The NFL Draft starts on Thursday and at this point the only thing I’m sure of is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will take Jameis Winston #1 overall…I think. Yeah, it’s going to be one of those years. This mock draft is probably more of a guess than any previous mock draft I’ve ever done and I’m usually 90% wrong in a good year. The real issue comes up at the #2 pick where almost everyone believes Marcus Mariota will be picked but there is absolutely no consensus as to which team will get him. The Tennessee Titans are choosing at #2 and while they could use a QB, Mariota is a terrible fit for the franchise. The Chargers, Eagles, Jets, Rams, Browns and Bears are all legitimate trade up candidates but it will likely take up until draft day before anyone makes a move if a move is made at all. Mariota is not the second best player in this draft but then again Jameis Winston isn’t the best player either. QBs get picked higher than they should because everyone in the NFL knows if you don’t have a QB you don’t have a chance.
Round 1
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-14): Jameis Winston QB Florida St.
It doesn’t matter what I or anyone else thinks about where Winston fits as an overall prospect because the Buccaneers only have Mike Glennon as a possible starter and they know he’s not a franchise QB. Taking a chance on Winston is the only play they have here and it’s a roll of the dice. Winston is not the surefire franchise QB Andrew Luck was a few years ago but he’s not the colossal gamble that JaMarcus Russell once was either. If the Bucs can find some help on the offensive line in rounds 2 and 3 they can put Winston in a position to succeed. Solidifying the offensive line, having WRs Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson, TE Austin Sefarian-Jenkins and a decent running game would go a long way to making Winston’s transition to the NFL a lot easier on the field. Of course Winston’s toughest transition will likely take place off the field but if the Buccaneers have any doubts about that they shouldn’t take Winston anyway.
- Tennessee Titans (2-14): Leonard Williams DL USC
Every team is looking for the next JJ Watt and while that is setting the bar extremely high Williams has a chance to be the next transcendent talent on the defensive line. He can play any position on the line and the Titans would be wise to pair him with Jurrell Casey and turn a weakness into a decided strength. Williams will get pressure on the QB and take pressure off of Casey along with making new addition Brian Orakpo that much more effective at OLB. The catch here is that Mariota is coveted by many and the Titans might be wise to find the best deal and take it. If they can swing a deal for Phillip Rivers from the Chargers I can’t see Ken Whisenhunt passing. The window of opportunity for any franchise to compete for a Super Bowl is small and while Rivers may only have 3-5 years left in his career adding him to your team immediately makes you a contender. I don’t think the Titans will get a good enough offer to pass up taking Leonard Williams and going with Zach Mettenberger for at least a year.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (3-13): Dante Fowler Jr. OLB Florida
There is a part of me that wants to give the Jaguars RB Todd Gurley out of Georgia because their offense is in desperate need of an every down back so Denard Robinson doesn’t have to carry the load and while Gurley is climbing the draft boards this is way too early. Fowler has been my choice for the Jaguars for a while now and his Swiss Army knife like versatility leads me to leaving him here. Gus Bradley needs playmakers on his defense and there isn’t a defensive back rated high enough for this spot so Fowler is the guy. The Jaguars secondary is crying for help even more than their offensive backfield but Trae Waynes isn’t going 3rd overall and if you can’t improve your coverage than improve your pass rush and Fowler does that and more. I actually prefer Vic Beasley myself but I think Fowler is more up Bradley’s alley.
- Oakland Raiders (3-13): Kevin White WR West Virginia
The Raiders are set at QB for the first time since Rich Gannon was suiting up, thank you Derek Carr. They are also set at one OLB spot after Khalil Mack’s fantastic rookie season and they just signed OC Rodney Hudson to a huge free agent contract. So that’s three starting positions locked down, only 19 more to go. GM Reggie McKenzie did a great job grabbing Mack and Carr last season and he actually did even more than that getting guys like OG Gabe Jackson, DT Justin Ellis and even guys like Shelby Harris and TJ Carrie. Harris and Carrie are nice depth but right now they have to be starters so Oakland needs more talent. Carr needs weapons if they are going to sustain his development and make him the franchise QB he should be. White is my second favorite WR behind Amari Cooper but plenty of teams are in love with White’s combination of size, speed and ability. It’s hard not to like him and he would be a dynamic down the field asset for Carr. They can’t go wrong with White or Cooper so Raiders fans just have to hope McKenzie can stay on a hot streak on draft weekend.
I’m projecting a TRADE at the fifth pick in the draft because new Washington Redskins GM Scot McCloughan is a lot smarter than previous Redskins’ GMs and the Cleveland Browns are as desperate as ever. The Browns move up to #5 overall by giving up their #12 and #19 picks of the first round of the draft. Considering the Browns picked Justin Gilbert and Johnny Manziel last year in the first round Browns fans should be relieved they only have one pick now.
