Hott Read Quick Hits (Rounds 2 & 3)

He are some quick thoughts and reactions to Friday’s NFL Draft festivities.  This is mostly about Friday (not as much about Thursday) and I’m not covering every pick.

  • The Cleveland Browns traded down twice in the first round to pick up multiple draft picks in an effort to add players to a thin roster but just because they went for quantity doesn’t mean they didn’t get quality.  DEs Emmanuel Ogbah and Carl Nassib don’t seem like perfect fits in the 3-4 defense but new defensive coordinator Ray Horton will figure out how to use them both because he desperately needs to find a way to get pressure on the QB and these two are naturals at that.  OT Shon Coleman is a fantastic story after beating cancer and he fill a huge need.  They need to put him in at RT and give last year’s pick Cameron Erving the job at C, that would get the offensive line moving in the right direction.  The choice of QB Cody Kessler looked strange considering higher rated QBs were still on the board but I actually like Kessler because he brings one trait a lot of guys don’t have and that is great accuracy.  Will he challenge RGIII for the starting job? Maybe. Will he be a solid backup for a long time? Absolutely.
  • The Titans went quantity too with DE Kevin Dodd, DT Austin Johnson and  RB Derrick Henry in round 2 and then S Kevin Byard at the top of round 3.  The got some good quality too.  Dodd gives them a pass rusher they need and while it may take a little while for him to transition to their defense his pass rushing skills will translate quickly.  Johnson is just what they need at NT and his presence should really help Jurrell Casey.  The Derrick Henry pick may look like a luxury after they traded for DeMarco Murray but Murray is coming off a bad year and he’s only ever stayed healthy once so Henry is a nice hedge against that bet.  Henry isn’t my favorite player but he’s well worth the 45th selection and could pay off huge.  I don’t know much about Byard, he’s a safety out of Middle Tennessee St., but I do know they Titans need safety help badly.
  • I have no earthly idea what the Cowboys are doing but they bought the biggest lottery pick in this draft LB Jaylon Smith.  Smith’s knee injury may never heal and he may never be the player he was but before the injury he was one of the top 3 defensive players in this draft (Jalen Ramsey and Myles Jack were the other 2).  If by some miracle Smith’s knee makes a full recovery he’s a future NFL Defensive Player of the Year guy.  I’m happy for Smith and I do hope we someday get to see him at full strength because he’s fun to watch.  I like their 3rd round pick DT Maliek Collins as a player but they needed a pass rusher and there were still a couple of good ones left.
  • Nice pickup by the Chargers to get the best TE in a weak TE class.  Hunter Henry will more than replace Ladarius Green’s production and he’ll really make Phillip Rivers happy.  Their 3rd round pick is a sleeper too, if Max Tuerk fully recovers from his ACL injury he’ll be the starting center sooner rather than later and they really need help there.
  • Speaking of Jalen Ramsey and Myles Jack the Jaguars stopped Jack’s free fall with the fifth pick of the second round and now they have both of these guys.  If Jack is healthy the Jaguars just won the draft and they didn’t need to pick anyone else.  The Jaguars defense has been completely overhauled this off season and these two could be the foundation of some long term success if Jack makes a full recovery.  They didn’t stop either as they added a really nice pass rushing piece in Maryland’s Yannick Ngakoue.  He might be a one-trick pony but he does one hell of a trick.
  • The Buccaneers finally pulled the trigger on DE Noah Spence and he may be just the pass rushing jolt they need.  Pairing him on the outside with inside stud DT Gerald McCoy should be dangerous, good value pick.  Then they turn around and trade back up into the end of the second round to grab Florida St. K Roberto Aguayo, seriously?  I know the league changed the extra point rules and I know Aguayo is a fantastic kicker but that team has way bigger issues to deal with than kicker and not only did they use a second round pick but they traded picks to get that pick.  I love their first two picks of CB Vernon Hargreaves and DE Noah Spence and if they would have been trading back into round 2 to grab S Vonn Bell I’d be singing their praises but a kicker, terrible use of picks.
  • Love WR Sterling Sheppard to the Giants, if I were Victor Cruz I’d be worried about my job security.
  • The Bills got great value at #41 with LB Reggie Ragland, kid is a beast.
  • The Ravens did it again and got a good player that is a great fit in OLB Kamalei Correa who gives them the future OLB they need for when Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil call it quits.
  • I like the Raiders 3rd round pick DE Shilique Calhoun better than their 2nd round pick DE Jihad Ward.  Ward is still really raw and while Calhoun can play a little soft I think Jack Del Rio and Ken Norton Jr. can light a fire under him.
  • The Lion’s are killing it in this draft.  OT Taylor Decker was a steal in round 1 now they add a huge steal at a major need position with DT A’Shawn Robinson and then they grabbed C Graham Glasgow in the third.  Two starting offensive linemen and a stud DT, that’s how you do it.
  • The Saints loved themselves some Ohio St. Buckeyes in round 2 with WR Michael Thomas and S Vonn Bell.  Thomas is a fantastic replacement for Marques Colston and Drew Brees is going to love him.  Bell was excellent value and they need help in the secondary.  Bell may make former free agent mistake Jairus Byrd expended sooner rather than later.
  • The Packers couldn’t pass up OT Jason Spriggs because he was just too much value and again Ted Thompson gets a very good prospect, Spriggs is a future starting LT.  Kyler Fackrell is an interesting 3rd rounder because he’s been a pass rushing OLB in college and we shall see what Dom Capers does with him because he has some interesting skills.
  • The Seahawks lucked into DT Jarran Reed who is a perfect replacement for the departed Brandon Mebane.  Then they grabbed talented RB CJ Prosise who should complement Thomas Rawls well.  TE Nick Vannett is a good pickup if they decide to use more two TE sets and finally OL Rees Odhiambo is another piece along with 1st rounder Germain Ifedi for a rebuilding offensive line.
  • I wasn’t in love with the Texans 1st round pick WR Will Fuller because he drops too many passes but 2nd rounder C Nick Martin is a great pickup.  Martin starts day one and he will really help Brock Osweiler’s transition.  3rd rounder WR Braxton Miller is great pickup as an offensive weapon.  He has a lot to learn about player WR but I actually like him better than Fuller.  If they find a way to get the ball in both these guys’ hands that offense could be scary with Lamar Miller at RB and DeAndre Hopkins leading the way at WR.
  • As a Patriots fan I give the Jets choice of QB Christian Hackenberg an A+.  I just hope he doesn’t regain his freshman year at Penn St. abilities any time soon.  The choice of OLB Jordan Jenkins from Georgia is a way better pick than people are talking about.  Leonard Floyd got all the press clippings while Jenkins did all the dirty work.  He could be damn good playing for Todd Bowles.
  • The Falcons 2nd round pick LB Deion Jones is a way better pickup than their 1st round reach S Keanu Neal.  3rd round TE Austin Hooper is solid choice.
  • I can’t argue with the Redskins picks at all.  S/LB Su’a Cravens is a nice pickup in round 2 but 3rd CB Kendall Fuller is a frickin steal.  Once Fuller is fully recovered from his ACL injury he’s a star CB.  Pairing him and Josh Norman will be huge.
  • Not a Mackensie Alexander fan but the Vikings got great value with him.
  • The Bengals missed out on the first round WRs but they got Tyler Boyd in round 2 and that’s just as good in my book.  He’s a sleeper next season.
  • The Packers stole Jason Spriggs right out from under the Bears so the Bears bailed out and traded down and still got a very good offensive lineman in Cody Whitehair but he isn’t the LT prospect they needed.  They did get a huge steal in the 3rd round with DL Jonathan Bullard.  He’s a tweener but Vic Fangio will find ways to attack offenses with his new toys 1st rounder Leonard Floyd and now Bullard.
  • I didn’t like the Steelers 1st round pick CB Artie Burns but I love their 2nd round choice of S/CB Sean Davis.  I don’t think he’ll be a CB for them but he is going to be a fantastic S and they have needed one for a while.  3rd round DL Javon Hargrave is a nice fit and replaces Steve McClendon quite well.
  • The Patriots took CB Cyrus Jones, he’s a good player I just hope he can overcome the Patriots CB drafting curse.  Then they traded the pick they got for Chandler Jones.  In the third round they took a versatile interior offensive lineman Joe Thuney (because they just don’t have enough of those) then they took QB Jacoby Brissett for some inexplicable reason.  DT Vincent Valentine was a nice pickup and should be a nice backup to free agent signee Terrance Knighton.  Don’t worry I’m used to being disappointed in the Patriots drafts.
  • For some reason the Dolphins took Alabama backup RB Kenyon Drake in round 3, I know he’s fast but he’s rarely healthy and there were better players left.
  • The Ohio St. Buckeyes dominated the first 3 rounds of the draft setting a record with 10 guys drafted in the first 3 rounds.  That’s 10 out of the 98 picks, that’s more than 10% from one school.
  • Here are the guys I can’t believe are still available; DT Andrew Billings, ILB Kentrell Brothers, RB Devontae Booker and to a certain extent QB Connor Cook.  There has to be something in the background of Billings whether it’s an injury, a drug test issue or something else dropping him because he’s a very good player and should have gone already.  Brothers is held back by his limitation as just an ILB but he’s going to start for someone next year.  Booker is being held back by his injury.  I can believe Cook doesn’t wow anyone but for Kessler and Brissett to go before him is strange.  I’m not as shocked that Hackenberg was taken before Cook because he has superior physical traits but Kessler doesn’t and Brissett is not nearly ready to contribute like Cook will.

 

First Round Reaction Blog

So I’m going to try to blog this first round as I watch it but it might get interrupted.  It’s expected to be Jared Goff and then Carson Wentz then the fun starts with San Diego at 3.  I’m watching the NFL Network feed not ESPN because I can’t do this if I want to kill Chris Berman all night and Mike Mayock is way cooler than Kiper.  Here we go…the Rams are on the clock.

Los Angeles Rams Pick

Jared Goff   QB

He’s way better than Nick Foles or Case Keenum but this team is ready to roll so he better get it together.  Goff has some transition he needs to work on but he’s pretty good.

Philadelphia Eagles Pick

Carson Wentz   QB

This is the guy Doug Pederson wanted and he just hitched his wagon to him for better of worse.  The kid knows how to win, he was the starting QB on the last two FCS Championship teams at North Dakota St. but they never lost a FCS Championship while he was there.  Philly is a tough place to play and a hard fan base to please.  What to do with Sam Bradford now?

 

Ezekiel Elliott is wearing mid drift baring button down shirt?…okay yes I did just see that.

San Diego Chargers Pick

Joey Bosa   DE

And we are off…didn’t see that coming.  Bosa was supposed to be dropping.  Not a great fit but he can make a transition.  They need pass rushing for sure, they can line Bosa up either on the same side of the defense as Ingram as a DE or opposite him as an OLB.  I wouldn’t have passed on Ramsey or Tunsil for him but going into last year he was the #1 player for the draft.

Hey I got the first two right!!!!

If the Cowboys take Ezekiel Elliott the Jaguars are the luckiest team ever.

Dallas Cowboys Pick

Ezekiel Elliott   RB

Seriously? How many RBs do you need.  The offense better score 40 pts a game because the defense is hurting.  I love Elliott and he’ll be unreal behind that offensive line but if Romo injures his collarbone again the team will be right back here.  If Romo is healthy Elliott is the Offensive Rookie of the Year leader but they still might go 8-8 with that D.

Jacksonville Jaguars Pick

If they didn’t run Jalen Ramsey’s name up to the podium I don’t know what they are doing.

Jalen Ramsey   DB

The Jags are having a hell of an off season.  Their defense should be transformed with last year’s rookie Dante Fowler coming back from an injury, the addition of DL Malik Jackson, CB Prince Amukamara and S Tayshaun Gipson and now Ramsey.  Best player in the draft goes 5th?  Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good.  Ramsey is my early pick for Defensive Rookie of the Year.

