2013 NFL Draft Analysis

AFC West

Denver Broncos

28. Sylvester Williams   DT

58. Montee Ball   RB

90. Kayvon Webster   CB

146. Quanterus Smith   DE

161. Tavarres King   WR

173. Vinston Painter   OT

234. Zac Dysert   QB

Immediate Impact:  DT Sylvester Williams, RB Montee Ball

Sylvester Williams was the best DT in the draft that no one talked about.  He was rarely mentioned along with Sharrif Floyd, Star Lotulelei or Sheldon Richardson but Williams is a player and the Broncos got a starter.  He brings more talent and a better motor than free agent signee Terence Knighton and Williams is the best DT on the roster now.  Montee Ball is simply a better option than the rest of the guys on the roster at RB.  Willis McGahee is about done, Knowshon Moreno flashed a bit last year but should you really count on him now and if Ronnie Hillman had convinced the Broncos he was their future they wouldn’t have drafted Ball in the first place.

Best Value:  RB Montee Ball

The value of the RB position in the draft has been in a dramatic fall for years and it takes a special talent like and Adrian Peterson or a Trent Richardson to get a team to take one high in the draft anymore so value is all relative.  Ball doesn’t look like much standing on the sidelines or in his Under Armour but defenses hate him.  His balance, his vision and his deceptive power make him a nightmare to defend and he has proven he is a dependable workhorse type of back.  Ball has 1200-1500 yard potential and when you can get that with the 58^th pick of the draft you just got tremendous value.

Sleeper:  DE Quanterus Smith

This 6’5 250 lb. DE out of Western Kentucky was leading the country in sacks prior to tearing his ACL and the Broncos need a pass rusher to compliment Von Miller. The Broncos are banking on a healthy Smith down the road and that may even mean this year as a pass rushing specialist but Smith has star potential down the road.  Miller will get even more attention from opponents now that Elvis Dumervil is off to Baltimore so if Smith is completely recovered from his knee injury he could step in on passing downs for Robert Ayers and face a lot of one-on-one match-ups that he can win.

Overall Analysis:

Williams and Ball are immediate starters and Smith could help out the pass rush so that’s a nice start.  CB Kayvon Webster wasn’t my first choice where the Broncos took him, there were better players like Will Davis and B.W. Webb still on the board, but he wasn’t a huge reach and he’s got some skills. WR Tavarres King is going to struggle to make this roster with so many veteran WR’s on this team and Vinston Painter may only make the roster due to a lack of depth at OT.  You have to like a QB out of Miami (OH) and if the Broncos carry three QB’s during the season my money is on Zac Dysert to be that third guy. He better soak up as much knowledge from Peyton Manning in the meeting room as he can because he isn’t going to see any live snaps unless there is a catastrophe with both Manning and Brock Osweiler.

Kansas City Chiefs

1. Eric Fisher   OT

63. Travis Kelce   TE

96. Knile Davis   RB

99. Nico Johnson   ILB

134. Sanders Commings   CB

170. Eric Kush   OG

204. Braden Wilson   FB

207. Mike Catapano   DE

Immediate Impact:  OT Eric Fisher

Obviously the #1 pick of the draft better bring an immediate impact or you have done something horribly wrong.  Amazingly I’m not sure who else can make an immediate impact because the Chiefs roster isn’t terrible.  For a team that went 2-14 last year they have surprisingly few holes.  The Jaguars had the same record and looking at their roster it was easy to see why but this team’s record really came down to bad QB play, poor coaching and some unfortunate injuries.  Fisher steps in at RT replacing Eric Winston while the rest of the line rounds into form if everyone is healthy.  Fisher is great insurance in case Branden Albert’s back acts up again but either way Fisher is the only guaranteed starter in this draft class.

Best Value:  RB Knile Davis

If you would have told me two years ago that Knile Davis would get drafted at the end of the third round of the draft I would have told you “you are crazy”.  Davis has everything you want in a back; power, speed, agility and good hands.  He also has had leg injuries piling up over the last couple of years that dropped his draft stock a lot.  I love him as a compliment to Jamaal Charles because he can do a lot of the same things and the two of them together will hopefully keep each other healthy.  Something tells me Davis will have a short career but that doesn’t mean he can’t make the most of it.

Sleeper:  LB Nico Johnson

The situation that led to Jovan Belcher taking his own life last year was horrific for his family, his victim’s family and everyone else it affected.  Unfortunately the reality for the Chiefs is it wasn’t just a personal loss to them it was a loss on the field.  Belcher had become a very solid ILB next to Derrick Johnson and now they have to look past the tragedy of that day and find a replacement on the field.  They signed Akeem Jordan from the Eagles to fill the spot but they also drafted an Alabama linebacker named Nico Johnson.  I’m not sold on Jordan and I think Nico Johnson has a chance to become the starter next to Derrick Johnson and he could excel in this defense.

Overall Analysis:

Fisher is the only guaranteed starter and Davis and Johnson will have to earn their snaps at positions the Eagles have veteran starters.  TE Travis Kelce would be a nice insurance policy given the health issues of Tony Moeaki if he was known to be more durable but he is a pass catching upgrade over Anthony Fasano.  Sanders Commings should be the fourth CB behind veterans Brandon Flowers, Sean Smith and Dunta Robinson.  Eric Kush has to hope his versatility lands him a spot backing up multiple positions on the offensive line while Braden Wilson and Mike Catapano fight to make the end of the roster.

Oakland Raiders

12. DJ Hayden   CB

42. Menelik Watson   OT

66. Sio Moore   OLB

112. Tyler Wilson   QB

172. Nick Kasa   TE

181. Latavius Murray   RB

184. Mychal Rivera   TE

205. Stacy McGee   DT

209. Brice Butler   WR

233. David Bass   DE

Immediate Impact:  CB DJ Hayden, OT Menelik Watson

DJ Hayden was the apple of the Raiders’ eye leading up to the draft and they made a very nice move down the draft board and still got the guy they wanted.  Hayden will start from day one assuming he is over his abdominal problem.  Yep the Raiders top pick is spending some time in the hospital this off season due to an abdominal injury, I’m not sure it’s clear if it is related to the scary injury he suffered during practice last year that made a lot of teams back off but the Raiders took this chance.  If Hayden is healthy he is the unquestioned top CB on the roster and that says as much about the Raiders depth chart as it does about him.  Watson was a steal in the second round and he should take over at RT considering he only has to beat out Khalif Barnes for the job.  That should not be a difficult task.