- Cleveland Browns (from Washington 4-12): Marcus Mariota QB Oregon
The Browns new QB coach is Kevin O’Connell and he spent the offseason tutoring Mariota before he took the Browns job. GM Ray Farmer whiffed badly in the first round last year and not only on Johnny Manziel but on CB Justin Gilbert too and he needs to make a move to save his job. Manziel is a head case and the sooner the Browns accept that and move on the better. They grabbed a stopgap QB this offseason in Josh McCown and he can hold down the fort until Mariota is ready. The Browns have the ammunition to get up to #5 because they have two first round picks and they will need to use them because otherwise someone else will move into this spot to grab Mariota ahead of the Jets who would assuredly take him #6. Redskins GM Scot McCloughan will take advantage of the Browns desperation because he knows he needs more than one player to help his franchise and multiple first round picks will do him a lot more good.
- New York Jets (4-12): Vic Beasley OLB Clemson
The Jets just miss out on the player they want in Marcus Mariota but they get a fantastic consolation prize in OLB Vic Beasley. The need a pass rushing OLB almost as much as they need a QB because the one team they are desperately trying to beat is the New England Patriots and in order to do that they need to get pressure on Tom Brady. Calvin Pace is about three years past his prime and even though new head coach Todd Bowles was able to squeeze the last little bit out of John Abraham in Arizona he shouldn’t have to do that in New York with Pace. The Jets have been waiting years for Quinton Coples to emerge but it’s time to accept that he is what he is and move on. Beasley would be a terror for Bowles’ defense to unleash on their opponents and adding him to a defense with a great defensive line and a revamped secondary would allow Bowles to have another dominant defense.
- Chicago Bears (5-11): Danny Shelton NT Washington
I tried six different ways of talking myself out of this pick because it just makes too much sense to actually happen. It is completely possible the Bears grab Amari Cooper to pair with Alshon Jeffery at WR but their defense was so horrific last year and the change to a 3-4 alignment isn’t going to do any good especially when you had virtually no one in the front seven that fits that defense. Newly signed free agents OLB Pernell McPhee and DE Ray McDonald are a start but you still have a long way to go. New head coach John Fox is a defensive minded guy and Vic Fangio’s defense needs a rock in the middle to be effective. Danny Shelton is the definition of an immovable object and he’s clearly the best NT in this draft. Shelton is the building block you start your 3-4 around and while a pass rushing OLB would be nice to complement McPhee there will be plenty of those around in rounds 2 and 3 but there won’t be another Shelton available. It’s not a flashy pick but it’s the right one.
- Atlanta Falcons (6-10): Todd Gurley RB Georgia
The first major change for me is Gurley moving from a late first round pick into the top 10. Gurley had an ACL injury this last year and he wasn’t able to go through any workouts until recently and he looked impressive. Then his medical recheck just confirmed that his knee is doing fine and he should be ready by fall to play. RBs have been devalued recently but new Falcons head coach Dan Quinn had an up close view watching Marshawn Lynch carry the Seahawks to back-to-back Super Bowl appearances so grabbing his own version of “Beast Mode” seems like a great idea. DeVonta Freeman and Antone Smith just are not the same style of RB and Quinn can add to the offensive line later and hopefully take the pressure off of Matt Ryan and Julio Jones in the passing game. Gurley is a special back and the Falcons have other offensive pieces that are ready to compete for the playoffs right now so adding a back like Gurley that can contribute immediately is a smart choice. The Falcons may get panned for taking RB so high but Gurley is worth the investment.
- New York Giants (6-10): Brandon Scherff OT Iowa
The Giants have to sweat out the Falcons pick but they get their man in Scherff. Scherff is being touted as a possible OG and not a tackle but I think the Giants use him at RT and move Justin Pugh inside to guard improving two spots on their front line. Scherff is a run blocking beast and he’ll be fine pass blocking on the right side. The Giants have to get more production out of their running game to open things up for Odell Beckham and Victor Cruz and Scherff can remedy that in a hurry. He isn’t the most graceful athlete you’ll find at OT but Scherff can move mountains in the running game and whether it’s Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen or Andre Williams they will appreciate running behind him all day long. I don’t know if Scherff’s long-term future is at RT or if he moves to LT or if he moves inside to guard eventually but he can be a piece to the puzzle for a long time no matter what.
- St. Louis Rams (6-10): Amari Cooper WR Alabama
The Rams are rumored to be interested in Marcus Mariota but if that doesn’t come to fruition this would be the best case scenario. Cooper is my second favorite prospect after Leonard Williams and if he’s available at #10 the Rams should sprint to the podium with his name on the card. The Rams have been searching for a #1 WR since Torry Holt’s heyday and Cooper is just what they have been hoping for. Cooper is the best route runner in this year’s draft and his presence would take pressure off of Kenny Britt because he wouldn’t have to be the #1 WR, it would push Stedman Bailey into a 3rd WR role and it would open up the interior of defenses for slot receiver Tavon Austin and might actually make him a dangerous weapon. QB Nick Foles had a fantastic year two years ago in Philadelphia and he might actually be able to do it again if they add a WR like Cooper to his arsenal.
- Minnesota Vikings (7-9): Trae Waynes CB Michigan St.