I was right last year when I said CB Marcus Peters of the Chiefs would be defensive rookie of the year.

Right now Ozzie Newsome is smiling because he can take Laremy Tunsil or DeForest Buckner and he’s going to end up with a fantastic starter.

Baltimore Ravens Pick

Ronnie Stanley   OT

Okay, not Tunsil.  A bit surprising for me because I like Tunsil but I have read a few things that teams have been questioning him off-the-field.  Stanley is a top player and he’s a solid citizen.

Mayock just threw out the “dancing bear” moniker.  Love it.  He’s not quite that good of a mauler but he is a bit better than Tunsil so I’ll give it to him.

Tunsil supposedly taking a bong hit on video and it was posted on Twitter.  Yikes.

Deion stop hitting on Stanley on stage, wait until later.

San Francisco 49ers

DeForest Buckner    DE

They like their Oregon DEs after taking Armstead last year.  Buckner is a better player and will start right away.  How far will Tunsil fall, he would have been a nice pickup but it could be a tough night for Tunsil.  I like Buckner and he’s a great scheme fit.

Cleveland is trading out of #8 but it’s not to Miami for Elliott.

Cleveland trades with Tennessee

Tennessee gets Tunsil at 8 instead of 1 and Cleveland can get Treadwell

Tennessee Titans

Jack Conklin   OT

Tunsil is going to spiral at this point.  Conklin is a solid player.  Lewan and Conklin are Mariota’s body guards.  Nice move up and down the board by Tennessee and getting what they need.

Tampa Bay is trading out of #9

Chicago Bears moving up ahead of Giants.  Has to be Tunsil

Chicago Bears Pick

Leonard Floyd   OLB

Wow.  Didn’t see Floyd going this high but he fits their need quite well.  Floyd will bring the heat off the edge.  He’s a pass rusher they really need and Vic Fangio will figure out how to use him.

The Giants should grab Tunsil so they can flip Erick Flowers to RT.

New York Giants Pick

Eli Apple   CB

Wow.  I had them taking a CB but it was Vernon Hargreaves.  Apple is raw but has great skills. 3 Buckeyes in the top 10 with a few more to go in the first round.

That’s the Top 10 and I’m going to take a quick break.  Where will Tunsil fall too, where will Myles Jack go?  I’ll be back.

Okay lets get caught up.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick

Vernon Hargreaves III   CB

They need a CB and trading down and still getting a starting CB is pretty good.  Brent Grimes and Hargreaves make for a short but feisty duo.

New Orleans Saints Pick

Sheldon Rankins   DL

Rankins is my dark horse pick for Defensive Rookie of the Year now that I know where he’s going.  He’s going to play a lot and help Cameron Jordan get to the QB but he’s really good and I love this choice.

Miami Dolphins Pick

Laremy Tunsil   OT

There are character concerns but if he is straightened out he’s huge value.  Brandon Albert can’t stay healthy and if he does he can play RT.  Tunsil needs work run blocking but he’s an athletic kid that can learn.  Strange how far he fell, it has to be more than just the reported bong smoking video.

Oakland Raiders Pick

Karl Joseph   SS

This is the first real reach, it’s not that Joseph is bad but a safety has to be REALLY good to go this high and Joseph is nice but he’s a 2nd rounder.  I will say the Raiders need safety help so that makes sense and since no one was very good beyond Jalen Ramsey Joseph gets over valued.

Cleveland Browns

Corey Coleman   WR

They made another smart move passing on Paxton Lynch.  I like Treadwell better but Coleman immediately becomes the best WR on their roster.  At least RGIII gets a fellow Baylor Bear.  Mike Mayock just compared Coleman to Percy Harvin and I think he meant it as a compliment.

The Lions should be sprinting Taylor Decker’s name to the podium.

Detroit Lions Pick

Taylor Decker   OT

What a lucky and great pick for he Lions.  They have ignored OT too long.  I think Decker plays RT and they leave Riley Reiff on the left side.  Reiff is in the last year of his contract so they may need Decker to move to LT eventually but keeping both is the best idea.  Matthew Stafford is the happiest guy in the world tonight.

Atlanta Falcons Pick

Keanu Neal   S

I’ve heard Neal was moving up late but seriously?  This is a serious reach at this point.  Way too much talent left elsewhere even if you are reaching to fill a huge need.  Darron Lee and Reggie Ragland are still here.  Don’t like this pick.

Indianapolis Colts Pick

Ryan Kelly   C

They have to protect Andrew Luck and they need help in the running game.  Kelly is a day one starter and becomes Luck’s best friend.  Good pick, really like it.

Please let Paxton Lynch go to one of the next two teams.  Bills or Jets I don’t care.

Buffalo Bills Pick

Shaq Lawson   DE

Such a good value here. Lawson is really good and this is a safer choice than Spence.  I think it’s a great choice so of course I hate it.  He’s not a Pro Bowl type of guy but he’s solid and that’s what they need.

Come on Jets take Paxton Lynch.

New York Jets Pick

Darron Lee   OLB

The Ohio St. show continues.  The reason Urban Meyer is joining the NFL Network’s coverage tomorrow and not tonight is because he needs to hug too many guys tonight.  I love Lee so I hate this pick too.  Damn.

The Buckeyes are averaging one player every 4 picks.  Seriously, that’s crazy.

The Texans just traded up a spot.

Houston Texans Picks

Will Fuller   WR

I don’t like Fuller in the first round because he doesn’t have great hands.  Treadwell still on the board and Josh Doctson are both on the board.  If they can fix his bad hands its a good pick otherwise not so much.

Washington picked up a 6th round pick next year for dropping one spot so the Texans could take a guy the Redskins didn’t want.  Nice move

Washington Redskins Pick

Josh Doctson   WR

They dropped a spot and got the better WR, yep good move.  Not sure Doctson is a better choice than a DT they really needed; Jarran Reed, A’Shawn Robinson or Vernon Butler but okay.  Kirk Cousins is happy.

Did the Vikings just luck into the perfect WR and the best one in the draft, Laquon Treadwell?

Minnesota Vikings Pick

Laquon Treadwell   WR

The perfect compliment to Stefon Diggs and the best WR in this draft.  Big, physical and a huge red zone threat.  He will make Teddy Bridgewater very happy.

The Bengals have to be a bit upset because the top 4 WRs are off the board, no one was expecting the Redskins to grab one.

Cincinnati Bengals Pick

William Jackson III   CB

Well they couldn’t get great value at WR here so good job not reaching for one.  Michael Thomas and Tyler Boyd could be around in the second round.  Jackson is fantastic value here at 24.  They could use some depth and when your division has Joe Flacco and Ben Roethlisberger you can never have too many CBs.  Nice recovery.

Pittsburgh Steelers Pick

Artie Burns   CB

They need a CB but they must really like him because he was a 2nd round talent.  Mackensie Alexander falls like I thought but Burns doesn’t do much for me.  They need the position for sure and they have to be upset the Bengals stole Jackson.  He will probably be better than the guys they have so there’s that.

Broncos are moving up…calling an upset…Connor Cook.

Denver Broncos Pick

Paxton Lynch   QB

Guess I was wrong…a lot.  Elway not only took a QB but he took Lynch.  I did thing someone would trade into the back end of the 1st round to get Lynch so I guess I was sorta right on that.  I only liked the Broncos because they had Peyton Manning, now I can officially go back to hating them (not because of Lynch I have no reason to hate him).

Green Bay should be sprinting Reggie Ragland’s card up to the podium.  Save Clay Matthews and move him back outside.  Ragland is a stud.

Green Bay Packers Pick

Kenny Clark   DT

I like Clark but his value wasn’t this high and Ragland would have been the better pick.  If they wanted a DT I like Robinson, Reed and Butler better.  Clark can play but they must really like him to grab him above those guys.

San Francisco is coming up to Kansas City’s spot…another QB?  Maybe Myles Jack finally?

San Francisco 49ers Pick

Joshua Garnett   OG

Seriously? An offensive guard? They traded up for a OG? What?  Umm…I have no idea what just happened.  Not even the top OG in the draft.  He’s a roadgrader but this doesn’t make a lot of sense.

Arizona Cardinals Pick

Robert Nkemdiche   DT

Someone pulled the trigger on the biggest risk in the draft.  Nkemdiche is a gigantic walking red flag but he’s a talented athlete.   I don’t like him because I don’t think he dominates like he should considering how talented he is.  I wonder what the over/under is in Vegas on his first drug suspension.

Carolina Panthers Pick

Vernon Butler   DT

I love Butler, he’s quietly a fantastic player but it doesn’t make a lot of sense when they have Star Lotulelei and Kawann Short inside at DT.  They needed a DE like Kevin Dodd or Emmanuel Ogbah if they wanted to go d-line.  How about Jason Spriggs, Germain Ifedi or Cody Whitehair for the line?

Here we go with the end of the first round.

Seattle Seahawks Pick

Germain Ifedi    OT

Hey I got the right player with the right team even if it came a few picks later.  Ifedi is going to get good coaching from Tom Cable.  They had to get an offensive lineman.  He may need to be a RT but they need that too.

The first round is over and I’m surprised by some guys still on the board.  Myles Jack’s knee must look like swiss cheese on an MRI because he’s a true talent.  The 3 Alabama guys that didn’t go also surprises me; Jarran Reed, A’Shawn Robinson and Reggie Ragland.  I hope they keep dropping so the Patriots can take advantage of others making mistakes.  This was fun, I probably won’t be able to pull it off tomorrow night for rounds 2 and 3 but I’ll try to get my draft analysis done as soon as possible.  I start class again next week so it sort of depends on my class workload.  Enjoy the rest of the draft.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2016 Final NFL Mock Draft

I take full credit for the second blockbuster trade that happened this last week because no way does that trade go down if I hadn’t done a two round mock draft just days beforehand.  This had to be the case because it was a fantastic move by the Browns to move down, remove the temptation to draft another QB and pick up so many picks in the next two drafts.  When was the last time the Browns made a smart move?  It was all because of me.  Okay maybe the new Cleveland brain trust isn’t as stupid as all the previous ones they have had since they rejoined the league.  I don’t normally forecast trades but I couldn’t help myself and one trade just made too much sense.  I would love to forecast the trade that will take place where someone moves up for Paxton Lynch but if I were that good I would be living in Vegas winning my money instead of working for it.

  1. Los Angeles Rams (7-9 from Tennessee): Jared Goff   QB   California

Yes, I changed my choice since my last draft but not because of anything the Rams did or any change of heart I had this is strictly based on the fact that Philadelphia knows something the rest of us don’t.  The Eagles didn’t spend a boatload of draft capital to move up to the second spot to take Goff, Doug Pederson loves Wentz and has the patience to wait for him to blossom.  The Rams are taking Goff because he is ready to play from day one.  Wentz would have won the job too but he would have had to compete with Case Keenum while Goff steps right in.  Goff doesn’t have as high of a ceiling as Wentz but his bust potential is lower and he won’t be afraid to step into the intense limelight of LA.  Wentz might be a star in four or five years but the Rams roster is ready to move now and that means getting a guy that can be above average next year.  I do like Goff and if he went to a team with better WRs I think he could be dangerous but the Rams’ WRs are just okay and I’m not sure he will necessarily raise their level of play.

  1. Philadelphia Eagles (7-9 from Cleveland): Carson Wentz   QB   North Dakota St.

They have Sam Bradford as their starter (for now) and they signed Chase Daniel to be the backup but that didn’t stop Howie Roseman from making a major deal to move up from his previously attained #8 pick (in a trade with Miami) to get his new head coach Doug Pederson the QB he wants.  I could make the argument that grabbing Ezekiel Elliott at RB is a smarter move or taking Laremy Tunsil as Jason Peters eventual replacement.  Jalen Ramsey would be a huge upgrade to their secondary but you don’t make this type of trade to move up for those guys you do it for a QB and a QB only.  Wentz checks a whole lot of the boxes you look for when looking for a NFL QB but he is going to need a little time.  Bradford is reportedly already upset so perhaps they can trade him to recoup some of the picks they gave up, the Jets and Broncos still need viable starting QBs.

