nic Scourton at that pick. Couple that with the underwhelming Justin Walley in round three and those picks could have had more impact. They also passed on CB Will Johnson in round two and that could come back to haunt them.
Jacksonville Jaguars
(2) Travis Hunter CB/WR Colorado
(88) Caleb Ransaw CB Tulane
(89) Wyatt Milum OT West Virginia
(104) Bhayshul Tuten RB Virginia Tech
(107) Jack Kiser LB Notre Dame
(194) Jalen McLeod LB Auburn
(200) Rayuan Lane III S Navy
(221) Jonah Monheim OL USC
(236) LeQuint Allen RB Syracuse
Immediate Impact: CB/WR Travis Hunter, CB Caleb Ransaw
The Jaguars have spoken about Hunter playing both ways and he fits well on offense where they need a complement to Brian Thomas Jr. Hunter gives them more dynamic playmaking than free agent Dyami Brown or last year’s free agent bust Gabe Davis. On defense they have Tyson Campbell as their CB1 but Hunter will rotate in with Jarrian Jones at the other outside spot. Caleb Ransaw is quietly a pretty good nickel prospect. The Jaguars signed Jourdan Lewis to a big deal to come over from the Cowboys but Lewis is past his prime. I think Ransaw gives them someone who can play that spot even better.
Best Value: RB Bhayshul Tuten
Tuten has a lot of burst coming out of the backfield and can be a real playmaker for this team. Travis Etienne and Tank Bigsby haven’t exactly been lighting it up and Tuten gives them a more dynamic player. As a fourth-round pick he was good value because he very well could unseat Etienne as the starter at some point, maybe even early in the season.
Sleeper: OL Jonah Monheim
The Jags have Robert Hainsey and Luke Fortner at center right now and they could use an upgrade. Monheim played OT at USC but has some positional flexibility and might end up the best center of the three. He’s going to get a chance to develop at the position and he may become the long-term solution there.
Overall Analysis
The Jaguars made the big trade early in round one to move up and take Travis Hunter second overall. They gave up the fifth pick, their second-round pick, and a first next year. That may seem like a lot to only move up three picks but Hunter might be two players, he’s at least one and half. They needed someone to give them some playmaking at WR opposite Thomas, Hunter does that. They also need another outside CB opposite Tyson Campbell, Hunter does that too. He also just simply ups the excitement level about the Jaguars overall. It’s a strong move by first time GM James Gladstone.
Not having a second-round pick would normally hurt the overall haul but if Hunter plays two positions well, that’s moot. CB Caleb Ransaw is a solid pick to also help them at the nickel. OL Wyatt Milum has some position versatility because he was an OT in college who likely moves to guard. He could be an OT in a pinch and they need depth. Tuten was a good pick and the only issue they may have with him is that he fumbles too much.
Jack Kiser and Jalen McLeod are depth pieces at LB for now. I don’t see either of them competing except on special teams. The same can be said for S Rayuan Lane III. Monheim is a long-term play at center if he can pick up the position. LeQuint Allen is a pass catching back who will be buried on the depth chart for the time being.
Nitpick or Concern: Everyone had the Jaguars picking Mason Graham fifth overall in their mock drafts because we didn’t see this trade coming but also because this team needs help at DT. They didn’t draft a single one. Getting Hunter was a coup but they had other chances to help the DT rotation. They took Caleb Ransaw 88th and Wyatt Milum 89th, they could have waited to address the nickel spot or the guard spot at that point and taken any one of Deone Walker, Ty Robinson, CJ West, or Jordan Farmer and they would have helped the defensive line.
Tennessee Titans
(1) Cam Ward QB Miami
(52) Oluwafemi Oladejo Edge UCLA
(82) Kevin Winston Jr. S Penn St.
(103) Chimere Dike WR Florida
(120) Gunnar Helm TE Texas
(136) Elic Ayomanor WR Stanford
(167) Jackson Slater OL Sacramento St.