I’m actually hoping the Vikings prove me wrong and take DeVante Parker because I would love to see Teddy Bridgewater get to play with him again and it would make Bridgewater that much better but I think Mike Zimmer will go defense. In a division where you face Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate, Jordy Nelson, Randal Cobb and Alshon Jeffery twice a year it’s a good plan to have outstanding CBs. Xavier Rhodes proved to be pretty good last season but he needs a running mate and Waynes has the size and physicality to hold up in this division and he won’t back down from anyone. Waynes is the best CB in this draft even though that’s not setting the bar very high this year. Byron Jones and Kevin Johnson are getting a lot of the ink lately when it comes to CBs in this draft but Waynes is still the one most ready to step in and play.
- Washington Redskins (from Cleveland 7-9): Shane Ray OLB Missouri
The first pick Scot McCloughan picked up in his trade with Cleveland and he gets exactly what he wanted in the first place, a pass rushing OLB to replace Brian Orakpo, and he still has another 1st round pick. McCloughan used to work in San Francisco and then in Seattle where he learned a few things from John Schneider and Peter Carroll. When you need to reshape a roster quantity is preferred especially if you are smart enough to still get quality players. Ray wasn’t as impressive as Dante Fowler or Vic Beasley in workouts and there are some that think Bud Dupree is a better player but Ray still brings that one quality every team wants, he knows how to rush the passer. In the pass happy NFL getting to the QB is the best way to stop an offense and Ray has a knack for that.
- New Orleans Saints (7-9): Alvin “Bud” Dupree OLB Kentucky
Dupree is an athletic freak by any standards, at 6’4 and almost 270 lbs. he ran his 40 at under 4.6 seconds and his vertical was 42 inches. He is still raw in his technique but he is fast, athletic and if he ever figures out how to use his strength to disengage blockers he’s going to be unstoppable. The Saints need to give Rob Ryan more help on defense especially rushing the passer. DE Cameron Jordan is very good and OLB Junior Galette can get to the QB too but he’s has some legal issues to deal with. Even if Galette is available all of next season the Saints could still use help opposite him. Dupree has been a recent riser on draft boards as his excellent workouts have made teams look at his production at Kentucky more closely and they have seen a player that brings a lot to the table.
- Miami Dolphins (8-8): DeVante Parker WR Louisville
The trade of WR Mike Wallace was addition by subtraction for the franchise and while adding WR Kenny Stills in a trade with the Saints was a nice move it only partially fills the gigantic void in the WR corps. Wallace wasn’t the only WR to leave the Dolphins in the offseason as both Brian Hartline and Brandon Gibson exited too. Jarvis Landry started to show up late last year but he’s a slot receiver and if the Dolphins want to get a real look at QB Ryan Tannehill before they commit long-term to him they should give him all the weapons he needs. Parker is dominant #1 type of receiver and would allow Kenny Stills to fill the deep threat position and keep Jarvis Landry inside the slot where he’s most effective. Add in the addition of TE Jordan Cameron, if he can stay healthy, and Tannehill will have no excuse if he can’t get the passing game going. Parker is right there alongside both Amari Cooper and Kevin White as a potential #1 WR from day one no matter where he goes but if he gets with a solid WR he could be spectacular.
- San Francisco 49ers (8-8): Arik Armstead DE Oregon
They cut Ray McDonald last season due to off the field issues, Justin Smith may be leaning towards retirement and the only player they signed in the offseason is 33 year old Darnell Dockett who is coming off a year lost to injury. Saying that the 49ers need help on the defensive line is like saying fish need water. New head coach Jim Tomsula is the former defensive line coach so he knows better than anyone that his defense will be useless if they don’t get some help up front. The 49ers have a unique need for a 3-4 DE and Arik Armstead is the best pure five-technique DE in this draft and his youth and athleticism would be a welcome addition. Armstead doesn’t fit every defense and as a 4-3 DE or DT he doesn’t rate this high but he would flourish under Tomsula.
- Houston Texans (9-7): Randy Gregory OLB Nebraska
Gregory has been considered a top 10 prospect through most of the draft process but that changed a few weeks ago when his failed drug test at the combine was revealed. Initially reports said that his stock wouldn’t take a hit because teams already knew about his marijuana use at Nebraska but the truth is teams are concerned and now they have a reason to look at other prospects more closely. Dupree and Ray benefit the most because they are on the same level as Gregory as OLB prospects but they don’t have a possible drug suspension hanging over their heads. When everything else is equal between prospects the guy with the admitted substance abuse problem slips down the board. Gregory would be a boon for the Texans as they look to fill the hole left by Brooks Reed’s departure to Atlanta, Whitney Mercilus’ lackluster career so far and Jadeveon Clowney’s knee issue. They have a few other needs but OLB depth is a real concern.
- San Diego Chargers (9-7): Landon Collins SS Alabama
There’s always one team that takes a guy no one was expecting them to take and everyone is picking the Chargers to grab an offensive lineman or a running back so I’m going out on a limb. The Chargers lost Marcus Gilchrist to the Jets in the offseason and it’s a bigger loss than you might think. Gilchrist paired with Eric Weddle to make a nice safety duo and the Chargers don’t really have much in reserve. Collins has been taking it on the chin over the last few weeks as his game has been picked apart and while you can find his issues when you look for them overall Collins is still a heck of football player. Alabama defensive backs haven’t proven to be all that successful over the past several years but you can’t hold that against Collins. The Chargers definitely need a new RT so Andrus Peat or Ereck Flowers is a possibility and if I’m wrong on Gurley going so early and he’s here he’s a no-brainer, even Melvin Gordon makes plenty of sense given the Chargers backfield concerns. Collins would step right into Gilchrist’s shoes and having Eric Weddle beside him would help his transition considerably.