Best Value:  QB Tyler Wilson

In a draft so completely devoid of a franchise QB there were a number of players that were intriguing and Tyler Wilson was one of those guys.  Wilson dealt with a horrific senior year at Arkansas after losing his boneheaded coach Bobby Petrino and dealing with an injury his lost season made many forget what they had liked about him before.  He has an NFL arm and the leadership qualities all teams look for in a QB.  Matt Flynn was brought in and is expected to be the starter and while there are people who think Terrelle Pryor will be the back-up I fully expect Wilson to not only be the back-up but to push Flynn for the starting job.  Getting a guy with this much talent in the fourth round is a steal.

Sleeper:  LB Sio Moore

Nick Roach, Kevin Burnett and Kaluka Maiava were all signed in the offseason to give the Raiders a new LB corps and Moore was drafted for depth.  Moore has the ability to play multiple LB positions but if he can find a spot where he is comfortable I think he could end up playing a lot.  Moore played at Connecticut which isn’t a football powerhouse but has put out some good players over the past few years.  Moore is not a name familiar to a lot of people but he may become familiar to Raider fans.

Overall Analysis:

Hayden was a gamble but when you are as bad as the Raiders have been at drafting you sometimes swing for the fences and hope for the homerun.  The good news was that the Raiders swung with the 12^th pick and not the third pick and actually came out of this draft with some players that can help.  Watson may never be Pro Bowl RT but he’s considerably better than what they have.  I like what Moore brings and I like the addition of Wilson because he brings competitiveness and competence to the QB position whether he’s the starter or the back-up.  Nick Kasa and Mychal Rivera come into a TE depth chart that is begging for bodies and Brice Butler has the size and speed to be an NFL receiver and that’s more than can be said for some of the players at the WR position for the Raiders.  Murray, McGee and Bass could all make this roster simply based on needing bodies and anything they contribute is a positive.

San Diego Chargers

11. DJ Fluker   OT

38. Manti Te’o   ILB

76. Keenan Allen   WR

145. Steve Williams   CB

179. Tourek Williams   DE

221. Brad Sorensen   QB

Immediate Impact: OT DJ Fluker, ILB Manti Te’o, WR Keenan Allen

The Chargers offensive line was atrocious last season and DJ Fluker becomes the starting RT immediately.  He doesn’t solve all of the line issues but he solves a very large one and immediately makes running to the right a very good play call.  Fluker has the ability to be one of the best RT’s in football.  Manti Te’o was the most talked about player during the season and especially after it and luckily for him he ended up in a place where he can succeed.  He has a very good LB lining up beside him in the middle in Donald Butler and while many people wanted to compare him to the late Junior Seau the minute he was drafted by the Chargers that isn’t a fair comparison.  Seau played in a different defense and it’s not Seau the Te’o is replacing he is replacing Takeo Spikes.  That is a much fairer comparison for Te’o and one he can live up to.  Spikes was a very good LB in the NFL for many years and that’s what Te’o will be.  Keenan Allen is the dark horse here after falling into the third round of the draft.  He may be forgotten by many but not by me because he may be the most talented WR in this draft.

Best Value:  WR Keenan Allen

Allen wasn’t having a stellar year at Cal last season (it didn’t help that his QB’s were less than impressive) and then he got hurt.  He didn’t recover in time to make an impression on scouts before the draft and they started to doubt him. That mistake will be the Chargers gain.  Allen is not a Randy Moss type of player as his game is not predicated on speed; he is a physical and powerful route running machine that can play outside or in the slot.  The best comparison in the NFL is probably Anquan Boldin and that’s a pretty good player to be compared to.  The top four WR’s for the Chargers are Malcolm Floyd, Danario Alexander, Vincent Brown and Robert Meachem.  Alexander and Brown have never stayed healthy and Meachem is hanging on to his roster spot by a thread.  Allen should be lining up opposite Floyd by week 4 unless Alexander gets hurt before that and I would expect Allen to become Phillip Rivers’ favorite target shortly after that.

Sleeper: CB Steve Williams

Williams is a little short for a starting NFL corner (5’9) and hopefully for the Chargers he doesn’t have to be a starter but I wouldn’t put it past him to be the nickel corner.  He’s fast and fluid and the Chargers depth chart at CB is a work in progress.  Nickel corners can be hard to find and while no one was in love with Williams during the draft process he could be a nice pick up in the fifth round.

Overall Analysis:

The Chargers had one of the better drafts considering they got three likely starters with their first three picks.  Fluker is a monster at RT, Te’o is going to excel in this environment in San Diego and Keenan Allen may have been the steal of the entire draft.  If Steve Williams makes any impact at CB the last two picks of this draft will be nearly irrelevant.  That’s not to say that Tourek Williams or Brad Sorensen couldn’t develop somewhere down the road but they would only be icing on the cake with this draft.

 

2013 NFL Draft Analysis

NFC South

Atlanta Falcons

22. Desmond Trufant   CB

60. Robert Alford   CB

127. Malliciah Goodman   DE

133. Levine Toilolo   TE

153. Stansly Maponga   DE

243. Kemal Ishmael   SS

244. Zeke Motta   SS

249. Sean Renfree   QB

Immediate Impact:  CB Desmond Trufant

My co-choice for NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year, Trufant steps into a huge void on a team expected to compete for a Super Bowl berth.  Trufant was the best man-to-man cover corner in this draft and the expectation is for him to take over starting opposite Asante Samuel. Trufant has the skills and the bloodlines to succeed and excel in the NFL.  I have every expectation that he will be the best CB from this draft and one of the best in the league within the next few years.

Best Value:  QB Sean Renfree

It may seem strange to bring up a QB on a team with Matt Ryan as a starter but the depth chart beyond Ryan is wide open.  Renfree suffered an injury in his bowl game that may have turned some teams off but he studied under David Cutcliffe at Duke and he has the size and the arm to play in the NFL.  I’m certainly not expecting him to compete with Ryan but he could become his back-up and a future trade chip for the Falcons and that’s pretty good for a late 7^th round pick.

Sleeper:  CB Robert Alford

Alford isn’t expected to start but he will play a very important role as the third corner given that the Falcons lost both Dunta Robinson and Brent Grimes in the off season.  Alford is a small school prospect with a lot of potential and gives the Falcons a future replacement for Samuel.  He was a very good prospect to get at #60 overall and while that may seem high for a sleeper Alford wasn’t all that well known outside of the scouting world so his emergence will surprise some.