(183) Marcus Harris S California
(188) Kalel Mullings RB Michigan
Immediate Impact: QB Cam Ward, Edge Oluwafemi Oladejo
The Titans took the guy they hope is their franchise QB and they will give him every opportunity to prove he is. They spent money on the offensive line to keep Ward safe and they hope he makes the most of his opportunity. The team also got Oladejo in round two which is helpful for a team that doesn’t have great options at pass rusher. Dre’Mont Jones isn’t a speed rusher and Arden Key isn’t a full-time player. Oladejo still has a lot to learn as he’s only been an edge rusher for a year but he should get better.
Best Value: WR Elic Ayomanor
Ayomanor was generally considered a second-round pick by most people and the Titans got him in round four. Considering how barren the WR group is in Tennessee Ayomanor is going to be a guy who plays for this team next year. He’s not a perfect prospect; he can be a bit stiff and his hands will fail him from time to time but he’s an upgrade over most of their group.
Sleeper: TE Gunnar Helm
Helm isn’t going to wow you with his athleticism, even though he’s a better athlete than he gets credit for. He’s not the pass catcher Chig Okonkwo is or the blocker Josh Whylie is but he’s a better blocker than Okonkwo and a better pass catcher than Whylie. In short, he’s solid at most aspects of the job but not great at any one in particular. Helm is a very reliable pass catcher as he doesn’t drop anything. He will be an affective player for Cam Ward in the future.
Overall Analysis
It’s almost as if no one really noticed that the Titans drafted a new franchise QB #1 overall in this draft. It became obvious about six weeks before the draft that the Titans had settled on Ward so there wasn’t a lot of talk about him, then the Travis Hunter trade happened at #2 overall and everyone moved on. Ward is not a sure thing for a #1 QB pick but he’s a very talented player and the Titans have done some things to help him out. They rebuilt the o-line and have given him some help at WR and TE.
The team didn’t forget about their defensive needs either, they took Oladejo in round two and then S Kevin Winston Jr. in the next round. Oladejo will get every chance to prove he can rush the passer. Winston is a solid bet at safety. They signed Xavier Woods to pair with Amani Hooker there but Woods is an aging veteran and Hooker is going into a contract year. Winston helps now and is a nod to the future.
The next three picks were made to support Cam Ward at QB. WR Chimere Dike, TE Gunnar Helm, and WR Elic Ayomanor are all guy who can earn playing time. I’m not a huge Dike fan but this team needs WRs and Dike has the speed the rest of the group lacks. Ayomanor has a size and playmaking that will fit well next to Calvin Ridley and he’s a better option at this point than Van Jefferson. Gunnar Helm gives them a better all-around player at TE than others on the roster. OL Jackson Slater is depth, S Marcus Harris is depth, and RB Kalel Mullings is at best a depth piece.
Nitpick or Concern: When you combine their free agent haul of some solid veteran additions with the draft class, there’s not a real nit to pick or a concern. They don’t have as much high-end talent as others but they won’t be terrible at any position. There are two moves that deserve attention. First, I usually don’t mention undrafted free agents but this team signed Cam Ward’s favorite college target, Xavier Restrepo. Restrepo was incredibly production as a slot receiver for Miami but he ran a ridiculously slow 4.82 40 and fell off everyone’s radar. The Titans signed Tyler Lockett recently to be the slot receiver but he’s going to be 33 and he’s not as affective as he once was. Restrepo understands how to play with Ward and that can help him make the team.
The other move they need to make is trading QB Will Levis. They signed Brandon Allen to be their veteran backup and they need to ship Levis somewhere so Ward has a clear path to leading this team. Levis should still have value to someone. The Steelers still have a need at QB until they sign Aaron Rodgers. The Rams should be a team looking for a young developmental guy, Levis has more upside than Stetson Bennett. The Jets only have Justin Fields for two years. Liam Coen coached Levis at Kentucky and the only backup he has to Trevor Lawrence is Nick Mullins. And finally, I hate to say it, but the Patriots Mike Vrabel was the coach that drafted Levis and they could use a new #3 QB after trading Joe Milton III.