  1. San Diego Chargers (4-12): Jalen Ramsey   DB   Florida St.

The Chargers are already essentially on the clock because regardless of the order the two QBs are going #1 and #2 and that suits the Chargers just fine because they don’t need a QB and it means they get their pick of the best player in their estimation.  LT Laremy Tunsil, DE DeForest Buckner and Ramsey are the obvious candidates and the Chargers will probably be debating those three all the way to draft day.  I’m picking Ramsey because besides being the best player in the draft by my evaluation they need him more than Tunsil and he’s better value than Buckner.  They have King Dunlop and Joe Barksdale at OT and they hope they are healthy along with the rest of the line this year and if they are then Tunsil would be a luxury.  Buckner is a very good 3-4 DE prospect and while they need that they really need someone at safety to replace Eric Weddle.  The depth at DE in the draft is better than it is at safety so they can still get a viable starter at DE later but they can’t get anyone on Ramsey’s level except him.

  1. Dallas Cowboys (4-11): DeForest Buckner   DE   Oregon

This could be Joey Bosa but Buckner is the better DE prospect and while he would be an excellent 3-4 end and the Cowboys run a 4-3 defense he can fit anywhere.  Greg Hardy has been jettisoned, Randy Gregory and Demarcus Lawrence are both suspended for failed drug tests for the first 4 games of the year and Gregory is a substance abuse time bomb.  Buckner can play end and if by some miracle the Cowboys get Lawrence and Gregory back for the long haul Buckner has the ability to slide inside to DT and pass rush from there.  There is plenty of talk of Dallas looking to take RB Ezekiel Elliott here and while Jerry Jones is that crazy his son Stephen has been making the decisions lately and he’s far saner.  Elliott is a fantastic talent but with Darren McFadden and Lance Dunbar returning and the recent signing of Alfred Morris the Cowboys have far bigger worries the RB.  They would absolutely love to get their hands on Jalen Ramsey so a trade up one spot is possible if they are willing to give the Chargers a little something.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11): Myles Jack   LB   UCLA

Myles Jack is one of the lottery tickets in this draft, he could pay off huge or he could be money down the drain.  He is recovering from a knee injury and while some reports say his medical re-check didn’t go well that is most likely just a smokescreen coming from a team trying to push Jack down the draft board.  He worked out at UCLA’s pro day despite only being at what he said was about 80% healthy.  The Jaguars GM and head coach have met with him and I’m pretty certain they would like to add his playmaking to the free agents they signed in the off season on defense.  They signed DT Malik Jackson, CB Prince Amukamara and S Tayshaun Gipson and Jack would give them a player at the LB level.  His draft position comes down to his medical evaluation because as a player on the field he is a top 5 talent.

  1. Baltimore Ravens (5-11): Laremy Tunsil   OT   Mississippi

Ozzie Newsome has always been and will forever be the guy who goes with the best player available.  While he would love to have DeForest Buckner for his defensive line if he makes it to #6 it is pretty much a consensus that Tunsil is one of the top 2 players in this draft with Jalen Ramsey and Newsome can’t ignore that.  LT Eugene Monroe hasn’t been very good lately and can’t stay healthy and the Ravens have a $100 million QB to protect.  Tunsil makes Monroe’s health less of a problem and potentially makes him a cut candidate or just a backup swing tackle.  Just like last year when Leonard Williams fell to the Jets in the sixth spot Tunsil is arguably the best player in the draft and yet he is here for the Ravens.

  1. San Francisco 49ers (5-11): Ronnie Stanley   OT   Notre Dame

The 49ers are in flux at QB and still need to make a decision on what to do with Colin Kaepernick.  Unfortunately for them with Goff and Wentz going off the board so early they don’t have a chance to grab his replacement unless they reach for Paxton Lynch.  As long as Trent Baalke is still in charge I don’t see that happening.  Baalke would love to trade down but if he can’t find a trade partner here he should address his offensive line.  The offensive line was a strength not too long ago but Joe Staley is aging at LT, Anthony Davis is supposed to be returning at RT from his one year “retirement” and Alex Boone left in free agency to Minnesota.  Ronnie Stanley would plug in nicely at RT if Davis isn’t up to the task of returning and he’s a nice potential replacement for Staley.  Perhaps the 49ers could even explore a trade for Staley and see what they could get for him.

  1. Miami Dolphins (6-10 from Cleveland): Ezekiel Elliott   RB   Ohio St. (TRADE)

I don’t usually do this but I’m calling a trade, okay I never do this but here it goes.  If Ezekiel Elliott gets past Cowboys at #4 he’s going to become a hot commodity and the Dolphins won’t have the patience to wait for him.  They let Lamar Miller go in free agency and struck out trying to pry CJ Anderson away from the Broncos which leaves them with Jay Ajayi the rookie from last season.  I like Ajayi but Elliott is special and they have a prospect crush on him.  He would certainly help Ryan Tannehill’s development because he’s a fantastic all-around RB who can run, catch and pick up a blitz.  The Dolphins are going all in with Adam Gase and trying to give him some players to coach up.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10): Joey Bosa   DE   Ohio St.

The Buccaneers will have a choice to make if the draft falls this way.  Bosa is the type of pass rusher they need and he fits their 4-3 scheme perfectly.  However, it won’t be a lock if CB Vernon Hargreaves is here too.  Hargreaves is a top corner prospect and the Bucs secondary was pretty bad last year.  Bosa wins out because it has been far too long since the Bucs had a decent outside pass rush and they are wasting the best years of DT Gerald McCoy’s career without giving him some help up front.  If Bosa can team with McCoy to improve the pressure the defense generates it will make the signing of CB Brent Grimes more impactful and perhaps resurrect the careers of CBs Alterraun Verner and Jonathan Banks.

  1. New York Giants (6-10): Vernon Hargreaves   CB   Florida

The Giants signed Janoris Jenkins to a big free agent deal and he replaces the departed Prince Amukamara and teams with Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie but they don’t have much else and Rodgers-Cromartie isn’t getting any younger.  The NFL is a passing league and having three CBs is usually a good idea.  Hargreaves can come in and play in the slot before he eventually takes over Rodgers-Cromartie’s job outside.  The Giants are a team that doesn’t usually reach for need and while they tend to value pass rush over all else on defense I think Hargreaves is better value than DE Shaq Lawson or OLB Leonard Floyd.  I would argue they should look to a LB like Reggie Ragland to improve their bad LB corps but they have never seemed to care that they aren’t very good at LB.

  1. Chicago Bears (6-10): Jack Conklin   OT   Michigan St.

Conklin isn’t flashy he’s a lunch pail type of player but that should fit right in with the Chicago Bears.  The signing of Bobbie Massie was fine if they play him at RT so they can move Kyle Long back inside to guard but if they line Massie up at LT they will get Jay Cutler killed.  Conklin won’t ever be confused with Orlando Pace or Walter Jones but he’ll get the job done better than anyone on the current roster.  There is a lack of elite LTs in the NFL and Conklin isn’t going to change that but he’s solid if unspectacular and will be quite an upgrade over anything they currently have on the roster.

  1. New Orleans Saints (7-9): Shaq Lawson   DE   Clemson

The Saints could certainly use another CB given Brandon Browner was a complete disaster last season and has been let go.  The could use a WR to replace the great Marques Colston who was Drew Brees’ favorite target for years.  However, this team’s defense has been bad lately and they have virtually no pass rush outside of Cameron Jordan and Shaq Lawson is solid value at this pick.  Lawson may never be a Pro Bowl DE but he can be a double digit sack guy and that would be huge for this team.  The secondary would be helped mightily if the defensive line could get some pressure and Lawson is better than any CB they could get at this spot if Ramsey and Hargreaves are gone.

  1. Cleveland Browns (3-13 from Miami): Laquon Treadwell   WR   Mississippi (TRADE)

The Browns are the wildcard in the top 10 because they certainly need a new QB unless you buy the RGIII redemption story but they also need so many other positions.  RT, C, WR and RB on offense are all areas of need so if the Dolphins come through with the right package they will trade down again.  They could draft Ezekiel Elliott themselves if they stay at #8 but he would be wasted behind a terrible offensive line.  Treadwell has been all over my mock drafts because his future outlook is hard to pinpoint.  He could be a dominant physical #1 receiver or he could be just a big-bodied slow WR that never learns to get open.  If the Browns really want to give RGIII a chance to succeed at QB it would be wise to give him someone other than TE Gary Barnidge to throw to.  Treadwell could make a good target because he helps a QB out with his good catch radius (the QB doesn’t have to be quite as accurate when Treadwell can go up and get the ball).  This would be another smart move by the new Cleveland front office, what a concept.

  1. Oakland Raiders (7-9): William Jackson III   CB   Houston

The Raiders signed Sean Smith from their rivals the Chiefs to address their CB position and last year their waiver wire pick up David Amerson played fairly well but beyond those two it’s a crapshoot.  Perhaps they will replace one former first round Houston CB with another.  DJ Hayden has not panned out and it may be time to cut their losses.  Grabbing a corner would also allow them to use TJ Carrie at the safety position where they need some help alongside free agent signee Reggie Nelson and Nate Allen.  Jackson is a very good prospect and would be a hedge against Amerson reverting to his less than stellar play from his time in Washington.

  1. Tennessee Titans (3-13 from Los Angeles): Taylor Decker   OT   Ohio St.

It is not a given that the Titans will draft an OT now that they are picking 15th instead of 1st and have a boatload of picks in the first three rounds.  It just so happens that it works out in this mock draft that Taylor Decker is available so their OT situation becomes the tale of two Taylors.  Taylor Lewan was all but set to get kicked to RT when the Titans were staring at Laremy Tunsil #1 overall but now it’s not a given.  Lewan and Decker can fight it out in minicamp and training camp, one becomes the LT the other the RT but either way it’s better than either Byron Bell or Jeremiah Poutasi lining up at RT.  The Titans traded for RB Demarco Murray and while he was terrible in Philly last year he still has some miles left on him so upgrading the line and relying on Murray a bit more would be quite helpful to the development and health of Marcus Mariota.  The four other picks in the next two rounds and the extra 1st and 3rd next year should really help Mariota’s development too.

  1. Detroit Lions (7-9): Sheldon Rankins   DT   Louisville

Detroit is going to be upset if the top four OTs are off the board as they are in this mock draft and while I love OT Jason Spriggs I’m not sure the Lions feel the same.  It’s a new regime in the front office so it’s tough to tell where they will go.  DT Haloti Ngata was re-signed but he’s not getting any younger and Tyrunn Walker was hurt last season so some help up front on defense is needed.  Perhaps the new front office will go for best available player if the four top OTs are off the board.  Rankins is a disruptive force in the middle and while he’s not big he would make for a destructive pairing with emerging DE Ziggy Ansah.  WR might seem like a position of need after the retirement of Calvin Johnson but the Lions signed Marvin Jones and Jeremy Kerley to team with Golden Tate in an effort to not rely on one WR so much.  They can still draft an OT in the 2nd or 3rd round and whomever they get will still be an upgrade over current RT Michael Ola.

  1. Atlanta Falcons (8-8): Reggie Ragland   LB   Alabama

In my last mock draft, I had Darron Lee going here because Ragland was off the board and the Falcons could prefer Lee over Ragland but I have Ragland rated higher.  Lee is more of the coverage LB while Ragland is seen more as the run-stuffing middle linebacker.  Either one would be a huge upgrade to the Falcons LB corps and while there is a perception Ragland is just a thumper in the middle he’s pretty athletic himself.  Lee has elite speed that Ragland doesn’t possess but the Falcons could really use an enforcer on defense and someone to set a new tone.  Ragland would bring an attitude and might light a fire under some of the rest of the front seven in Atlanta.