Overall Analysis:

Trufant and Alford address a huge need for this team and will play a large role in the defense.  Malliciah Goodman is a better physical specimen than he is a football player but there is a lot of potential there and he could bring some much needed pass rush.  Levine Toilolo played with some excellent TE’s at Stanford over the past couple of seasons and now he gets to learn from the best ever.  If Toilolo can pick up some pointers from Tony Gonzalez he has a chance to become a nice complementary piece.  Ishmael and Motta bring some depth to the safety position and maybe some help on coverage teams which isn’t bad toward the end of the draft.  My only problem with this draft is they didn’t grab any offensive lineman.  The loss of Tyson Clabo is not exactly debilitating but entrusting the RT position to Lamar Holmes without any competition for him is questionable.  Perhaps the Falcons will chase one of the veterans still left on the market before training camp or they may wait to see how Holmes performs during training camp to make a decision but the decision not to draft any offensive linemen is curious.

Carolina Panthers

14. Star Lotulelei   DT

44. Kawann Short   DT

108. Edmond Kugbila   OG

148. AJ Klein   LB

182. Kenjon Barner   RB

Immediate Impact:  DT Star Lotulelei

Star Lotulelei was the best defensive lineman in the draft and DT was the biggest position of need for the Panthers so this one was easy.  Lotulelei was going to make an impact for whatever team drafted him but on the Panthers he immediately becomes a vital part of their defense.  His presence will make DE’s Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy better and he gives MLB Luke Kuechly a big man in the middle to keep blockers away.  When one player comes in and improves the productivity of the three best players on your defense, that’s an immediate impact.

Best Value:  RB Kenjon Barner

Barner may seem like an odd choice given his size and the fact that the Panthers have DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart at RB but Barner is a different type of back.  Williams and Stewart are strong physical backs that can handle a workload that Barner can’t but in the new NFL where playmakers come in all shapes and sizes Barner could carve out a niche for himself.  Barner has speed to burn and he can take it to house any time he touches it and that is a trait that Williams and Stewart don’t seem to have anymore.  In a league where matchups and mismatches have turned the game into a chess match having a piece like Barner makes your offense that much harder to prepare for.

Sleeper:  LB AJ Klein

Klein played MLB at Iowa St. and he has absolutely no chance to play MLB for the Panthers unless something befalls reigning Defensive Rookie of the Year Luke Kuechly and that seems unlikely.  What is likely is an opening at either of the other two LB spots.  Thomas Davis and Jon Beason are listed as the starters at OLB and the likelihood of either of those two making through a season unscathed is virtually nil.  The depth chart at LB is anything but imposing meaning Klein is likely to be counted on at some point during the season.  Klein isn’t the biggest or fastest linebacker out there but he knows how to tackle and he should be versatile enough to play when he is inevitably called upon.

Overall Analysis:

All five players are likely to make this team without a much problem but Lotulelei is the only likely immediate starter.  Kawann Short impresses at times but it’s those times he didn’t that worry people.  Short has 1^st round physical talent but his consistency and motor dropped him a round.  He will begin the season backing up veteran Dwan Edwards but the Panthers hope he will eventually start next to Lotulelei and whether that happens this year or in the future is up to Short.  Edmond Kugbila is a small school OG that the Panthers took in the fourth round and he was a bit of reach.  There were better prospects like David Bakhtiari (who was the next pick) that could have helped out at RT, a spot where the Panthers could use a hand.  Overall I think they Panthers got some players with their five picks that can help them now and in the future.

New Orleans Saints

15. Kenny Vaccaro   FS

75. Terron Armstead   OT

82. John Jenkins   NT

144. Kenny Stills   WR

183. Rufus Johnson   OLB

Immediate Impact:  FS Kenny Vaccaro

Vaccaro is coming in to a team that needs help in the secondary and he can be the last line of defense.  He has taken some heat for how bad Texas’ defense was last year but it wasn’t his fault.  Vaccaro should take the starting FS spot away from Malcolm Jenkins and he can be a top level safety in the NFL.

Best Value:  NT John Jenkins

The Saints have every intention of staring Akiem Hicks at NT in their new Rob Ryan run 3-4 defense but Hicks has the ability to slide outside to the DE spot in the three man front.  Jenkins dropped in the draft due to some question about his work ethic and his limited abilities and while he may be a bit of a one-trick pony he does that one trick very well.  Jenkins is a behemoth that was born to be a nose tackle in a 3-4 defense and Rob Ryan knows the value of that.  With Hicks around Jenkins won’t get a lot of notice but opponents will realize how hard it is to run on the Saints when they line up Jenkins and Hicks as two thirds of their defensive line.

Sleeper:  OT Terron Armstead

The small school prospect out of Arkansas Pine-Bluff that wowed everyone at the combine by running the 40 like he was running back has a chance to play for the Saints.  After wisely letting Jermon Bushrod cash in elsewhere the Saints are looking at Charles Brown as their new LT.  The Saints have had a habit of taking unknown linemen and turning them into legitimate starters (you probably still have no idea who Jermon Bushrod is).  Brown has been patiently waiting for his chance but I think Armstead has a shot to unseat him.  Armstead has great athleticism and while the transition from small school to the NFL is tough the Saints have pulled it off with guys like Bushrod and Jahri Evans before.

Overall Analysis:

Another small class that I really like because Vaccaro, Armstead and Jenkins have a chance to contribute right away.  I like Kenny Stills where they got him because he has enough talent to gamble on and gambling with a fifth round pick on a guy with that much talent is a good move for a good team.  I have to admit I don’t have the slightest idea who Rufus Johnson is or where Tarleton State is but the Saints are taking a shot on an athlete they think they can turn into an OLB for their defense.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

43. Jonathan Banks   CB

73. Mike Glennon   QB

100. Akeem Spence   DT

126. William Gholston   DE

147. Steven Means   DE

189.  Mike James   RB

Immediate Impact:  CB Jonathan Banks

Banks will be heard from either as a starter or a third CB and that could happen a number of different ways.  If Darrelle Revis isn’t ready at the start of the season then Banks will start opposite Eric Wright and if Revis is ready then Banks will challenge Wright for a starting spot and I wouldn’t bet against him.  Even if he doesn’t start Banks gives the Bucs someone they can bring in as the third CB and he can play the outside while Revis slides inside to cover the slot receiver.  Banks will play a lot and I think he starts more games than he doesn’t.

Best Value: DT Akeem Spence

There is a job opening next to Gerald McCoy at DT and Spence might be the surprise winner of that job.  Spence is a tad short but he’s a beast inside and next to McCoy he could really do some damage.  None of the other DT’s on the Bucs roster have distinguished themselves so Spence has a good chance to show what he can do and the fact that he was available in the fourth round is astounding.

Sleeper:  DE William Gholston

The physical ability is all there and Gholston looks imposing getting off the bus but unfortunately he has never translated that to the field consistently.  If Gholston can learn some technique and apply it on the field he could be a devastating player at DE.  There is no guarantee the Da’Quan Bowers will stay healthy and Adrian Clayborn is coming off an injury so there is a need for some depth at DE.