- Kansas City Chiefs (9-7): Ereck Flowers RT Miami
Andy Reid has a penchant for taking linemen (offensive or defensive) early in the draft and it’s been a pretty solid strategy throughout his career. The Chiefs still need a WR but Breshad Perriman might be a little too similar to the recently signed Jeremy Maclin and Dorial Green-Beckham and Jaelen Strong might not rate as highly as Flowers. The Chiefs need a center and a RT meaning Flowers and Florida St. OC Cameron Erving are in play right here. Flowers is a big and powerful run blocker that needs some work on his pass protection but he would enhance the Chiefs running game on day one. Erving is a distinct possibility but I think Flowers wins out and the Chiefs address center later on. Either way Reid gets a big body up front to aid his offense in the trenches.
- Washington Redskins (from Cleveland via Buffalo 9-7): La’el Collins OL LSU
The Redskins addressed their pass rush need with the first pick they got from Cleveland in my make believe trade for Marcus Mariota now they have a chance to address their needs on the offensive line. Collins is projected by most to end up inside at offensive guard and that’s certainly a possibility but he could plug in at RT for Washington and he would be a huge upgrade. The Redskins have needed a RT for a few years now and while Collins may not be a long-term solution there he could be one for the short term and improve the protection for RGIII and open some holes for Alfred Morris. Down the line if the Redskins find a better RT option they can slide Collins inside to guard where he would likely dominate his competition.
- Philadelphia Eagles (10-6): Byron Jones CB UConn
Jones is not the second best CB in the draft but this is a projection based more on Chip Kelly’s preferences than on most teams’ boards. Jones is a superior athlete as he showcased by breaking the broad jump world record at the combine. He’s a pretty good corner that missed a lot of last season with an injury and he still needs to refine his game because he relies pretty heavily on his athletic skill, that works in college but can get you beat in the pros. Kelly loves athletic skill and believes that if he puts athletic players in his system they will do well. Jones doesn’t have the pure cover skills of Marcus Peters or Kevin Johnson but he put in the time to come back from his shoulder injury and that shows he has the dedication to refine his cover skills and he could become a fantastic player in time. The Eagles secondary was terrible last season and they are making a concerted effort to overhaul it, Jones could join Byron Maxwell and Walter Thurmond as the new CBs in the Eagles defensive backfield.
- Cincinnati Bengals (10-5-1): TJ Clemmings OT Pittsburgh
I never thought I would be able to say this about the Bengals but they don’t have any glaring needs on their team. They could use some help at LB, they could use some more youth in the secondary and adding depth to the interior of the defensive line is never a bad idea but considering the ineptitude of the Bengals in the 90’s and early 2000’s this is incredible progress. RT Andre Smith had some health issues last season and LT Andrew Whitworth and backup RT Eric Winston aren’t spring chickens anymore so the Bengals have the luxury of grabbing a potentially great OT a year before they may even need him. Clemmings is oozing with potential because of his physical ability and relative inexperience as an offensive lineman. He has only been playing offensive tackle for a couple of years and while he excelled as RT at Pittsburgh he shows many of the great athletic traits of a potential LT. Teams that are able to grab the best player available usually sustain winning longer than teams that have to draft for need. The Bengals are finally a team that can do that.
- Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5): Kevin Johnson CB Wake Forest
The Steelers defense is in need of a talent and youth infusion at almost every level but pass rushing OLB and CB are the two most glaring needs. Finding CB Kevin Johnson out of Wake Forest still available at this point would be a blessing because he has very good coverage skills and he would fit into the hard working, blue collar culture of the Steelers. Johnson isn’t flashy and he’s going to just go about his job as best he can and the Steelers need a new #1 corner (they could probably use a #2 corner also). Between all of the OLBs and CBs left Johnson is the highest rated player so he makes the choice easy here, the Steelers will likely be looking to grab one of the sleeper OLB in the second or third round.
- Detroit Lions (11-5): Andrus Peat OT Stanford
The Lions could use help at DT next to newly acquired DT Haloti Ngata, they could possibly try to upgrade at CB opposite Darius Slay and replace Rashean Mathis with someone that isn’t 135 in NFL years or they could try to upgrade their offensive line at either RT, LG or OC. Andrus Peat is 6’7 313 lbs. and he would be a massive upgrade over any RT they have on the roster. Peat isn’t a road grading run blocker like Brandon Scherff or Ereck Flowers but he’s actually a pretty good pass protector and for a team that likes to feature Matthew Stafford, Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate a pass blocker would be just fine, that’s not to say he wouldn’t upgrade the run blocking too.