  1. Indianapolis Colts (8-8): Leonard Floyd   OLB   Georgia

I’ve had the Colts taking linemen before and no one would fault them for grabbing G/T Cody Whitehair or OT Jason Spriggs to protect the franchise, Andrew Luck.  However, there is a drop off after Decker at OT and while Whitehair will be a very good OG you can get one of those later.  Floyd is one of the better athletes you’ll see and the Colts have to get someone to rush the passer.  He has great length and can bend the edge on the pass rush which the Colts sorely lack.  Robert Mathis is nearly finished, Eric Walden never was any sort of pass rusher and they just cut former 1st round pick Bjoern Werner.  Floyd gives them someone they can just turn loose as a pass rusher and hope he can be the guy.  They could reach for a safety like Vonn Bell but Floyd is a much higher rated prospect.  Floyd is good value and a major need and for their entire team’s sake I hope they don’t waste another 1st rounder on project like Werner or a luxury like WR Phillip Dorsett last year.

  1. Buffalo Bills (8-8): Noah Spence   DE   Eastern Kentucky

I find it interesting that the two names most frequently mentioned for the Bills pick are Spence and Robert Nkemdiche, they just so happen to be the biggest off-the-field risks in the draft.  No one doubts Rex Ryan’s ability to overlook the red flags.  The Bills have to get someone to help out Jerry Hughes if Ryan’s defense is going to dominate the way they need it to in Buffalo.  Spence has a long list of off-the-field issues but Ryan needs a new DE to replace the departed Mario Williams who was lackluster at best last season.  He is a little undersized at DE but then again so is Hughes but both can get pressure and that is all Ryan will ask.  The Bills need a RT, a LB or they could be a surprise place for a QB like Paxton Lynch to go but I think Ryan will go with defense first.  Spence wasn’t as dynamic at the combine as many had hoped he would be but that just means he should still be available at 19th instead of going 5-10 picks earlier.

  1. New York Jets (10-6): Vernon Butler    DT   Louisiana Tech

Butler is the unknown prospect to many because he comes from Louisiana Tech and he plays nose tackle, you don’t get more obscure than that.  I’ve had the Jets taking an OLB because they desperately need one but with Floyd and Spence gone there isn’t much value left at the position.  One of the biggest losses no one is talking about from free agency was the Jets losing Damon Harrison to the Giants.  Harrison was the unsung hero of the Jets great defensive line and while they grabbed Steve McClendon from the Steelers he’s already 30 years old.  Butler is big and physical and could step right in to Harrison’s place.  It’s not as flashy as getting a pass rushing OLB but it’s just as important for the Jets defense.  I would rank A’Shawn Robinson and Jarran Reed from Alabama as better DTs than Butler but Butler is better suited for the NT position the Jets need.

21. Washington Redskins (9-7): A’Shawn Robinson   DL   Alabama

The Redskins offense was surprisingly affective last season under the guidance of Kirk Cousins so there are no glaring needs that must be addressed that can’t be said about the defense.  There are several holes and a lack of overall talent on the defensive side of the ball so grabbing the best available defender would be a good strategy.  GM Scot McCloughan knows that building from the line is a good strategy which is why he signed Chargers free agent DE Kendall Reyes but they still need help.  Robinson can play multiple positions on the Redskins 3-man line and if you line him up at DE with last year’s rookie LB Preston Smith on the same side you might actually generate some push and pass rush.  The Redskins could certainly use a LB too but luckily for them the signing of CB Josh Norman solved one big secondary problem.

22. Houston Texans (9-7): Jarran Reed   DL   Alabama

Everyone has Houston taking a WR in round one to pair with DeAndre Hopkins to give Brock Osweiler more weapons but I think the value is elsewhere.  There are going to be very good WRs in rounds 2 and 3 but Jarran Reed is a top DL that fits the 3-4 alignment of the Texans.  Reed could line up at DE opposite JJ Watt or fill in for aging NT Vince Wilfork.  He is known as the other Alabama DT in this draft but he’s just as good if not better than A’Shawn Robinson.  The Texans can still get a complementary WR in Round 2 for Hopkins but they won’t find a better fit for their defense than Reed.

  1. Minnesota Vikings (11-5):  Josh Doctson   WR   TCU

The Vikings need a complement to Stefon Diggs who was pretty good last season but would be better if he wasn’t the #1 guy.  Doctson brings size and speed to the position that could really help in the development of QB Teddy Bridgewater.  It is a bit of a pick’em between WRs Doctson, Corey Coleman and Will Fuller but Coleman and Fuller are not as big and may be too similar to Diggs.  The Vikings could look to trade up a bit if Laquon Treadwell if they think he’s worth a move. The Vikings could also look to Darron Lee at LB as a replacement for Chad Greenway even though they are bringing Greenway back for another year.  Lee has the speed and athleticism to take over the OLB spot and play with Eric Kendricks and Anthony Barr.

24. Cincinnati Bengals (12-4): Corey Coleman   WR   Baylor

It seems a foregone conclusion that the Bengals will grab a WR here because they lost Marvin Jones and Mohammed Sanu in free agency and the pick-up of Brandon LaFell excites no one.  It could be any one of a host of WRs at this point and I’m going with Coleman over Michael Thomas or Will Fuller because he’s the better complement to AJ Green and LaFell.  Coleman brings deep speed and the ability to play inside like Fuller but he has better hands.  The Bengals are a fairly deep team but if they go away from the conventional wisdom they could look to bolster their defensive line depth with a DE like Kevin Dodd or DT like Andrew Billings.

25.  Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6): Eli Apple   CB   Ohio St.

The Steelers have defied conventional wisdom for several years by passing on CBs in the first round when they clearly have needed them.  I was ready to have them pass on one again until they released Cortez Allen after two lackluster years and their 3rd CB Brandon Boykin left in free agency leaving them with William Gay and Senquez Golson, who missed all of last year, as their top two CBs.  They have to do something and while Apple has some issues that need to be worked on he has all the physical traits you look for and could be molded into a top CB in the NFL.

26.  Seattle Seahawks (10-6): Germain Ifedi   OT   Texas A&M

I changed my mind on the Jason Spriggs pick here because while I like him better than Ifedi he is too much of a finesse LT for Seattle’s liking and Tom Cable could turn Ifedi into a very solid OT.  This team can’t afford to go into the season with Garry Gilliam and J’Marcus Webb as the starting tackles and my recommendation would be to draft a OT in round 1, an OT in round 2 and then an interior lineman in round 3 and maybe another one in round 4, I’m not kidding.  When this team gets to round 4 or 5 I’m going to be screaming Austin Blythe’s name if he hasn’t already been picked.

  1. Green Bay Packers (10-6):  Darron Lee   LB   Ohio St.

The Packers need to get a LB to line up inside so they can move Clay Matthews back to OLB where he can wreak havoc.  Lee isn’t your typical ILB for a 3-4 like the Packers run because he’s a bit undersized but he is fast and versatile and this a team that has lined up Matthews at ILB and Julius Peppers as an OLB.  Dom Capers has been pretty good at finding unorthodox ways of using players’ talents and Lee would give him one more piece to use.  Whether he moves Lee around so he can use his speed to blitz or assigns him the toughest coverage matchup of the day Lee will improve the Packers defense.  Getting either Lee or Reggie Ragland would be a dream scenario for the Packers.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5):  Cody Whitehair   OG   Kansas St.

Everyone seems to have the Chiefs grabbing a CB to replace Sean Smith and that’s a reasonable assumption but I’m not sure Mackensie Alexander is what Andy Reid is looking for and Reid has a tendency to go for linemen early.  While the pick-up of Mitchell Schwartz is an upgrade over losing Donald Stephenson the loss of Jeff Allen in free agency leaves the interior of the offensive line needing help.  Cody Whitehair is the best guard in the draft and has the versatility to kick outside if needed.  He would be an immediate starter and would really help the running game.

  1. Arizona Cardinals (13-3):  Ryan Kelly   C   Alabama

The Cardinals are in a position where they don’t need much and their roster is in pretty good shape but they are lacking at the center position.  Lyle Sendlein has held down the position for years but he’s a free agent and not expected to return.  Kelly is the top center on the board and while the position is usually devalued a bit the Cardinals have the luxury of not caring about that.  They have signed free agents and drafted players to improve the line and Kelly would be the final piece.  They have to keep Carson Palmer healthy to have an offense at all so this is a good investment.

  1. Carolina Panthers (15-1):  Jason Spriggs   OT   Indiana

Spriggs has some growing to do as far as his technique and overall skill because he didn’t play the offensive line until he got to Indiana.  He has fantastic athleticism and I think his upside is immense.  The Panthers started Michael Oher at LT and Mike Remmers at RT last season and while it worked well during the season it was a catastrophe during the Super Bowl.  Taking Spriggs would allow them to swing Oher over to RT and even though he’s still not great that would be a preferable combination.  I would actually advise them to take another OT in round 2 but I don’t know if they will.

  1. Denver Broncos (12-4):  Andrew Billings   DT   Baylor

The Broncos need a QB, we all know that, but Paxton Lynch just doesn’t feel right here because I think John Elway will go with a veteran (calling Sam Bradford).  Realistically someone is moving up somewhere to take Lynch so I really don’t expect him to be here and I don’t think the Broncos are that team either.  What Elway knows for sure is that replacing Malik Jackson’s production from last season is going to be hard and free agent DE Jared Crick ain’t gettin’ it done.  Billings is a beast even though he’s a bit undersized.  He can play anywhere along their 3-man front and wreak havoc.  Having a disruptive interior presence frees up the outside pass rushers Von Miller and Demarcus Ware and we all know how that worked out for them last season.

The New England Patriots hereby boycott the 1st Round of this draft because Roger Goodell is an asshat. 

Round 2

32. Cleveland Browns:  Mackensie Alexander   CB   Clemson

Joe Haden played 5 games last season, Tramon Williams is 33 years old and Justin Gilbert is a bigger bust than Johnny Manziel.  The Browns roster is a wasteland so whomever they take is going to play…a lot.  Take the best player available, that’s Alexander.

33. Tennessee Titans: Chris Jones   DT   Mississippi St.

The Titans addressed the OT position in round one now it’s time to get a little help on the defensive line.  Jones is 6’6 310 lbs. and could help at any of the three positions on the Titans line and he adds great depth that they don’t have.

34. Dallas Cowboys: Kendall Fuller   CB   Virginia Tech

Orlando Scandrick is coming off knee surgery, Brandon Carr isn’t what he used to be and Byron Jones is better off at safety.  Morris Claiborne was finally okay at corner but he’s on a short term contract and he needs help.  Fuller is also coming off knee surgery but he’s my favorite CB in this draft when healthy.  This is good value once he’s fully recovered.

35. San Diego Chargers: Kamalei Correa   OLB   Boise St.

This may be too low for Correa as he’s a late riser in the draft process.  He brings a pass rush as an OLB which is exactly what the Chargers defense needs.  If Correa can be a playmaker in the front seven it will make Jalen Ramsey that much more of a playmaker on the backend.

36. Baltimore Ravens: Emmanuel Ogbah   DE/OLB   Oklahoma St.

Ogbah is an interesting fit since he’s more of a 4-3 DE but the Ravens once took a DE named Terrell Suggs and moved him to OLB and that worked pretty well.  Ogbah has good athleticism and he gives them some youth at OLB.

37. San Francisco 49ers: Paxton Lynch   QB   Memphis

If Lynch is still here the 49ers have to pull the trigger, I don’t think the 49ers would pull the trigger at 7th overall but they may trade down from there or potentially move up between 15-25 to grab Lynch.  I’m not a huge fan of his but someone will take a shot.  Lynch isn’t going to be the 37th pick in this draft but he wouldn’t fall any farther.

38. Jacksonville Jaguars: Kevin Dodd   DE   Clemson

The Jags offense is fine and they have concentrated this off season on defense and one thing they know for sure is you can never have too many pass rushers.  Malik Jackson was brought in to bring pressure inside and they hope Dante Fowler can attack off the edge but DE Jared Odrick isn’t much of a pass rusher so Dodd could be an immediate pass rushing specialist.

39. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Vonn Bell   SS   Ohio St.

The Buccaneers got the pass rusher they wanted in Ohio St’s Joey Bosa in round one and now they come back around to his teammate Bell in round two.  The Bucs secondary is pretty bad but Brent Grimes helps at CB while Alterraun Verner and Jonathan Banks still have hope at CB, safety on the other hand is pretty bad.  Bell would walk in as a day one starter.

40. New York Giants: Derrick Henry   RB   Alabama

The Giants haven’t been great lately and ownership is getting a little restless.  Rashad Jennings is a nice RB but Henry could be an upgrade.  I’m not a big Henry fan but he checks all the boxes; big, physical, fast, etc.  Eli Manning would probably benefit most here towards the end of his career having a dominant running game.

41. Chicago Bears: Jonathan Bullard   DE   Florida

Bullard gets lost amongst the DE/DT/OLB group in this draft because his position is unclear.  He is extremely versatile and was used in so many different ways at Florida.  Bullard is strong and stout and would help the Bears as a 3-4 DE but could bring pressure too.

  1. Miami Dolphins: Su’a Cravens   LB/SS   USC

Cravens is a bit of a mystery because he was at one time a dominant SS and enforcer for USC and then they moved him to LB.  He could play OLB in the NFL or SS but either way his versatility would be a good thing for the Dolphins as they need help at both spots.

43. Tennessee Titans (from LA): Artie Burns   CB   Miami

Taking care of the offensive and defensive lines with their first two picks they can grab a nice CB prospect with one of the many picks they got in their trade from the Rams.  Burns would be a welcome addition to a less than stellar CB group and that’s exactly why the Titans made this trade, time to get upgrades all around.

44. Oakland Raiders: Robert Nkemdiche   DT   Mississippi

A guy with a troubled past going to the Raiders is nothing new but this isn’t like old times.  The Raiders are actually in a positon to be a good place for Nkemdiche.  Derek Carr and Khalil Mack are the new leaders of the team and veteran coaches like Jack Del Rio and Ken Norton Jr. would be great for him.  He would be a nice versatile defensive line piece to line up at DT or DE.  However, I’m not sure a potential future franchise move to Las Vegas is a great idea for him.

45. Tennessee Titans (from LA): Jaylon Smith   OLB   Notre Dame

This is the other reason making the trade was so huge.  Jaylon Smith is a top 10 talent in this draft with a major medical question due to a knee injury.  He probably isn’t going to play next season at all but when you have six picks in the top 76 you can take a chance on getting greatness down the road.  It’s terrible what happened to Smith and he may never be the same but if he makes a full recovery he becomes a major piece of the Titans future.

46. Detroit Lions: Shon Coleman   OT   Auburn

Coleman is a great story because at 18 years old he found out he had cancer and after a two year fight he beat it and went on to play college football at Auburn.  He’s a bit older than your normal prospect but he’s big, physical and pretty athletic.  The Lions need a new RT and Coleman could plug in from day one.  Matthew Stafford would welcome him with open arms.

47. New Orleans Saints: Joshua Garnett   OG   Stanford

The Saints cut Jahri Evans for salary cap purposes earlier this off season after a long career with the team and it leaves them very thin up front. Garnett could step in immediately as a starter on an offensive line with little depth.

48. Indianapolis Colts: Nick Martin   G/C   Notre Dame

The Colts need help on the interior of their line and Martin has the ability to play both guard and center.  He isn’t the player his brother Zack is for the Cowboys but he’s pretty good and gives the Colts some options inside.

49. Buffalo Bills: Deion Jones   LB   LSU

The Bills LB corps is nothing special and Jones would bring speed and athleticism to Rex Ryan’s unit.  His youth would be nice given Manny Lawson isn’t getting any younger.

50. Atlanta Falcons: Hunter Henry   TE   Arkansas

TE is the weakest position in this draft which might push Henry higher up the draft board than he should be so he might not make it this far.  He is the only TE I expect from this draft class to help his team next year at all (South Carolina TE Jerell Adams is a nice prospect but he’s really raw).  Henry is a good all-around TE and would be a major upgrade for Atlanta and he would become a Matt Ryan favorite.

51. New York Jets: Shilique Calhoun   DE/OLB   Michigan St.

Calhoun was a DE for the Spartans but he has the size and athleticism to play as a pass rushing OLB for Todd Bowles defense.  He will take some time to transition to LB but his natural pass rush instincts will be used immediately as the Jets have a huge need to bring pressure off the edge.

52. Houston Texans: Will Fuller   WR   Notre Dame

Fuller is a speed demon that will take the top off the defense and give Brock Osweiler a chance to unleash his arm.  The only problem is that Fuller drops too many passes but I think the Texans can live with that if he takes some coverage away from DeAndre Hopkins.  Fuller may go higher than this but he shouldn’t.

53. Washington Redskins: Keanu Neal   FS   Florida

Neal has been a late rising prospect and he brings some much needed talent to a position where the Redskins are lacking.  They converted DeAngelo Hall to safety at the end of last season because they were so in need of players.  Neal needs some experience and refinement but he’s a major upgrade to what they have.  Adding Neal and Josh Norman would fix a lot of problems in the secondary.

54. Minnesota Vikings: Karl Joseph   SS   West Virginia

The Vikings signed Michael Griffin from Tennessee in an effort to give Harrison Smith some help at the safety position but Griffin is a 10-year veteran and his tank is on E.  He could be a great mentor and a short stopgap measure to Karl Joseph who is a pretty good safety prospect that would look very good paired with Smith.

55. Cincinnati Bengals: Kenny Clark   DT   UCLA

Domata Peko and Pat Sims aren’t getting any younger and the Bengals need to have someone with some heft next to undersized DT Geno Atkins and Clark is a beast.  He could come in and push those guys down the depth chart and maybe one of them right off the roster.

  1. Seattle Seahawks: Sean Davis   CB   Maryland

As much as I want to give the Seahawks another lineman Davis actually fits their profile pretty well.  He’s a big CB prospect at 6’1 201 lbs. and he has played safety before and is a physical player.  The Legion of Boom needs someone opposite Richard Sherman and re-signing Brandon Browner is not the answer.

  1. Green Bay Packers:  Austin Johnson   DT   Penn St.

The Packers got their new LB in round one now what they need is some beef up front to replace the retired BJ Raji and keep their new ILB clear of blockers.  Johnson is 314 lbs. of beef and he can anchor against the run extremely well.  He fits the NT mold and will be a nice fill in.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: Michael Thomas   WR   Ohio St.

This may seem like a strange pick but with Martavis Bryant suspended for the year it leaves the Steelers with Antonio Brown and Markus Wheaton as the top two WRs.  Brown is fantastic but he and Wheaton are smaller players.  Ben Roethlisberger likes to have one big guy and Thomas fits the bill.  Bryant’s future is murky at best so Thomas is a nice alternative to have.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs: Kentrell Brothers   ILB   Missouri

The Chiefs still have Derrick Johnson inside leading the way on defense but he’s been in the league 12 years and Jason Mauga is just a guy next to him.  Brothers is one of the better ILB in this draft and if the position was valued a little bit more he wouldn’t make it this far.  He’s a potential immediate starter in place of Mauga and he could eventually be the rock Johnson has been for so long.

60. New England Patriots: Le’Raven Clark   OT   Texas Tech

The Patriots have had an interesting off season as they jettisoned young pass rusher Chandler Jones for a pick (the next one) and a OG that needs a fresh start, Jonathan Cooper.  They went out and found plenty of veteran help meaning they don’t have any real glaring needs.  DT Terrance Knighton, DE Chris Long and TE Martellus Bennett should all play huge roles for this team.  The Patriots have Sebastian Vollmer and Marcus Cannon going into the last year of their contracts and Nate Solder coming back from an injury so Clark would be a solid investment.  Considering Clark played in Texas Tech’s high volume passing offense he should fit right in with the Patriots.

61. New England Patriots (from Arizona): Tyler Boyd   WR   Pittsburgh

They signed Chris Hogan as a restricted free agent away from the Bills and they added veteran Nate Washington to be a deep threat but Danny Amendola could be cut at any time and Julian Edelman is the only real threat at WR.  Boyd would be a welcome addition and would give the Pats a young outside receiver to take pressure off of Edelman and Gronkowski.  (Ok I’ll admit it I made this pick because I love Boyd and would love for the Pats to take him but it’s also a smart move, oh and I pray Bill Belichick doesn’t take a CB or S here because he’s terrible at drafting those positions this high).

62. Carolina Panthers: Carl Nassib   DE   Penn St.

They lost Jared Allen to retirement and Charles Johnson is back on a one-year deal and he isn’t getting any younger.  Kony Ealy played well in the playoffs but he could use a hand.  Nassib played well last year and could be a strong addition to a position of need.

63. Denver Broncos: Joshua Perry   LB   Ohio St.

Yes, I have them passing on a QB again.  They lost Danny Trevathan in free agency and could really use someone to line up at ILB next to Brandon Marshall.  Perry is big and versatile and he would step right in and play well at that position.

2016 Mock Draft 3.0 (Yep, 2 Rounds)

So the blockbuster trade of the #1 overall pick has sufficiently shaken up the 2016 draft and it looks like QBs will rule the day once again.  Carson Wentz and Jared Goff aren’t exactly Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III but as the saying goes “If you don’t have a franchise QB you don’t pass on a potential franchise QB” and in this case you trade everything to get one if that’s what it takes.  The Rams made their move to get up and get their QB of the future now it’s up to Cleveland to decide if they want the other one or if they want to cash in now that the price is set for trading up.

  1. Los Angeles Rams (7-9 from Tennessee): Carson Wentz   QB   North Dakota St.

As much as I like Laremy Tunsil and Jalen Ramsey as the two best players in this draft the Rams didn’t give up two 1st rounders, two 2nd rounders and two 3rd rounders over the next two drafts to take an OT or DB.  This is about finally getting a QB and moving from being a 7-9 team to making some noise in the playoffs.  It seems counterintuitive to think you draft a FCS QB, plug him into your starting lineup and all of the sudden you’re a playoff team but in LA’s case that just might happen.  A great running game and a good defense just need a QB that isn’t the dumpster fire like Nick Foles was last year and they could compete.  Wentz has a higher ceiling than Jared Goff and while the Rams are looking to be competitive in their first year back in LA they are also hoping Wentz develops into something great a few years from now when they move into their new stadium.

  1. Cleveland Browns (3-13): Jared Goff   QB   California

I’m not certain the Browns are sold on Goff but new head coach Hue Jackson knows he has to get the QB position fixed and I don’t think RGIII is the answer.  Johnny Manziel was an unmitigated disaster both on the field and off and Goff is the anti-Johnny.  He’s mature and hardworking and he’s football IQ would allow him to step onto the field immediately as a starter.  Goff has a quick release and processes information instantly and will never set foot on the field unprepared.  Cleveland could ransom this pick if they aren’t sold on Goff and while it’s unlikely they get a haul like the Rams pulled off it would depend on who’s trading up.  The 49ers and Eagles have been rumored to want to move up and since they pick 7th and 8th respectively they probably don’t have to give up quite as much as the Rams did since the Rams were moving up from 15th.  Of course if the Browns could get the Jets interested maybe they get as big of a haul since the Jets pick 20th.  Cleveland’s roster is a disaster so if they can get a bunch of picks they should make a deal.

  1. San Diego Chargers (4-12): Jalen Ramsey   DB   Florida St.

The Chargers are the lucky beneficiaries of QBs going in the first two spots because it means they get there pick of the two top players.  OT Laremy Tunsil would fit nicely at LT as a replacement for King Dunlop but I don’t think the Chargers are necessarily looking to replace Dunlop.  The Chargers just need their offensive line to stay healthy and maybe an upgrade at center.  However, they did lose the heart and soul of their defense with the departure of S Eric Weddle.  Weddle had been a mainstay for years and Ramsey is a readymade replacement.  Ramsey has future All-Pro ability and he’s a game changer on defense.  He’s the best prospect in the draft and Chargers shouldn’t overthink this pick.  Tunsil is certainly worth a long conversation and a DE (DeForest Buckner or Joey Bosa) is possible but it’s hard to pass up a once-in-a-generation talent like Ramsey.