Overall Analysis:

Another small draft class in this division but that doesn’t mean they won’t make a difference.  Banks and Spence will make a difference whether they start or not and Gholston is oozing with potential.  The drafting of QB Mike Glennon was interesting as the Buccaneers brought in competition for Josh Freeman going into a contract year, while it is unlikely Glennon would steal the starting job from Freeman it certainly puts Freeman on notice.  DE Steven Means is unlikely to make an impact but RB Mike James could possibly contribute in the backfield now that LaGarrette Blount has been shipped out and Doug Martin may need a breather from time to time.

 

2013 NFL Draft Analysis

AFC South

Houston Texans

27. DeAndre Hopkins   WR

57. DJ Swearinger   FS

89. Brennan Williams   OT

95. Sam Montgomery   OLB

124. Trevardo Williams   OLB

176. David Quessenberry   OT

195. Alan Bonner   WR

198. Chris Jones   DT

201. Ryan Griffin   QB

Immediate Impact:  WR DeAndre Hopkins

The Texans desperately need help at WR as Andre Johnson is the only sure thing they have at the position.  Kevin Walter was cut and DeVier Posey was injured during the playoffs and isn’t likely to be back soon enough to be a major contributor meaning Hopkins steps in as the likely starter opposite Johnson.  There were WR’s on the board that I liked better but Hopkins was in the group of guys slated to go late 1^st to early 2^nd round so he was a solid pick.  Hopkins can be a great compliment to Johnson I’m just not sure his ceiling is high enough to eventually replace Johnson as the top guy.  Solid choice for a team with a glaring need that is looking to get farther in the playoffs.

Best Value:  OLB Sam Montgomery

Montgomery played DE at LSU but he projects best as a pass rushing OLB in the Texans 3-4 and that is good fit for him if they try to play him at DE in their 3-4 it’s a bad fit.  Getting him late in the 3^rd round was great value considering this team needs someone to replace Connor Barwin in their OLB rotation.  Brooks Reed and Whitney Mercilus project as the starters but it’s always a good idea to have a third pass rusher and Montgomery can be that guy.

Sleeper:  OT Brennan Williams

To say that the RT spot on the Texans offensive line is underwhelming would be a huge understatement.  Derek Newton and Ryan Harris aren’t keeping DE’s up at night trying to figure out how to beat them.  Williams has his question marks (injured shoulder) and it may take some time but I won’t be the least bit surprised when he takes over the starting job at RT.  Williams has all the physical tools to be a starting RT, he may never be a Pro Bowl level guy but his talent will eventually land him in the starting lineup.

Overall Analysis:

This is a solid draft that will produce a few starters and a couple of key reserves for a team fighting for a Super Bowl berth.  Hopkins is a starter right away, Williams could steal the RT job at any point and Montgomery should make a solid situational pass rusher early.  FS DJ Swearinger is an excellent pick up for a team that is counting on Ed Reed at FS.  Reed is an all-time great at the position but he’s coming to the end of his Hall of Fame career and he’s battling injuries.  Swearinger is a kid that can learn from Reed and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up playing more snaps than Reed.  Reed may be the starter but Swearinger should bring the attitude this team has lacked for a long time in its secondary.  OLB Trevardo Williams, OT David Quessenberry and 6^th round QB Ryan Griffin could all be nice developmental players for down the road but it will be tough for nine draft picks to all make the roster of a playoff team.  The only issue I have with this draft was not taking an ILB to get some depth behind Brian Cushing and Darryl Sharpton as both players have been known to miss time.

Indianapolis Colts

24. Bjoern Werner   OLB

86. Hugh Thornton   OG

121. Khaled Holmes   C

139. Montori Hughes   DT

192. John Boyett   FS

230. Kerwynn Williams   RB

254. Justice Cunningham   TE

Immediate Impact:  Last year’s draft class

I’m taking a pass here because I’m not sure anyone in this class is going to come in and make an immediate impact on this team.  Top pick Werner is going to spend most of the year learning how to be an OLB in a 3-4 and I don’t think it’s going to be a quick transition.  As a pass rusher he can be effective on passing downs but he’s going to struggle doing some of the other things LB’s need to do.  Last year’s class brought a lot of impact especially on the offensive side of the ball; QB Andrew Luck, WR TY Hilton, RB Vick Ballard, TE Dwayne Allen and TE Coby Fleener will all be vital parts of the offense this year.

Best Value:  C Khaled Holmes

The Colts drafted players pretty much where they were expected to go so I am going with Holmes because they got him in the fourth round and he could potentially be a starter.  Holmes will have to beat out Samson Satele who is returning from an injury but the Colts shipped out back-up center A.Q. Shipley to Baltimore so they must have some confidence that Holmes can step in if Satele doesn’t hold up.  Holmes isn’t going to wow anyone with his athleticism but he’s a technician at center and he could beat out Satele straight up.

Sleeper:  DT Montori Hughes

The Colts have Aubrayo Franklin at nose tackle in their 3-4 defense and Hughes was just a fifth round selection but Franklin is on the downside of his career and as they say “you can’t teach size”.  Hughes is a load at 6’4 329 lbs. and he is built to play NT.  In order for the Colts defense to work they need a steady presence in the middle and while Hughes may never be a big playmaker that isn’t what is asked of a NT.  If Hughes can stay out of trouble and learn the tricks of the trade from the veteran Franklin he could become a mainstay of the Colts defense down the road.

Overall Analysis:

Last year’s draft class set the bar pretty high for GM Ryan Grigson and it’s is highly unlikely that this class could ever live up to that lofty standard.  Werner has a chance to be a good player although I question his fit in this defense.  Hugh Thornton and Khaled Holmes will provide competition and possibly production that is sorely needed on the interior of the offensive line.  The rest of the class brings potential down the line and hopefully depth to a team that surprisingly made the playoffs last year.  It’s tough to be critical of Grigson after pulling off such a quick turnaround but this draft will largely be judged on what Werner becomes whether that is fair or not.  I really liked Werner as a 4-3 DE but I’m skeptical of his transition to OLB and I think it might limit his ceiling.