- Arizona Cardinals (11-5): Melvin Gordon RB Wisconsin
The Cardinals could very well be the landing spot for a third QB in the first round if they like UCLA QB Brett Hundley enough because we all saw what happened to that team last year when Carson Palmer went down and Palmer isn’t getting any younger. I still believe Hundley is the only QB other than the top two that has a chance at becoming a long-term starter in the NFL so it’s still possible someone pulls the trigger earlier than expected. The Cardinals could also use an upgrade at RB and Gordon would give them a homerun hitter that can actually carry the load. Andre Ellington is a big play guy but he just isn’t physical enough to carry the ball 20 times a game. Gordon never had that problem as he is used to being in a run heavy offense. Gordon also projects to be a much better NFL RB than the long line of great Badger backs that haven’t done much in NFL.
- Carolina Panthers (7-8-1): DJ Humphries OT Florida
Okay so I’m back on the Humphries to the Panthers pick because the Panthers need to sure up their offensive tackle position and it’s either Humphries or Oregon OT Jake Fisher and Fisher just doesn’t feel right here. Humphries can plug into the LT spot so they can move Michael Oher to RT where he’s less of a liability. The Panthers still need help at CB but unless Kevin Johnson or Byron Jones is available I think they pass here. The Panthers aren’t likely to gamble on Marcus Peters and Jalen Collins recent failed drug test revelation while at LSU is going to cause him to fall. They could reach for CB Ronald Darby but Humphries is better value and fills a bigger need. WR Breshad Perriman could also be the pick and he would pair well with Kelvin Benjamin but I still think protecting Cam Newton has to come first.
- Baltimore Ravens (10-6): Breshad Perriman WR Central Florida
The Ravens have to address their lack of playmakers on offense or their $100 million investment in Joe Flacco last year is going to be money down the drain. I don’t blame them for letting Torrey Smith walk as a free agent given his one-trick pony skillset but they can’t go into next season with Steve Smith as their #1 WR. Perriman has the pedigree and #26 overall feels like a more likely landing spot than somewhere between #12-#18 like some are projecting. He is actually an upgrade over Torrey Smith because he’s a more complete WR (he can run more routes) but he’ll still have a learning curve. The Ravens rarely reach for need but in this case Perriman not only fills a need but he might be the best prospect available.
- Dallas Cowboys (12-4): Malcolm Brown DT Texas
You expect more flash from the Dallas Cowboys but their team is in pretty good shape overall and the last few years they have focused early on the offensive line. The fact that they have built such a good offensive line through the draft should point them in the right direction on how to fix their defensive line problems. Signing DE Greg Hardy was controversial and now he’s been suspended for the first ten games next year so grabbing a DE is a possibility but the value lies at DT. Malcolm Brown is a quick, penetrating DT which is exactly the type of player defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli likes. Brown is Texas Longhorn originally from Texas so being drafting by the Cowboys will make for a nice story.
- Denver Broncos (12-4): Jake Fisher OT Oregon
Quite often there is an offensive tackle that sneaks into the late first round when a team needs help at the position but the surefire guys are off the board. Fisher has been moving up the board late in the process and it conceivable that the Broncos will reach a little bit to get a RT they think fits Gary Kubiak’s style. Fisher isn’t an elite athlete and the zone blocking system Kubiak uses would hide some of his deficiencies so he could play RT. The Broncos need a DT too but if OTs come off the board like I think they will the Broncos may need to grab Fisher here to make sure they get one. They need to solidify the position to give themselves a chance to compete in what is likely to be Peyton Manning’s last season.
- Indianapolis Colts (11-5): Cameron Erving OL Florida St.
Erving’s best position is probably as a center considering he excelled there after moving inside in the middle of last year. However, Erving has also played left tackle and his versatility could be very useful for the Colts as they could use help at either OC or RT. The Colts could let Erving battle for either position and use the best 5 linemen they have by slotting him in where they need him. The Colts need help in the secondary and at inside linebacker meaning LBs Eric Kendricks, Stephone Anthony or Benardrick McKinney are all possibilities as are DB Eric Rowe and CB Marcus Peters. My final thought on the Colts is that if both Todd Gurley and Melvin Gordon are off the board at this point (as they are in this mock draft) they could be a landing spot for a third RB in the first round like Jay Ajayi of Boise St.
- Green Bay Packers (12-4): Eric Kendricks ILB UCLA
If the season started today the Packers would line up on defense with a gigantic gaping hole in the middle of their defense, they could slide Clay Matthew inside to cover like they did last year but that creates another problem on the outside. Carl Bradford might be able to hold down one ILB spot but Eric Kendricks would come in as an immediate starter on day one. Kendricks is also a very versatile player due to his years in UCLA’s variable defense so Dom Capers could come up with some creative ways to use both Kendricks and Matthews all over the field. It’s almost a foregone conclusion that the Packers will take and ILB in the first round and I would bet that even if they do it won’t be the last ILB they take.