  1. Dallas Cowboys (4-12): DeForest Buckner   DE   Oregon

I’m sure the Cowboys would be more than happy if Ramsey falls here so they could take him and pair him with last year’s 1st rounder Byron Jones and have two of the most athletic DBs in the NFL.  Since Ramsey is gone they can flip a coin between Buckner and Joey Bosa.  Bosa had more hype entering the season and the draft process but he wasn’t as dominant during the year and looked just okay during draft workouts.  Buckner has really come on and he has the size and versatility to line up in multiple spots.  He can start opposite Demarcus Lawrence at DE who started to come into his own last season and if Randy Gregory comes back from his drug suspension after 4 games Buckner can kick inside to DT in passing situations and give the Cowboys good pass rushing from three spots on the line.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11): Myles Jack   OLB   UCLA

I’ve been on the Jack pick for Jacksonville for a while now and here’s why, this team is on the cusp of doing something and Jack can be the impact defender they need.  He went back to Indianapolis for his medical recheck from the combine and the only issue was team’s concerned about his long-term viability in the league.  His immediate recovery has gone well and the Jaguars are going for a major turnaround this year.  They have the offense rolling behind Blake Bortles and they spent big money this off season on DL Malik Jackson, CB Prince Amukamara and S Tayshaun Gipson and with the return of last year’s draft pick Dante Fowler they hope to make a big move in the standings.  Jack is the type of LB they are missing and while his knees may not be designed to last 10 years he could make the most of the next 5 with this Jacksonville team.

  1. Baltimore Ravens (5-11): Laremy Tunsil   OT   Mississippi

Leave it to Ozzie Newsome to stand pat and end up with arguably the best player in the draft at a huge position of need for the Ravens.  Tunsil is an immediate LT starter and has the potential to be a top LT in the league in short order (surprisingly there aren’t as many great LTs in the NFL as you might think).  Eugene Monroe just hasn’t been able to stay healthy and effective for the Ravens and they need someone to protect Joe Flacco’s blindside.  Tunsil is the best OT in the draft and his game would translate well to the passing attack the Ravens employ, he can pass protect long enough to let Flacco throw deep.  Tunsil needs some work on his run blocking but he’s big, physical and athletic so he shouldn’t have a problem developing in that area.  Newsome gets great value and immediate impact with very low bust potential, sounds like a Ravens draft pick to me.

  1. San Francisco 49ers (5-11): Ronnie Stanley   OT   Notre Dame

This pick may depend on if Chip Kelly has managed to wrestle personnel control away from GM Trent Baalke by the time the draft rolls around.  The York family has been pretty loyal to Baalke so I’m going to assume he maintains control.  What was once a fantastic offensive line under Jim Harbaugh is a shell of its former self now even if Anthony Davis returns from his one year “retirement”.  LT Joe Staley is a stalwart but he’s in year 10 and he might be worth more as a trade chip since he isn’t likely to be around to see the end of this rebuild.  Ronnie Stanley could step in at RT and eventually replace Staley at LT when the time comes.  Joey Bosa is a possibility here but he isn’t a great fit in the 49ers 3-4 scheme so unless the 49ers trade up to #2 to get Jared Goff I think Baalke goes with Stanley.  If Kelly is making the call he might grab QB Paxton Lynch from Memphis and before you say this is way too high for Lynch Kelly is the guy who once drafted Marcus Smith from Louisville in the 1st round in Philly.  Don’t worry if you don’t know who that is neither does anyone else, including those who have had to play against Smith.

  1. Philadelphia Eagles (7-9 from Miami): Ezekiel Elliott   RB   Ohio St.

It could be interesting to watch if the 49ers and Eagles get into a bidding war for the #2 pick if they both like Jared Goff that much.  My money would be on the 49ers only because I think they need a QB a little bit more and like Goff just a bit more too.  The smokescreen coming out of Philly right now is that they don’t want a RB here and won’t take one this high, don’t buy it.  New coach Doug Pederson is from the Andy Reid school of offense which means give me a decent QB, a good offensive line and great RB and we’ll be good to go.  Ezekiel Elliott is special and don’t let anyone tell you differently.  He’s the most well rounded back in this draft and he can play all three downs equally well.  Elliott would make life much easier on Sam Bradford (or Chase Daniel) and keep Pederson’s offense moving right along.  They could go defense here or if one of the two top OTs falls here that’s possible too but Elliott is too good to pass up.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10): Joey Bosa   DE   Ohio St.

If you had told me three months ago that Bosa would fall to 9th in the draft, I would have said you’re crazy but here we are and circumstances change.  The trade of the 1st pick messed some things up and Bosa’s underwhelming combine workout hurt him.  The great season by Buckner also had an effect.  Bosa is a physical specimen but he didn’t always translate his physical ability to production on the field.  Some of this is over analysis of a prospect and Tampa Bay couldn’t be happier if it plays out this way.  They need someone to pair with DT Gerald McCoy and Bosa would benefit greatly lining up next to such a dominating interior player.  It’s also the right scheme fit since Bosa’s best position would be as a DE in a 4-3 defense instead of a 3-4 like San Diego, Baltimore and San Francisco play.

  1. New York Giants (6-10): Vernon Hargreaves III   CB   Florida

The Giants signed Janoris Jenkins to a big free agent deal and he replaces the departed Prince Amukamara and teams with Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie but they don’t have much else and Rodgers-Cromartie isn’t getting any younger.  The NFL is a passing league and having three CBs is usually a good idea.  Hargreaves can come in and play in the slot before he eventually takes over Rodgers-Cromartie’s job outside.  The Giants are a team that doesn’t usually reach for need and while they tend to value pass rush over all else on defense I think Hargreaves is better value than DE Shaq Lawson or OLB Leonard Floyd.  I would argue they should look to a LB like Reggie Ragland to improve their bad LB corps but they have never seemed to care that they aren’t very good at LB.

  1. Chicago Bears (6-10): Jack Conklin   OT   Michigan St.

As I mentioned earlier there aren’t as many great LTs as you might think in the league so the position may be a bit overvalued in this draft, you will see five OTs drafted in the first round and potentially six.  Conklin isn’t flashy and he’s a lunch pail type of player but that should fit right in with the Chicago Bears.  The signing of Bobbie Massie was fine if they play him at RT so they can move Kyle Long back inside to guard but if they line Massie up at LT they will get Jay Cutler killed.  Conklin won’t ever be confused with Orlando Pace or Walter Jones but he’ll get the job done better than anyone on the current roster.

  1. New Orleans Saints (7-9): Shaq Lawson   DE   Clemson

The Saints could certainly use another CB given Brandon Browner was a complete disaster last season and has been let go.  The could use a WR to replace the great Marques Colston who was Drew Brees’ favorite target for years.  However, this team’s defense has been bad lately and they have virtually no pass rush outside of Cameron Jordan and Shaq Lawson is solid value at this pick.  Lawson may never be a Pro Bowl DE but he can be a double digit sack guy and that would be huge for this team.  The secondary would be helped mightily if the defensive line could get some pressure and Lawson is better than any CB they could get at this spot if Ramsey and Hargreaves are gone.

  1. Miami Dolphins (6-10 from Philadelphia): William Jackson III   CB   Houston

Clearly the Dolphins are planning on the return to health of many of their players on offense and the genius of new head coach Adam Gase to get that side of the ball moving in the right direction.  I have no earthly idea what they are doing on defense.  They let their best CB Brent Grimes go and replaced him with younger but less talented Byron Maxwell while at the same time they let younger and more talented DE Olivier Vernon leave while signing clearly past his prime Mario Williams.  The certainly still have a huge need at CB and I like Jackson’s trajectory here as he is slowly climbing the boards and rightfully so.  I’ve never been a big Mackensie Alexander fan but he’ll get a look here as will Ohio St’s Eli Apple.  Jackson is a better all-around CB and I think he’s the pick.

  1. Oakland Raiders (7-9): Reggie Ragland   LB   Alabama

Ragland is a MLB that plays the role of thumper against the running game.  The Raiders went out in the off season and got Bruce Irvin to pair with Khalil Mack as pass rushers but they need someone to stop the run.  Ben Heeney did a nice job stepping in at MLB last season but he is better suited for being a run and chase LB on the outside.  Ragland can line up behind the behemoth interior DTs Dan Williams and Justin Ellis and shut down the running game.  I think the free agent signing of CB Sean Smith, the pick-up of David Amerson last year and their willingness to give former 1st rounder DJ Hayden one more try means they will pass on a CB in round one and go for the LB they need to solidify a much improved defense.

  1. Tennessee Titans (3-13 from LA): Taylor Decker   OT   Ohio St.

It is not a given that the Titans will draft an OT now that they are picking 15th instead of 1st and have a boatload of picks in the first three rounds.  It just so happens that it works out in this mock draft that Taylor Decker is available so their OT situation becomes the tale of two Taylors.  Taylor Lewan was all but set to get kicked to RT when the Titans were staring at Laremy Tunsil #1 overall but now it’s not a given.  Lewan and Decker can fight it out in minicamp and training camp, one becomes the LT the other the RT but either way it’s better than either Byron Bell or Jeremiah Poutasi lining up at RT.  The Titans traded for RB Demarco Murray and while he was terrible in Philly last year he still has some miles left on him so upgrading the line and relying on Murray a bit more would be quite helpful to the development and health of Marcus Mariota.  The four other picks in the next two rounds and the extra 1st and 3rd next year should really help Mariota’s development too.

  1. Detroit Lions (7-9): Sheldon Rankins   DT   Louisville

Detroit is going to be upset if the top four OTs are off the board as they are in this mock draft and while I love OT Jason Spriggs I’m not sure the Lions feel the same.  It’s a new regime in the front office so it’s tough to tell where they will go.  WR Laquon Treadwell is a popular choice given the retirement of Calvin Johnson but after signing Marvin Jones and Jeremy Kerley to add to Golden Tate I’m not sure Treadwell gives them much bang for the buck here at 16th overall.  DT Haloti Ngata was re-signed but he’s not getting any younger and Tyrunn Walker was hurt last season so some help up front on defense is needed.  Perhaps the new front office will go for best available player if the four top OTs are off the board.  Rankins is a disruptive force in the middle and while he’s not big he would make for a destructive pairing with emerging DE Ziggy Ansah.  They can address RT in the second round and still seriously upgrade from their current starter Michael Ola.

  1. Atlanta Falcons (8-8): Darron Lee   OLB   Ohio St.

OG Cody Whitehair, S Vonn Bell, TE Hunter Henry or any LB with a pulse are all possibilities for this pick for the Falcons.  They are the only team so desperately in need of a TE that they would consider one in round 1 and their offensive guard and safety positions are so bad they could grab Whitehair (the best OG in the draft) or Bell (the best safety not named Jalen Ramsey).  Bell and Hunter would be reaches here so it’s either Whitehair or Lee and Lee is better value.  Lee is a three down LB who can run circles around the entire LB corps on this team.  His speed and coverage ability would be a breath of fresh air and while he may not transform the defense all on his own he would certainly help.  They can address OG in later rounds and they will still upgrade but they won’t find a LB of Lee’s caliber later.

  1. Indianapolis Colts (8-8): Leonard Floyd   OLB   Georgia

I’ve had Cody Whitehair going in this spot before but the Colts can look to later rounds to address the interior of their offensive line.  Floyd is a roll of the dice as his athletic ability far outweighs his on field production.  He has great length and can bend the edge on the pass rush which the Colts sorely lack.  Robert Mathis is nearly finished, Eric Walden never was any sort of pass rusher and they just cut former 1st round pick Bjoern Werner.  Floyd gives them someone they can just turn loose as a pass rusher and hope he can be the guy.  They have other holes and they may grab an OT or OG or they may reach for a safety like Vonn Bell.  Floyd is good value and a major need and for their entire team’s sake I hope they don’t waste another 1st rounder on project like Werner or a luxury like WR Phillip Dorsett last year.