Jacksonville Jaguars

2. Luke Joeckel   OT

33. Jonathan Cyprien   SS

64. Dwayne Gratz   CB

101. Ace Sanders   WR

135. Denard Robinson   RB/WR

169. Josh Evans   FS

208. Jeremy Harris   CB

210. Demetrius McCray   CB

Immediate Impact:  OT Luke Joeckel, SS Jonathan Cyprien, CB Dwayne Gratz

The Jaguars were 2-14 for a reason last year and that reason was the lack of talent on the roster.  The offseason left a number of holes to be filled and the Jaguars took as close to a sure thing in any draft as they could in new starting RT Luke Joeckel.  Joeckel won’t have to fend of anyone for the starting spot and he gives the Jaguars cover next offseason if they decide LT Eugene Monroe isn’t worth the expense.  Cyprien and Gratz walk into the same scenario in the secondary as their absolutely no competition for Cyprien at SS and Gratz becomes the top CB by default.  By the way, Gratz is a number one corner in name only.

Best Value:  CB Dwayne Gratz

The Jaguars found their new number one CB in the third round of the draft so I guess that is value but it’s a fake value.  Gratz is the top corner by default because the Jaguars have no one else on the roster that can even fake it.  I would like Gratz a whole lot more if he was lining up opposite a true number one with a good slot corner covering the inside.  Gus Bradley’s defense is a work in progress and it probably won’t be pretty this year as they need more help in the secondary and rushing the passer.

Sleeper:  WR Ace Sanders

Given the fact that Justin Blackmon is facing a four game suspension to start the year the Jaguars are going to need playmakers to step up and help Blaine Gabbert and I have little faith the newly signed WR Mohamed Massaquoi is the answer.  Massaquoi will likely start opposite Cecil Shorts but his value there is that he allows Ace Sanders to operate in the slot where he can be an effective weapon.  Sanders is built to be a slot receiver, he’s undersized and shifty and Gabbert needs to remember back to his days at Missouri and get the ball out of his hands quickly to guys like Sanders who can actually do something with it.

Overall Analysis: 

Joeckel, Cyprien and Gratz are all unquestioned starters while Sanders gives them a potential playmaker at slot receiver and returner.  They are taking a shot with Denard Robinson, a man without a position, and hoping he’ll find a way to make plays for them.  They didn’t take him until the fifth round so it’s a worthwhile gamble.  The fact that they drafted a FS and two more CB’s with their last three picks should tell you how they feel about their secondary.  The fact that all five defensive backs they drafted will not only make the roster but Jeremy Harris could start opposite Gratz should tell you just how dire the reality of the situation is.  This team is primed for a last minute veteran addition to the secondary but they covered themselves if they don’t sign anyone.  Like I said their defense will not be pretty.

Tennessee Titans

10. Chance Warmack   OG

34. Justin Hunter   WR

70. Blidi Wreh-Wilson   CB

97. Zaviar Gooden   OLB

107. Brian Schwenke   C

142. Lavar Edwards   DE

202.  Kahlid Wooten   CB

248.   Daimion Stafford   FS

Immediate Impact:  OG Chance Warmack

Interior offensive linemen rarely make an impact that the casual fan will observe but this could be the exception since I think many will observe the impact the addition of Warmack (along with free agent Andy Levitre) will have on RB Chris Johnson.  We all know Johnson has loads of talent and now he will have no more excuses for his ineffectiveness.  Warmack might be a once in a generation guard and if the Titans can get some decent center play to go with elite guards Levitre and Warmack and solid tackles Michael Roos and Dave Stewart then the running game should be able to carry the load.

Best Value:  C Brian Schwenke

This is the reason I disagreed with the Cowboys taking Travis Frederick in the first round of the draft.  Yes Frederick is going to be a starter but if they had drafted Schwenke in the third round they would have gotten a starting center in the third round which is pretty good value.  They Titans got lucky getting a tough guy like Schwenke in the fourth round and their starting center Fernando Velasco is definitely beatable.  At the very least he brings competition for the starting center spot and a very good back-up at guard.

Sleeper:  I want to say Schwenke but I won’t.  CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson

I’ll go with the guy with the funny name.  Wreh-Wilson is a tall corner that teams really like given the explosion of big WR’s in the NFL.  Wreh-Wilson doesn’t bring the physicality you would like out of a big corner and he’s a little stiff in the hips but the Titans don’t have much beyond Jason McCourty and Alterraun Verner.

Overall Analysis:

I love Warmack and Schwenke they can be the anchors of the offensive line for the next ten years.  I like Wreh-Wilson especially where they got him, the third round.  LB Zaviar Gooden is an excellent athlete who needs some work but he can play in the NFL and could make a very good special team’s guy.  I think Justin Hunter is an exceptional talent but I question this team taking him.  They already have a supremely talented WR that they can’t count on because of off the field issues, Kenny Britt.  It would be nice if Hunter can give them a nice replacement incase Britt becomes more trouble than he’s worth but Hunter has had his issues too.  There seemed to be a theme with Tennessee Volunteers (and former Volunteers) in the draft this year.  Corderrelle Patterson, Justin Hunter, Da’Rick Rogers and Tyler Bray all had character questions going into the draft and it cost them all, Patterson less than the rest.  The last three picks (Edwards, Wooten and Stafford) could all stick on the roster at spots that need depth so they have that going for them.

2013 NFL Draft Analysis

I’m going to go over each team’s draft and I’ll break it down by division.  I’m not giving out grades because that’s just foolish the week after the draft so I tell you what I think about certain players and an overview of what each team did or didn’t do.

NFC North

Chicago Bears

20. Kyle Long   OL

50. Jon Bostic   LB

117. Khaseem Greene   OLB

163. Jordan Mills   OT

188. Cornelius Washington   DE

236. Marquess Wilson   WR

Immediate Impact:  OL Kyle Long

The Bears better hope that Long makes an immediate impact because their offensive line is simply offensive.  He is long on talent but short on experience so it will be trial by fire for the NFL legacy (yep, he’s Howie’s kid and Chris’ brother).  He is listed as an OG by and he could excel inside but I’m not going to discount the possibility that he can compete at RT.  He certainly has more upside than anyone else competing at that position.  The Bears know what they have in J’Marcus Webb, Gabe Carimi and Jonathan Scott and none of it is real impressive.  Regardless of which position he ends up playing Long will bring some fire to the line and he may just be the most talented player on the line although that isn’t exactly high praise considering his competition.

Best Value:  LB Khaseem Greene

Greene is a serious talent and on a team that needs to get younger and more athletic at LB getting him in the fourth round of the draft is a steal.  The Bears still have Lance Briggs and they signed some older veterans like DJ Williams and James Anderson but it won’t be long before their second round pick Jon Bostic and Greene are starting at MLB and OLB respectively.