- New Orleans Saints (from Seattle 12-4): Dorial Green-Beckham WR Mizzou/Oklahoma
The Saints have a second first round pick from the Jimmy Graham trade with Seattle and after using their first one on an OLB for their defense they should really consider getting Drew Brees some help. They traded away Graham and WR Kenny Stills and WR Marques Colston isn’t getting any younger so adding a talented playmaker like Green-Beckham would certainly help their offense. Green-Beckham has a number of off the field issues but a strong veteran offense led by head coach Sean Peyton, QB Drew Brees and WR Marques Colston could be the perfect environment for Green-Beckham to turn himself around. The Saints took WR Brandin Cooks last year and he was off to a terrific start before an injury ended his season and Green-Beckham is the exact opposite type of WR from Cooks so they would play well off each other in the future.
- New England Patriots (12-4): Marcus Peters CB Washington
This possibility makes me both excited and scared at the same time. The Patriots need talent at CB after losing both Darrell Revis and Brandon Browner in free agency and Peters is arguable the best pure cover corner in this draft (I would argue he is the best). It isn’t even his off the field issues that concern me because they have to do with not getting along with coaches and flying off the handle at his coaches and I don’t see that being an issue with Bill Belichick, Belichick has handled far tougher divas than Peters. My fear stems from the fact that Bill Belichick has a terrible history drafting CBs in the early rounds of the draft and I don’t want him to jinx Peters by taking him here. The Patriots need him because he profiles as a future #1 CB and those are hard to find. Peters is only available because he isn’t the supreme athlete that Byron Jones is and Kevin Johnson gets along with people better and is a pretty good cover man himself.
Round 2
- Tennessee Titans: Eric Rowe DB Utah
The Titans need to address the RT position but Rowe is moving up the draft boards pretty quickly and represents good value. He can come in as a CB and help out there but he may eventually move over to FS and he could be the long-term replacement for the aging Michael Griffin.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Owamagbe Odighizuwa DE UCLA
Odighizuwa has first round potential so the Buccaneers would be lucky to find him here early in the second round. After letting Adrian Clayborn walk in free agency and cutting Michael Johnson after just a year they really need to find some talent at DE and Odighizuwa is a talent for sure.
- Oakland Raiders: Ronald Darby CB Florida St.
Darby was overshadowed in his own backfield by PJ Williams and Jalen Ramsey but Ramsey isn’t in this draft and PJ Williams got himself into a little off the field trouble. Darby is a solid player in his own right and after an impressive athletic display at the combine teams took notice. The Raiders need talent and Darby is good enough to become an immediate starter, he probably isn’t going to be in the conversation as the best CB in the NFL but he’s better than almost any CB on the Raiders roster.
- Jacksonville Jaguars: Jay Ajayi RB Boise St.
The Jaguars are building a nice offense with QB Blake Bortles, WRs Allen Robinson, Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns, free agent TE Julius Thomas and they addressed their offensive line in the offseason with RT Jermey Parnell and OC Stefen Wisniewski. Now they need a RB that can carry the load, no offense to Denard Robinson but he is a situational back. Ajayi is 6’0 220 lbs. and he can be the workhorse. Blake Bortles development would be seriously aided by having a back like Ajayi to take the pressure off the passing game.
- New York Jets: Brett Hundley QB UCLA
The idea that the Jets are going to go into the season with Geno Smith and Ryan Fitzpatrick as their top options at QB is laughable. Smith hasn’t shown a whole lot of promise and the new regime at GM and head coach has no allegiance to him whatsoever, Fitzpatrick is nothing but a stopgap. Hundley may need a little time but he is a far superior option to either of these two and would actually bring some hope of competent QB play.
- Washington Redskins: Quinten Rollins CB Miami (OH)
After addressing their two most pressing needs (OLB and RT) in the first round after my make believe trade with the Browns the Redskins get some youth for the secondary. Rollins played basketball for 4 years at Miami (OH) and only one year of football but he’s an intriguing prospect. The Redskins can hope DeAngelo Hall has one more year in him to help Rollins transition to the NFL and then be ready to take over.
- Chicago Bears: Jaelen Strong WR Arizona St.
The Bears may luck into the best of both worlds if they can get Danny Shelton in round 1 and still have a WR like Strong available in round 2. Strong is one of my favorite players in this draft and he’s going to be an excellent addition to any team. The Bears could replace Brandon Marshall with Strong and hope that Jay Cutler figures it all out at the age of 32.
- New York Giants: Damarious Randall FS Arizona St.
Randall isn’t the biggest safety in the draft but the Giants need a lot of help at the position and Randall could be a very good centerfielder at FS. The Giants don’t have much on their roster and a player like Randall would step right into a starting position on day one.
- St. Louis Rams: AJ Cann OG South Carolina
There is a perception that the Rams need to take a RT in this draft but their RT from last season Joe Barksdale is still on the free agent market because he hasn’t found a suitable offer. Greg Robinson is going to move outside to replace Jake Long at LT meaning the Rams should grab Cann and plug him in at guard and then re-sign Barksdale to help solidify their line.
- Atlanta Falcons: Eli Harold DE/OLB Virginia
After grabbing Todd Gurley in my first round the Falcons look to help their defense out a bit. The free agent additions of Adrian Clayborn, Brooks Reed and O’Brien Schofield help the pass rush but Harold would bring speed off the edge that new head coach Dan Quinn would love. Harold would be a situational pass rusher to begin with but he has the type of versatility Quinn had in Seattle with Bruce Irvin.