  1. Buffalo Bills (8-8):  Noah Spence   DE   Eastern Kentucky

DE Jerry Hughes resurrected his career in Buffalo but former Bill Mario Williams flopped last year and headed south to Miami.  The Bills have to get someone to help out Hughes if Rex Ryan’s defense is going to dominate the way they need it to in Buffalo.  Spence has a long list of off-the-field issues that will make teams think twice but Rex Ryan won’t shy away from Spence’s red flags.  He is a little undersized at DE but then again so is Hughes but both can get pressure and that is all Ryan will ask.  The Bills need a RT, a LB or they could be a surprise place for a QB like Paxton Lynch to go but I think Ryan will go with defense first.  Spence wasn’t as dynamic at the combine as many had hoped he would be but that just means he should still be available at 19th instead of going 5-10 picks earlier.

  1. New York Jets (10-6): Vernon Butler   DT   Louisiana Tech

Butler is the unknown prospect to many because he comes from Louisiana Tech and he plays nose tackle, you don’t get more obscure than that.  I’ve had the Jets taking an OLB because they desperately need one but with Floyd and Spence gone there isn’t much value left at the position.  One of the biggest losses no one is talking about from free agency was the Jets losing Damon Harrison to the Giants.  Harrison was the unsung hero of the Jets great defensive line and while they grabbed Steve McClendon from the Steelers he’s already 30 years old.  Butler is big and physical and could step right in to Harrison’s place.  It’s not as flashy as getting a pass rushing OLB but it’s just as important for the Jets defense.  I would rank A’Shawn Robinson and Jarran Reed from Alabama as better DTs than Butler but Butler is better suited for the NT position the Jets need.

  1. Washington Redskins (9-7): A’Shawn Robinson   DL   Alabama

The Redskins offense was surprisingly affective last season under the guidance of Kirk Cousins so there are no glaring needs that must be addressed that can’t be said about the defense.  There are several holes and a lack of overall talent on the defensive side of the ball so grabbing the best available defender would be a good strategy.  GM Scot McCloughan knows that building from the line is a good strategy which is why he signed Chargers free agent DE Kendall Reyes but they still need help.  Robinson can play multiple positions on the Redskins 3-man line and if you line him up at DE with last year’s rookie LB Preston Smith on the same side you might actually generate some push and pass rush.  The Redskins could certainly use a LB or a CB here but Robinson is the best value.

  1. Houston Texans (9-7): Jarran Reed   DL   Alabama

Everyone has Houston taking a WR in round one to pair with DeAndre Hopkins to give Brock Osweiler more weapons but I think the value is elsewhere.  There are going to be very good WRs in rounds 2 and 3 but Jarran Reed is a top DL that fits the 3-4 alignment of the Texans.  Reed could line up at DE opposite JJ Watt or fill in for aging NT Vince Wilfork.  Reed is known as the other Alabama DT in this draft but he’s just as good if not better than A’Shawn Robinson.  The Texans can still get a complementary WR in Round 2 for Hopkins but they won’t find a better fit for their defense than Reed.

  1. Minnesota Vikings (11-5): Laquon Treadwell   WR   Mississippi

The stunning drop of the top overall WR in this draft is quite fortuitous for the Vikings as WR is their top need on the offensive side of the ball.  They went into the off season with a lot of questions on the offensive line but they signed OG Alex Boone and OT Andre Smith and with the return to health of C John Sullivan and RT Phil Loadholt they hope their offensive line issues can wait a year.  Stefon Diggs proved to be a great addition at WR but they cut Mike Wallace and Charles Johnson didn’t exactly light the world on fire.  If Teddy Bridgewater is going to progress as a franchise QB he needs someone besides Diggs to throw to and Treadwell has #1 WR potential.  Diggs would be better off as a #2 guy that can work in the slot and not have to be the top outside threat but he stretches the field and Treadwell would be a big-bodied complement that can dominate in the red zone.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals (12-4): Corey Coleman   WR   Baylor

It seems a foregone conclusion that the Bengals will grab a WR here because they lost Marvin Jones and Mohammed Sanu in free agency and the pick-up of Brandon LaFell excites no one.  It could be any one of a host of WRs at this point and I’m going with Coleman over Josh Doctson, Michael Thomas or Will Fuller because he’s the better complement to AJ Green and LaFell.  Coleman brings deep speed and the ability to play inside like Fuller but he has better hands.  The Bengals are a fairly deep team but if they go away from the conventional wisdom they could look to bolster their defensive line depth with a DE like Kevin Dodd or DT like Andrew Billings.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6): Eli Apple   CB   Ohio St.

The Steelers have defied conventional wisdom for several years by passing on CBs in the first round when they clearly have needed them.  I was ready to have them pass on one again until they released Cortez Allen after two lackluster years and their 3rd CB Brandon Boykin left in free agency leaving them with William Gay and Senquez Golson, who missed all of last year, as their top two CBs.  They have to do something and while Apple has some issues that need to be worked on he has all the physical traits you look for and could be molded into a top CB in the NFL.

  1. Seattle Seahawks (10-6): Jason Spriggs   OT   Indiana

Nothing else is going to matter if the Seahawks go into next season with Garry Gilliam and J’Marcus Webb as their starting OTs.  Spriggs doesn’t bring to mind the power running game the Seahawks are known for but he’s a terrific LT prospect with elite athleticism and he won’t get Russell Wilson killed.  The Seahawks offensive line is terrible and they could draft Spriggs, Cody Whitehair, C Ryan Kelly or pretty much anyone else on the line here and they are immediately the best offensive lineman on the team.  Tom Cable is generally considered one of the best offensive line coaches in the NFL but the man is a coach not a wizard.

  1. Green Bay Packers (10-6): Andrew Billings   DT   Baylor

The Packers absolutely need to get another ILB so they can move Clay Matthews back outside to take advantage of his superior pass rushing skills but that isn’t going to happen here unless Reggie Ragland or Darron Lee fall this far and that’s unlikely to happen.  There are plenty of good ILBs they can grab later and for everyone’s sake they better.  Billings will be a fantastic addition to the front three because he can play on the nose replacing BJ Raji and he can slide outside to rotate at DE.  He’s strong as an ox and he and Mike Daniels would make a powerful pairing up front.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs (11-5): Cody Whitehair   OG   Kansas St.

Everyone seems to have the Chiefs grabbing a CB to replace Sean Smith and that’s a reasonable assumption but I’m not sure Mackensie Alexander is what Andy Reid is looking for and Reid has a tendency to go for linemen early.  While the pick-up of Mitchell Schwartz is an upgrade over losing Donald Stephenson the loss of Jeff Allen in free agency makes the interior of the offensive line needed help.  Cody Whitehair is the best guard in the draft and has the versatility to kick outside if needed.  He would be an immediate starter and would really help the running game.

  1. Arizona Cardinals (13-3): Ryan Kelly   C   Alabama

The Cardinals are in a position where they don’t need much and their roster is in pretty good shape but they are lacking at the center position.  Lyle Sendlein has held down the position for years but he’s a free agent and not expected to return.  Kelly is the top center on the board and while the position is usually devalued a bit the Cardinals have the luxury of not caring about that.  They have signed free agents and drafted players to improve the line and Kelly would be the final piece.  They have to keep Carson Palmer healthy to have an offense at all so this is a good investment.

  1. Carolina Panthers (15-1): Germain Ifedi   OT   Texas A&M

The Panthers defied all logic last year and won 15 games with two bad OTs but it caught up to them in the Super Bowl when Denver’s pass rush pounded on Cam Newton all day long.  They cannot go into the season without some help and while Ifedi is not a solution at LT he would be an upgrade over Mike Remmers at RT.  Ifedi struggled to transition to LT as an Aggie but he was fine at RT and that should be his position going forward.  The Panthers could grab DE Kevin Dodd with the retirement of Jared Allen and the aging of Charles Johnson making that a position in transition.  Or they could grab Vonn Bell since they need new blood at safety.

  1. Denver Broncos (12-4): Mackensie Alexander   CB   Clemson

Yes, I know as of right not Mark Sanchez is in line to be their opening day starter but if you think John Elway is going to take a project QB like Paxton Lynch and hand him the keys to the defending Super Bowl Champions you’re crazy.  Once the draft rolls around I actually expect one of these picks at the end of the first round to be traded to either San Francisco or the New York Jets so they can trade up to grab a QB.  I think the Broncos will either find a way to trade for Colin Kaepernick from the 49ers or maybe they pull off a swap for the Bucs Mike Glennon.  Alexander is a solid prospect and while the Broncos have three good CBs, Aqib Talib, Chris Harris and Bradley Roby, Talib is 30 years old Alexander is too good of value this late in the first round to pass on.  The team could roll the dice on a character risk Robert Nkemdiche to replace the departed Malik Jackson but Alexander is the safer choice.

The Patriots are boycotting the first round this year 😉

 

Round 2

  1. Cleveland Browns: Josh Doctson   WR   TCU

Whether it’s Robert Griffin III, a rookie QB or Josh McCown lining up under center next season the Browns have to do better than Brian Hartline and Andrew Hawkins at WR.  Hue Jackson is an offensive coach and he knows he needs playmakers to fix this offense.

  1. Tennessee Titans: Chris Jones   DT   Mississippi St.

The Titans addressed the OT position in round one now it’s time to get a little help on the defensive line.  Jones is 6’6 310 lbs. and could help at any of the three positions on the Titans line and he adds great depth that they don’t have.

  1. Dallas Cowboys: Kendall Fuller   CB   Virginia Tech

Orlando Scandrick is coming off knee surgery, Brandon Carr isn’t what he used to be and Byron Jones might be better off at safety.  Morris Claiborne was finally okay at corner but he’s on a short term contract and he needs help.  Fuller is also coming off knee surgery but he’s my favorite CB in this draft when healthy.  This is good value once he’s fully recovered.

  1. San Diego Chargers: Kamalei Correa   OLB   Boise St.

This may be too low for Correa as he’s a late riser in the draft process.  He brings a pass rush as an OLB which is exactly what the Chargers defense needs.  If Correa can be a playmaker in the front seven it will make Jalen Ramsey that much more of a playmaker on the backend.

  1. Baltimore Ravens: Emmanuel Ogbah   DE/OLB   Oklahoma St.

Ogbah is an interesting fit since he’s more of a 4-3 DE but the Ravens once took a DE named Terrell Suggs and moved him to OLB and that worked pretty well.  Ogbah has good athleticism and he gives them some youth at OLB.

  1. San Francisco 49ers: Paxton Lynch   QB   Memphis

Somehow I see this pick actually happening somewhere between 25th-32nd overall as I think the 49ers will move up to grab Lynch if they don’t move up in round 1 to get a QB #2 overall.  I’m not a huge Lynch fan and I think he’s going to take some time to develop but he’s a good athlete that could develop for whoever is the 49ers coach after Chip Kelly gets fired in 2 years, yeah that Baalke/Kelly marriage is not going to last too long.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Kevin Dodd   DE   Clemson

The Jags offense is fine and they have concentrated this off season on defense and one thing they know for sure is you can never have too many pass rushers.  Malik Jackson was brought in to bring pressure inside and they hope Dante Fowler can attack off the edge but DE Jared Odrick isn’t much of a pass rusher so Dodd could be an immediate pass rushing specialist.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Vonn Bell   SS   Ohio St.

The Buccaneers got the pass rusher they wanted in Ohio St’s Joey Bosa in round one and now they come back around to his teammate Bell in round two.  The Bucs secondary is pretty bad but Brent Grimes helps at CB while Alterraun Verner and Jonathan Banks still have hope at CB, safety on the other hand is pretty bad.  Bell would walk in as a day one starter.