Sleepers:  DE Cornelius Washington, WR Marquess Wilson

The Bears did fantastic at the end of this draft grabbing a couple of supremely talented players that have some questions.  Washington was a guy playing OLB opposite Jarvis Jones at Georgia and while he never put up eye-popping numbers like Jones he was a pretty solid player.  Washington will be better off lining up at DE for the Bears and rushing the passer and I can see him making a real contribution to their rotation.  Wilson has some character concerns after he quit the team at Washington St. after conflicts with the coaching staff.  The one thing that isn’t a concern is his talent, a natural pass catcher with good size and decent speed can find a place on the Bears depth chart if he can keep himself in line.

Overall Analysis:

A couple of offensive lineman, a couple of linebackers, a pass rusher and a wide receiver with some talent makes for a pretty good draft class.  I would be shocked if all six of these guys didn’t make the Bears roster and five of them could contribute early.  This team needed an influx of youth in talent especially at OL and LB and they got it here.  Even OT Jordan Mills has some future upside.  A lot of people think Kyle Long was a reach in the first round and he was to a certain extent but it was more about the inflated value of offensive linemen early in this draft that pushed Long up and while I like Menelik Watson better as a potential RT for the Bears they certainly have a need both inside and outside that Long could potentially fill.

Detroit Lions

5. Ezekiel Ansah   DE

36. Darius Slay   CB

65. Larry Warford   OG

132. Devin Taylor   DE

165. Sam Martin   P

171. Corey Fuller   WR

199. Theo Riddick   RB

211. Michael Williams   TE

245. Brandon Hepburn   ILB

Immediate Impact:  DE Ezekiel Ansah, CB Darius Slay, OG Larry Warford

The Lions need all the immediate impact they can get and it may come from more than just these three but these guys come in at immediate need positions and they can all play.  Ansah’s only competition for playing time at this point is fellow draftee Devin Taylor and the Lions will give Ansah every opportunity to prove them right.  Playing with Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley in the middle should mean Ansah gets less attention outside but it would be nice if someone else steps up at the other DE spot.  Slay will have little trouble locking down a starting job unless some veterans play a lot better than they have in the past.  Warford is a need inside as the Lions juggle replacing many older players and free agent defections and move parts around to get five good players on the field.  Warford may not be in the same class as Warmack or Cooper in this draft but he’s a long term starter at OG in the league.

Best Value:  OG Larry Warford

Guard is not a sexy position and it usually gets devalued in the draft but make no mistake good guards can make a difference and Warford is very good.  When you get a guy who can start for you for the next 7-10 years in the third round of the draft you are getting great value.  Warford has future Pro-Bowl potential.

Sleepers:  DE Devin Taylor, WR Corey Fuller

Taylor was better known as South Carolina’s other defensive end; Jadeveon Clowney’s presence has that effect.  The problem for Taylor was that Clowney’s presence didn’t elevate his game and teams question why he wasn’t more productive when the opposition had to account for his immensely talented teammate.  Taylor looks great getting off the bus, he’s 6’7 with a freakish wingspan and if Detroit’s defensive line coach can get him to live up to just a little bit of that potential on a line featuring Suh, Fairley and Ansah he could be devastating.  Fuller is more of a sleeper just because his production suffered last year at Virginia Tech do to a QB that didn’t live up to his hype and an offense that wasn’t able to take advantage of Fuller’s skills.  Fuller has a great opportunity in Detroit because of the presence of Calvin Johnson and the dearth of players at the WR position.  I won’t be the least bit shocked if Fuller starts more than a few games this year.

Overall Analysis:

Ansah, Slay, Warford, Taylor and Fuller should all contribute early and any draft that gives you five guys like these is a pretty good one.  There is bust potential however with all of them so the odds are against all of them working out.  Ansah has little experience and is a better athlete than football player.  Slay wasn’t even the best CB on his own college team.  Warford could eat himself out of the league (this is true of most OG’s).  Taylor could be as ineffective as he was in college and Fuller has some holes in his game.  I’m not a big proponent of drafting kickers or punters and I don’t like taking them in the fifth round but when you have a lot of picks and you really like a guy it’s understandable.  I like this draft and I think the Lions will have more hits than misses here.

Green Bay Packers

26. Datone Jones   DE

61. Eddie Lacy   RB

109. David Bakhtiari   OT

122. J.C. Tretter   OG

125. Johnathan Franklin   RB

159. Michah Hyde   DB

167. Josh Boyd   DT

193. Nate Palmer   OLB

216. Charles Johnson   WR

224. Kevin Dorsey   WR

232. Sam Barrington   ILB

Immediate Impact:  DE Datone Jones, RB Eddie Lacy

Jones was the biggest tweener in this draft.  He isn’t fast enough to be a 4-3 DE, he’s too big to be a 3-4 OLB and he’s not big enough to be a 4-3 DT so being a DE in the Packers 3-4 defense should be the perfect fit.  He’ll bring more pass rushing ability than your normal 3-4 DE and they could use it since Clay Matthews is about the only guy that brings consistent pressure.  Jones may have landed in the perfect spot.  Eddie Lacy was thought to be the best back in the draft by many, not by me, but by many.  Lacy brings a whole lot of talent to a backfield that has been yearning for it.  It’s not a coincidence that the Packers took two RB’s in this draft and Lacy is going to get the opportunity to prove he’s the right guy.  He’s big and physical and he should help immensely in short yardage and goal line situations.

Best Value:  RB Johnathan Franklin

Franklin has holes in his game (pass protection for one) but getting the all-time leading rusher at UCLA in fourth round is damn good value.  Franklin knows how to play and he knows how to read a block and follow it.  Lacy gets all the press but Franklin may end up being the better back in the end.  Whether Franklin usurps Lacy or compliments him his value at the 125^th pick is enormous.

Sleeper:  DB Micah Hyde

Call me homer if you want but I’ve spent the last four years watching Micah Hyde develop and he is exactly what the NFL is looking for in the secondary.  Hyde played corner for all but a couple of games in his Hawkeye career and he’s still listed at CB but I think he ends up playing FS and he can compete for playing time in this depth chart.  Green Bay’s safeties are anything but spectacular and Hyde has a lot of experience in coverage and he isn’t afraid to come up in run support.  The current NFL has a trend of really good slot receivers and very talented TE’s and teams need safeties that can cover both yet still be able to tackle.  Hyde has good size, both height and weight, and solid cover skills and there is an opportunity to make some noise in the Packers secondary.

Overall Analysis:

Jones and Lacy come in with the expectation of playing a lot if not starting.  Franklin can be a situational back and I think Hyde competes for playing time.  OT David Bakhtiari has a chance to compete at RT with Marshall Newhouse and Derrick Sherrod since the Packers are moving Bryan Bulaga to LT.  OL J.C. Tretter and DT Josh Boyd are two developmental guys that could be solid back-ups now and turn into something down the road.  I don’t see the rest of the guys making much of an impact on the roster unless they can distinguish themselves as valuable special team’s players for now.  Good team’s rosters are hard to crack for later round players and that’s because the depth has already been built through good drafting.