- Cleveland Browns: Eddie Goldman DT Florida St.
After making a bold move to get yet another QB of the future the Browns need to address the fact that the middle of their defense was terrible last year against the run. Goldman is good 3-4 NT prospect that would make a major difference up front for them. Of course they could always draft Bryce Petty after taking Marcus Mariota because if they just keep drafting QBs sooner or later they have to stumble into a franchise QB, right?
- New Orleans Saints: Maxx Williams TE Minnesota
Williams is the top TE in the draft but he is no Jimmy Graham. That’s not a problem because the Saints are looking for a TE that can be a pass catcher but also contribute in the running game. Williams knows how to block from his time with the Gophers and while he may not be the mismatch Graham was he’ll do just fine.
- Minnesota Vikings: Stephone Anthony LB Clemson
The Vikings middle linebacker spot has been an issue for a few years and the loss of Jasper Brinkley in free agency didn’t help the problem. The Vikings shouldn’t go into the season with Audie Cole as their starting MLB and Anthony has been moving up the draft board. He’s got good size and instincts and would be a major upgrade over Cole.
- San Francisco 49ers: Benardrick McKinney ILB Mississippi St.
To say that the 49ers need help at ILB is an understatement. The retirements of Patrick Willis and Chris Borland and the injury history of Navarro Bowman makes Michael Wilhoite the closest thing to a sure thing they have and they were trying to trade him a couple of months ago. McKinney is a big ILB with range and a knack for being in the middle of the action. The 49ers would have to be crazy to pass on him here because he’s a starting caliber ILB and they are in short supply in San Francisco these days.
- Miami Dolphins: Shaq Thompson LB Washington
The Dolphins LB corps is nothing to write home about and they would be lucky if Thompson falls this far. Thompson has proven to be a bit of a tweener in his workouts being a tad small for LB and a little slow for SS but he’s a player and he could play weakside LB for Miami and probably be their best LB.
- San Diego Chargers: Donovan Smith OT Penn St.
Smith is a 6’6 338 lbs. giant that moves very well considering his sheer size. The Chargers would do well to grab Smith and plug him in at RT so they could move DJ Fluker inside to LG where his power would be an asset and his lack of lateral movement wouldn’t be a detriment. Fluker would excel inside and Smith should be able to better handle outside rushers at RT.
- Kansas City Chiefs: Nelson Agholor WR USC
The Chiefs get lucky with things falling their way after grabbing RT Ereck Flowers they still get a very talented WR in Agholor. After adding Jeremy Maclin in free agency Agholor would be a great complement to him because while Agholor isn’t a great deep ball receiver that is exactly where Maclin excels. Maclin and Agholor would be the best Chiefs receiving duo since…the beginning of time?
- Buffalo Bills: Laken Tomlinson OG Duke
The Bills traded their first round pick last year to move up and draft Sammy Watkins so this is their first choice in the 2015 draft. I would like to give them a QB to upgrade over Matt Cassel and EJ Manuel but that doesn’t exist at this point in the draft. Surprisingly the Bills don’t have any other major holes on their team and their best course of action would be to upgrade the interior of their offensive line. OG Laken Tomlinson would be a big upgrade over Chris Williams and getting better upfront would make new RB LeSean McCoy that much more effective. Cassel is likely to hold off Manuel but he is just a caretaker and he would be well served by a great ground game. Tomlinson is not a household name, guards rarely are, but he’s an excellent prospect that would make a major difference for the Bills.
- Houston Texans: Devin Smith WR Ohio St.
The Texans cut Andre Johnson in the offseason and while DeAndre Hopkins proved to be a very good WR last season they need a deep threat to take the top off the defense. Smith is the absolute definition of a deep threat and pairing him on the outside with Hopkins while free agent signee Cecil Shorts works inside the slot would give QB Ryan Mallett (or Brian Hoyer) some weapons in the passing game. Smith may be primarily known as a deep threat but something tells me Bill O’Brien could get the best out of him.
- Philadelphia Eagles: Phillip Dorsett WR Miami
While it certainly seems like Chip Kelly has an aversion to small, fast WRs given he cut DeSean Jackson last year and let Jeremy Maclin walk this year, he knows a playmaker when he sees one and Dorsett would be a good complement to Jordan Matthews and Riley Cooper. Dorsett’s elite speed and elusiveness would be a welcome addition and he and Matthews can both play inside the slot or outside receiver.
- Cincinnati Bengals: Carl Davis DT Iowa
Domata Peko struggled last season and he’s been in the league 10 years so his time may be coming to an end. Geno Atkins wasn’t his usual dominant self last season either but he’s only 27 so the Bengals are hoping he can bounce back. Atkins needs a big body next to him because he’s undersized and Davis is 6’5 320 lbs. so he qualifies. Davis would be great value here because he’s a legitimate first round possibility and he’s ready to contribute immediately.
- Detroit Lions: Grady Jarrett DT Clemson
The trade for Haloti Ngata was a nice move after losing Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley but the Lions still need more help at DT. Jarrett would be a great player to put next to Ngata who is a 340 lbs. behemoth that can anchor down because Jarrett is at his best as a penetrating force. Jarrett’s lack of girth wouldn’t be an issue lined up next to Ngata.