  1. New York Giants: Derrick Henry   RB   Alabama

The Giants haven’t been great lately and ownership is getting a little restless.  Rashad Jennings is a nice RB but Henry could be a massive upgrade.  I’m not a big Henry fan but he checks all the boxes; big, physical, fast, etc.  Eli Manning would probably benefit most here towards the end of his career having a dominant running game.

  1. Chicago Bears: Jonathan Bullard   DE   Florida

Bullard gets lost amongst the DE/DT/OLB group in this draft because his position is unclear.  He is extremely versatile and was used in so many different ways at Florida.  Bullard is strong and stout and would help the Bears as a 3-4 DE but could bring pressure too.

  1. Miami Dolphins: Su’a Cravens   OLB/SS   USC

Cravens is a bit of a mystery because he was at one time a dominant SS and enforcer for USC and then they moved him to LB.  He could play OLB in the NFL or SS but either way his versatility would be a good thing for the Dolphins as they need help at both spots.

  1. Tennessee Titans (from LA): Artie Burns   CB   Miami

Taking care of the offensive and defensive lines with their first two picks they can grab a nice CB prospect with one of the many picks they got in their trade from the Rams.  Burns would be a welcome addition to a less than stellar CB group and that’s exactly why the Titans made this trade, time to get upgrades all around.

  1. Oakland Raiders: Robert Nkemdiche   DT   Mississippi

A guy with a troubled past going to the Raiders is nothing new but this isn’t like old times.  The Raiders are actually in a positon to be a good place for Nkemdiche.  Derek Carr and Khalil Mack are the new leaders of the team and veteran coaches like Jack Del Rio and Ken Norton Jr. would be great for him.  He would be a nice versatile defensive line piece to line up at DT or DE.

  1. Tennessee Titans (from LA): Jaylon Smith   OLB   Notre Dame

This is the other reason making the trade was so huge.  Jaylon Smith is a top 10 talent in this draft with a major medical question due to a knee injury.  He probably isn’t going to play next season at all but when you have six picks in the top 76 you can take a chance on getting greatness down the road.  It’s terrible what happened to Smith and he may never be the same but if he makes a full recovery he becomes a major piece of the Titans future.

  1. Detroit Lions: Shon Coleman   OT   Auburn

Coleman is a great story because after a two year fight he beat cancer and went on to play college football at Auburn.  He’s a bit older than your normal prospect but he’s big, physical and pretty athletic.  The Lions need a new RT and Coleman could plug in from day one.  Matthew Stafford would welcome him with open arms.

  1. New Orleans Saints: Joshua Garnett   OG   Stanford

The Saints cut Jahri Evans for salary cap purposes earlier this off season after a long career with the team and it leaves them very thin up front. Garnett could step in immediately as a starter and he adds depth they don’t have.

  1. Indianapolis Colts: Nick Martin   G/C   Notre Dame

The Colts need help on the interior of their line and Martin has the ability to play both guard and center.  He isn’t the player his brother Zack is for the Cowboys but he’s pretty good and gives the Colts some options inside.

  1. Buffalo Bills: Deion Jones   LB   LSU

The Bills LB corps is nothing special and Jones would bring speed and athleticism to Rex Ryan’s unit.  His youth would be nice given Manny Lawson isn’t getting any younger.

  1. Atlanta Falcons: Hunter Henry   TE   Arkansas

TE is literally the weakest position in this draft which might push Henry higher up the draft board than he should be so he might not make it this far.  He is the only TE I expect from this draft class to help his team next year at all.  Henry is a good all-around TE and would be a major upgrade for Atlanta and he would become a Matt Ryan favorite.

  1. New York Jets: Shilique Calhoun   DE/OLB   Michigan St.

Calhoun was a DE for the Spartans but he has the size and athleticism to play as a pass rushing OLB for Todd Bowles defense.  He will take some time to transition to LB but his natural pass rush instincts will be used immediately as the Jets have a huge need to bring pressure off the edge.

  1. Houston Texans: Will Fuller   WR   Notre Dame

Fuller is a speed demon that will take the top off the defense and give Brock Osweiler a chance to unleash his arm.  The only problem is that Fuller drops too many passes but I think the Texans can live with that if he takes some coverage away from DeAndre Hopkins.  Fuller may go higher than this but he shouldn’t.

  1. Washington Redskins: Keanu Neal   FS   Florida

Neal has been a late rising prospect and he brings some much needed talent to a position where the Redskins are lacking.  They converted DeAngelo Hall to safety at the end of last season because they were so in need of players.  Neal needs some experience and refinement but he’s a major upgrade to what they have.

  1. Minnesota Vikings: Karl Joseph   SS   West Virginia

The Vikings signed Michael Griffin from Tennessee in an effort to give Harrison Smith some help at the safety position but Griffin is a 10-year veteran and his tank is on E.  He could be a great mentor and a short stopgap measure to Karl Joseph who is a pretty good safety prospect that would look very good paired with Smith.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals: Kenny Clark   DT   UCLA

Domata Peko and Pat Sims aren’t getting any younger and the Bengals need to have someone with some heft next to undersized DT Geno Atkins and Clark is a beast.  He could come in and push those guys down the depth chart and maybe one of them right off the roster.

  1. Seattle Seahawks: Christian Westerman   OG   Arizona St.

If you think I was kidding about the state of the Seahawks offensive line, I wasn’t.  Tom Cable needs players to work with and while Jason Spriggs and Christian Westerman may seem a bit on the light side for the power running game they are athletic players that Cable can mold into a solid unit.

  1. Green Bay Packers: Kentrell Brothers   ILB   Missouri

This would be a dream scenario for the Packers if they can’t get Reggie Ragland in the first round.  Brothers is the next best ILB and while he isn’t quite on Ragland’s level he is good enough to be a starter and allow the Packers to move Clay Matthews back outside.

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: Michael Thomas   WR   Ohio St.

This may seem like a strange pick but with Martavis Bryant suspended for the year it leaves the Steelers with Antonio Brown and Markus Wheaton as the top two WRs.  Brown is fantastic but he and Wheaton are smaller players.  Ben Roethlisberger likes to have one big guy and Thomas fits the bill.  Bryant’s future is murky at best so Thomas is a nice alternative to have.

  1. Kansas City Chiefs: Xavien Howard   CB   Baylor

The Chiefs need a replacement for Sean Smith and Jamell Fleming and Phillip Gaines don’t inspire much confidence.  Howard is a good athlete that would make a nice pairing with Defensive Rookie of the Year Marcus Peters.  Teams are going to avoid Peters like the plague so the other CB is going to have to make some plays.

  1. New England Patriots: Le’Raven Clark   OT   Texas Tech

The Patriots have had an interesting off season as they jettisoned young pass rusher Chandler Jones for a pick (the next one) and a OG that needs a fresh start, Jonathan Cooper.  They went out and found plenty of veteran help meaning they don’t have any real glaring needs.  DT Terrance Knighton, DE Chris Long and TE Martellus Bennett should all play huge rolls for this team.  The Patriots have Sebastian Vollmer and Marcus Cannon going into the last year of their contracts and Nate Solder coming back from an injury so Clark would be a solid investment.  Considering Clark played in Texas Tech’s high volume passing offense he should fit right in with the Patriots passing attack.

  1. New England Patriots (from Arizona): Tyler Boyd   WR   Pittsburgh

They signed Chris Hogan as a restricted free agent away from the Bills and they added veteran Nate Washington to be a deep threat but Danny Amendola could be cut at any time and Julian Edelman is the only real threat at WR.  Boyd would be a welcome addition and would give the Pats a young outside receiver to take pressure off of Edelman and Gronkowski.

  1. Carolina Panthers: Carl Nassib   DE   Penn St.

They lost Jared Allen to retirement and Charles Johnson is back on a one-year deal and he isn’t getting any younger.  Kony Ealy played well in the playoffs but he could use a hand.  Nassib played well last year and could be a strong addition to a position of need.

  1. Denver Broncos: Joshua Perry   LB   Ohio St.

Yes, I have them passing on a QB again.  They lost Danny Trevathan in free agency and could really use someone to line up at ILB next to Brandon Marshall.  Perry is big and versatile and he would step right in and play well at that position.

 

 

 

 

The Blockbuster Trade

So the Titans got the ball rolling a few weeks early in the draft season by dealing the #1 overall pick to the Los Angeles Rams.  I find it interesting that the trade happened 2 weeks out but that’s great because I wasn’t sure what ESPN and the NFL Network were going to beat into the ground for the next 14 days but now I can plan accordingly.  Since the draft is my thing and I’ve had more than a couple of inquires about my thoughts I thought I would share my views on this trade.

The Rams side of the trade; they get #1 overall and a fourth and sixth round pick from Tennessee this year.  They are getting skewered quite thoroughly by the talking heads on TV and radio from what I’ve seen and heard.  Everyone wants to point out how bad the Robert Griffin III trade ended up for the Redskins a few years ago (ironically the Rams were on the other side in that one) but that’s a lazy interpretation of what’s happening here.  The Rams are giving up two 1st round picks, two second round picks and two third round picks but it’s not the same scenario for them.  The Redskins mortgaged their future to get RGIII and in doing so they were never able to build a roster around him that could help him compete.  Their offensive line was terrible, the defense wasn’t any good and everything was on RGIII’s shoulders.  A bad team doesn’t become great because of a new QB but a good team can take a step to greatness with the right QB.  The Rams were 7-9 last year with a number of injuries and playing in a division with Seattle and Arizona.  They have a cornerstone piece in RB Todd Gurley and a solid offensive line that just needs a little tweak or two.  The defense has DE Robert Quinn, DT Aaron Donald and LB Alec Ogletree to build on.  The general consensus is that the Rams intend to draft North Dakota St. QB Carson Wentz #1 overall and while it seems a stretch to think he’s going to be some phenom his rookie year he doesn’t need to be.  He only has to be better than Nick Foles and Case Keenum were last season and that’s setting the bar pretty low.  The Rams roster isn’t lacking talent it’s lacking a decent QB.  Wentz isn’t going to be expected to throw for 4000 yards because Jeff Fisher is going to ride a solid defense and Todd Gurley all day long.  Wentz is in for a culture shock heading from North Dakota St. to the bright lights of LA but he won’t be standing in the spotlight alone.

The Titans are in the complete opposite situation of the Rams.  They have their cornerstone QB to build around in Marcus Mariota but unlike the Rams their roster is bereft of talent.  I was a proponent of them drafting Laremy Tunsil to plug in at LT and moving Taylor Lewan to RT to improve their line in front of Mariota but Lewan can handle LT and they still can get a new OT like Jack Conklin or Taylor Decker at #15.  Tunsil is good but it is definitely worth going from him to Conklin or Decker when you pick up 2 second rounders, a third rounder this year and a first and third rounder next year.  Their offense needs an OT, a WR and probably an interior OL.  The Titans defense needs a lot of help (DE, DT, LB, CB and S, did I miss a spot?).  New Titans GM Jon Robinson knows that having a great QB is nice but it’s not worth much if he’s working alone.  That’s the reason Robinson traded for RB DeMarco Murray and why he made this trade, the Titans need players not a player.  If Robinson can draft as well as he’s played the rest of this off season things will be looking up in Tennessee.

The team that may have gotten the shaft here is the Cleveland Browns but only if they wanted Wentz and that isn’t clear at this point.  If they really like Jared Goff better than this trade is great news because that means no one is going to be able to trade ahead of them now for Goff.  If they wanted Wentz they are SOL.  The silver lining maybe if someone else (San Francisco, Philly, NY Jets?) want Goff the price has been set pretty high to move up.  One more thought if you are Cleveland.  If you’re not set on taking QB you are now in prime position to trade your All-Pro LT Joe Thomas for as many draft picks as you can and you can draft Laremy Tunsil to be your LT for the next decade.  Thomas deserves to play for a good team sometime in his career, he is the best LT in the NFL.  #freeJoe