Minnesota Vikings

23. Sharrif Floyd   DT

25. Xavier Rhodes   CB

29. Corderrelle Patterson   WR

120. Gerald Hodges   LB

155. Jeff Locke   P

196. Jeff Baca   OG

213. Michael Mauti   LB

214. Travis Bond   OG

229. Everett Dawkins   DT

Immediate Impact:  DT Sharrif Floyd, CB Xavier Rhodes, WR Corderrelle Patterson

This is a team that is going for it.  Three first round draft picks that should all have immediate and long lasting impact on this franchise.  Sharrif Floyd should step in and start next to Kevin Williams this year and he will be the future anchor of the line replacing Williams.  Xavier Rhodes steps into fill the shoes of the departed Antoine Winfield and he gives the Vikings a big physical corner to pair with Chris Cook, call it the Seattle Seahawk plan.  Corderrelle Patterson doesn’t have to fill in the entire production of Percy Harvin given that the Vikings signed Greg Jennings to be the #1 WR but Patterson gives the Vikes a player with a skill set closer to Harvin’s and he and Jennings give them two good WR’s instead of just one.  This haul should be enough for the Vikings but they actually got some other pieces too.

Best Value:  LB Gerald Hodges

The Vikings seem to have every intention of moving Erin Henderson from weak side LB to the middle meaning Hodges is going to get every chance to grab the weak side job.  Hodges comes from Penn State, aka Linebacker U, and while he isn’t as heralded as previous alumni Hodges can play.  The Vikings need LB’s and getting a likely starter in the fourth round, especially when you don’t have a second or third rounder, is great value.

Sleeper:  DT Everett Dawkins

I really wanted to give this spot to Michael Mauti the other Penn State linebacker the Vikings drafted.  Mauti was the heart and soul of Penn State’s defense the past couple of years and is a guy you want to cheer for but injuries have taken their toll and I’m not sure how long he can last if he does get a shot to play.  Dawkins could be in a perfect position to sit for a year or two and show the Vikings that when Kevin Williams hangs them up they have a ready-made replacement to start next to Sharrif Floyd.  Dawkins is a quick penetrating DT that is a little undersized but if he puts on a little weight over the next year or two he could be quite the seventh round find.

Overall Analysis:

The Vikings are doing everything they can capitalize on their unexpected success from this past year.  Some may question trading away a playmaker like Harvin for a pick but he had become more trouble than he was worth.  Trading a couple of picks to get back into the end of the first round was bold but I think all three first round picks will make a difference.  The Vikings got lucky that a talent like Floyd fell into their laps but they also made their own luck by still getting the two players they wanted in CB Xavier Rhodes and WR Corderrelle Patterson.  At worst their later picks give them some depth on the offensive line and at linebacker and they may prove to be more than depth at linebacker.  I don’t like drafting punters but the Vikings are going with Locke as their starter so it’s hard to argue with that.

 

2013 NFL Draft Analysis

I’m going to go over each team’s draft and I’ll break it down by division.  I’m not giving out grades because that’s just foolish the week after the draft so I tell you what I think about certain players and an overview of what each team did or didn’t do.

 

AFC North

Baltimore Ravens

32. Matt Elam   SS

56. Arthur Brown   ILB

94. Brandon Williams   DT

129. John Simon   OLB

130. Kyle Juszczyk   FB

168. Ricky Wagner   OT

200.  Kapron Lewis-Moore   DT

203. Ryan Jensen   OT

238. Aaron Mellette   WR

247. Marc Anthony   CB

Immediate Impact:  SS Matt Elam, ILB Arthur Brown

The Super Bowl Champion Ravens went into the draft with two huge holes to fill at safety and linebacker due to the free agent departure of Ed Reed and the retirement of Ray Lewis and Ozzie Newsome came through again.  Elam and Brown are fantastic players that are ready to play right away and they will bring youth and talent to a defense that needs an injection of both.  Before the draft the Ravens were counting on the perpetually injured Jameel McClain and the total head case Rolando McClain to start in the middle of the defense but now they have Brown and he’s a much better bet.  Elam should team with newly signed free agent Michael Huff to form a new duo at the safety position and Elam will make an impact.

Best Value:  ILB Arthur Brown

Most teams devalue the middle or inside linebacker position and Newsome took advantage by waiting and then swooping in and grabbing Brown with the 56^th pick.  The Ravens understand the value on the field of a player with Brown’s skill set and they know how to use him.  Brown’s position was the reason he was available in the second round not his talent.

Sleeper:   OT Ricky Wagner

Maybe this comes from three years of watching Wagner in the Big Ten but I have a hard time believing he won’t stick and at the very least give the Ravens a very solid swing tackle.  The reason he is a sleeper is that he started for two years at LT (and one before that at RT) for one of the best offensive lines in college football and I have little faith in the Ravens OT’s not named Michael Oher.  The team just re-signed Bryant McKinnie but I don’t know if he can hold up for a whole season anymore.  Wagner offers the flexibility to either swing Oher to LT or leave him at RT and play Wagner when McKinnie inevitably breaks down.  Wagner is not impressive in his Under Armour jumping or running but he knows how to block.  He may not be a long term starting solution but I wouldn’t bet against him.

Overall Analysis:

I have a hard time believing the ten draft picks will make the defending Super Bowl Champions but they did grab players at positions they need like WR (Aaron Mellette) CB (Marc Anthony) and offensive line (Wagner and Ryan Jensen) so at least they create competition at the end of their roster.  Ozzie Newsome and his staff are as good at drafting as anyone in the league and Elam and Brown will prove that this year. DT Brandon Williams (round 3), OLB John Simon (round 4) and FB Kyle Juszczyk (round 4) may prove it somewhere down the line.  Hard to argue with the man who just built a Super Bowl winner mostly through the draft.

Cincinnati Bengals

21. Tyler Eifert   TE

37. Giovani Bernard   RB

53. Margus Hunt   DE

84. Shawn Williams   SS

118. Sean Porter   OLB

156. Tanner Hawkinson   OT

190. Rex Burkhead   RB

197. Cobi Hamilton   WR

240. Reid Fragel   OT

251. TJ Johnson   C

Immediate Impact: TE Tyler Eifert, RB Giovani Bernard

The Bengals need someone to take the pressure off of AJ Green in the passing game and Eifert is the best pass catching TE in the draft.  He can dominate on the inside and split out wide when needed.  The Bengals didn’t take a WR until late meaning they plan on giving their picks from last year another chance but it also means they think Eifert will make an impact.  Bernard is simply the best back in this draft (sorry Eddie Lacy) and he fits the new mold of the NFL.  I won’t be the least bit shocked when he’s stealing time from BenJarvus Green-Ellis and he could be the next Ray Rice, he has that sort of skill set.  I haven’t decided who I think will be the Offensive Rookie of the Year but these two certainly are candidates.