- Arizona Cardinals: Preston Smith DE Mississippi St.
The Cardinals lost Darnell Dockett to free agency and even though he missed time last year due to an injury that just showed them how much they need a new 3-4 DE. Smith is 6’5 271 lbs. and his strength and powerful hands make him an ideal candidate to be a five-technique end. He doesn’t have the pure speed to be an effective edge rusher in the NFL but he does possess the ability to anchor and hold the edge as well as get some push up field the way a 3-4 DE must.
- Pittsburgh Steelers: Danielle Hunter OLB LSU
Hunter looks the part of an elite pass rusher in workouts but he never really put it to use on the field. The Steelers are in need of some reinforcements at OLB given Jason Worilds surprising retirement and Jarvis Jones inability to take over the spot. Arthur Moats is just a guy and James Harrison is well past his prime but perhaps the Steelers can fashion Hunter’s physical gifts into an actual pass rusher.
- Carolina Panthers: Jalen Collins CB LSU
Collins likely cost himself a round in the draft after the disclosure that he failed drug tests while at LSU. Collins wasn’t a perfect prospect to begin with because he lacks experience and is still very raw but the information about drug use at LSU seems to be new information and teams will go for players they feel more comfortable with instead of taking a chance. The Panthers need some help at CB and Collins wouldn’t be asked to be a major contributor from day one and they could hope that newly signed veteran Charles Tillman would be a good influence on Collins his rookie year and help him transition to the pros.
- Baltimore Ravens: Lorenzo Mauldin OLB Louisville
The Ravens rarely reach for need and that’s why they take Mauldin here instead of getting a CB or a safety. Mauldin would be good insurance behind aging OLBs Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil and would be an excellent pass rushing specialist as a rookie. Mauldin is versatile enough to replace the departed Pernell McPhee and he could be an eventual full-time replacement for Suggs or Dumervil.
- Denver Broncos: Jordan Phillips DT Oklahoma
I’ve made my feelings about Phillips pretty well known but a guy that is 6’5 330 lbs. is only going to drop so far no matter how raw he is. The Broncos reach a little in the first round of this mock draft to grab RT Jake Fisher but they get a guy here in Phillips a little later than most expect. The Broncos need bodies at DT so Phillips won’t have the luxury of easing into a rotation but they need help all over the defensive line so he won’t be alone in learning on the job.
- Dallas Cowboys: PJ Williams CB Florida St.
Williams draft stock has fallen behind guys like Quinten Rollins, Eric Rowe and Ronald Darby because he freelances too much and gambles too often. His recent DUI arrest did not help his cause but his loss might be the Cowboys gain. Morris Claiborne has been a bust and Orlando Scandrick is apparently unhappy so that leaves Dallas with Brandon Carr and needing some significant help at CB. Williams has the ability to be an excellent cover corner in the NFL and he will contribute immediately.
- Indianapolis Colts: Tevin Coleman RB Indiana
The Colts were hoping to grab Todd Gurley or Melvin Gordon in the first round but Coleman is more than a consolation prize here in the second round. Coleman’s big play ability would be the perfect complement to Frank Gore’s grind-it-out style and he can eventual replace Gore because he’s able to handle a heavy workload. The Colts continue to put playmakers around Andrew Luck and hope it puts them on the way to a Super Bowl.
- Green Bay Packers: Paul Dawson ILB Baylor
I said Eric Kendricks wouldn’t be the last ILB the Packers take in this draft and it just so happens that the best available talent at this point in the second round is Baylor’s Paul Dawson. Dawson wouldn’t just be a choice for depth he is a legitimate starting candidate next to Kendricks and I would expect him to win the job. The Packers only other real need is at NT and there aren’t any of those worth this draft spot.
- Seattle Seahawks: Ali Marpet OL Hobart
The Seahawks big offseason move to get TE Jimmy Graham was certainly justified considering their need for a playmaker on offense but it overshadowed the fact that they gave up their starting OC Max Unger along with their first round pick. Adding Unger’s loss to the free agent defection of OG James Carpenter and the Seahawks need to address the interior of their offensive line. Marpet was a Division III All-American who started at LT for three years before earning an invite to the Senior Bowl. He moved inside to OG in Mobile and more than held his own against the best competition he faced. Marpet isn’t an elite athlete but he is smart and aggressive and some think he may be able to play OC. The Seahawks need help inside and they could take Marpet and give him a chance to win a job at either OG or OC. GM John Schneider and head coach Pete Carroll have never been afraid to think outside the box so this pick is right up their alley.
- New England Patriots: Michael Bennett DT Ohio St.
Bennett isn’t the space-eating NT that Vince Wilfork was but there aren’t any of those left that are worthy of a second round pick even if it is the last pick of the round. Bennett is the type of versatile lineman Bill Belichick likes given his penchant for using multi-variable fronts. Bennett can be an interior DT or play the edge and anchor against the run. He has multiple pass rush moves and most importantly would bring youth and talent to the defensive line. It doesn’t hurt that Bennett has played the last few years for Urban Meyer, a trait Belichick apparently loves.