Best Value:  SS Shawn Williams

Drafting your starting strong safety with the 84^th pick in the draft is getting pretty good value.  Williams walks into the perfect spot to take the starting job.  He’s an in the box safety that will be slightly more adept in coverage than Taylor Mays which isn’t setting the bar very high but the Bengals will take it.  I don’t think Williams will be making the Pro Bowl anytime soon but he’ll be starting quickly and probably for a while.

Sleeper:  OLB Sean Porter

The Bengals signed James Harrison to be their new OLB but Harrison is no spring chicken and his fit in the Bengals defense is questionable.  Porter did a nice job as a pass rushing OLB in college and while he may look like just a back-up weakside LB I can see him stealing some time on the strongside if Harrison isn’t adequate.

Overall Analysis:

The Bengals also had ten picks and even though they weren’t the Super Bowl Champions like the Ravens I have a hard time seeing all of these players making this team.  That said their first five picks, the four mentioned above and DE Margus Hunt, could give them five guys that can contribute.  Hunt is an interesting player given his sheer size and the Bengals actually have two tall DE’s already in Carlos Dunlop and Michael Johnson so all three together could make throwing lanes harder to find.

Cleveland Browns

6. Barkevious Mingo   OLB

68. Leon McFadden   CB

175. Jamoris Slaughter   SS

217. Armonty Bryant   DE

227. Garrett Gilkey   OT

Immediate Impact:  OLB Barkevious Mingo

There isn’t a lot to choose from here and the Browns better hope Mingo makes an immediate impact because they passed on the draft’s best CB Dee Milliner and took Mingo who didn’t really look like a need.  There has been a lot of talk about the Brown’s plans for Jabaal Sheard (trade him, move him to DE) and that only makes sense if Mingo is ready to be the starter at OLB opposite Paul Kruger.  With Sheard, Kruger and Quentin Groves OLB didn’t look like the place the Browns would go but they went for Mingo’s high upside.  I like Mingo at OLB for a 3-4 team more than I liked him at DE for a 4-3 team but I would have taken Milliner.

Best Value:  Next year’s draft picks

GM Mike Lombardi apparently didn’t think much of this draft which is why he only used five picks this year but he did something that may pay off in the end.  He traded a 2013 fourth round pick for a 2014 third round pick and a 2013 fifth round pick for a 2014 fourth round pick.  Yep, he upgraded two picks this year to better rounds next year in a draft that most believe will be better than this year’s draft.  Lombardi didn’t take a QB from this year’s less than stellar crop opting to put the team in the hands of Brandon Weeden or Jason Campbell and yet he grabbed some ammunition. Now if they aren’t picking high enough next year to grab a QB he likes he can go up and get one.  Next year’s QB crop has the chance to be far superior to this year’s and Lombardi is obviously taking the long view at the position.

Sleeper: CB Leon McFadden

It’s tough to call a guy that is so obviously going to start a sleeper but I don’t see anyone else in this very small draft class making any noise.  McFadden was a third round pick and you can argue better CB’s were on the board (I like Logan Ryan and Blidi Wreh-Wilson myself) but he was a third round value like them and the Browns have no one opposite Joe Haden.

Overall Analysis:

I understand what the Browns are trying to do grabbing Mingo in the first round.  New defensive coordinator Ray Horton needs playmakers and Mingo has a high upside but he also has really high bust potential.  Hindsight is always 20/20 but here’s the reason I don’t think you pass on the best player at his position (CB Dee Milliner) when you need that position too.  The Browns ended up with Mingo and McFadden as potential starters on their defense but they could have had Milliner at CB and either Damontre Moore (who went #81), Corey Lemonier (#88) or Sam Montgomery (#95) at OLB and I like any of those combinations better.

Pittsburgh Steelers

17. Jarvis Jones   OLB

48. LeVeon Bell   RB

79. Markus Wheaton   WR

111. Shamarko Thomas   SS

115. Landry Jones   QB

150. Terry Hawthorne   CB

186. Justin Brown   WR

206. Vince Williams   ILB

223. Nicholas Williams   DT

Immediate Impact:  OLB Jarvis Jones

Okay so I gushed over this guy in my mock drafts and my initial analysis and that will continue here.  One of my picks for Co-defensive rookie of the year Jones steps immediately into the OLB spot vacated by James Harrison (sorry Jason Worilds you will continue to be a back-up).  Jones couldn’t be a more natural fit for this attacking 3-4 defense and he’s going to be a double digit sack man without a doubt.  I still cannot believe Jones fell to 17^th pick and the Steelers got this lucky.

Best Value:  OLB Jarvis Jones (seriously it’s crazy), WR Markus Wheaton, QB Landry Jones

If there is one thing the Steelers did as well if not better than everyone was get value at their picks.  Arguably their first five picks were great value. Jarvis Jones never should have fallen to 17^th (okay I’m done).  Markus Wheaton will step in right away in their three WR sets and he won’t miss a beat and Landry Jones lasted until the fourth round.  Landry Jones is a guy that could develop into a starter in the NFL at some point and the Steelers needed some new young blood behind Roethlisberger because he is bound to miss a game or two and Charlie Batch can’t play forever.

Sleeper:  WR Markus Wheaton

Wheaton is a lot like Mike Wallace in stature and playing style.  Wheaton is also a natural WR with instincts.  He can step into Wallace’s role and that means Antonio Brown and Emmanuelle Sanders can continue to develop in the roles they have been in.  Brown and Sanders are ready to step in as starters but Wheaton’s presence means they don’t have to change to Wallace’s position in the three WR sets.  Wheaton is a dark horse to have a really good year if he develops a rapport with Roethlisberger.

Overall Analysis:

It is drafts like this that are the reason the Steelers are always good.  Jarvis Jones is an instant impact starter. LeVeon Bell is an immediate replacement for Mendenhall.  Wheaton can step into Mike Wallace’s place and allow Antonio Brown and Emmanuelle Sanders to continue to develop. Shamarko Thomas can give Polamalu a breather and eventually replace him one day.  Landry Jones is a developmental QB who can spot start when Big Ben is injured and even CB Terry Hawthorne could surprise if he can stay healthy as he fits the Steelers preference at CB.  One of the best run organizations in football just keeps chugging along.