2021 NFL Draft Live Reaction

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence QB Clemson

I’ve made my thoughts on Trevor Lawrence pretty clear, he’s a superstar. I hope the Jaguars don’t screw this up. Urban Meyer might not have a lot of NFL experience but his coaching staff does. Now they just have to get Lawrence as much help as possible. They have 4/5 of a solid offensive line and they have DJ Chark, Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault at WR, that’s a good start. James Robinson and Carlos Hyde are decent RBs but they can upgrade. They really need to upgrade at TE and I don’t mean Tim Tebow.

I feel safe posting this before it’s official. Let’s go, get the show on the road Roger.

This chair thing is going to be the stupidest running gag ever…all night long.

Mike Greenberg just said Mel Kiper has been doing the draft for 43 years, and somehow his hair is still black. Going over to NFL Network.

Good Luck Trevor, it’s the Jags so you might need it. I feel confident calling this next one early too.

2. New York Jets:  Zach Wilson     QB     BYU

The Jets get their new QB and he doesn’t have to play for Adam Gase.  That makes them a winner and him a winner.  That doesn’t make me happy as a Patriots fan.  The Jets being competent is never a good thing.  These first two picks have all absolutely no drama, can we just announce both up front and forget the “On the Clock” crap.  The Jaguars and the Jets don’t need 10 minutes of air time to pat themselves on the back. 

I don’t feel as confident about pick #3 so I’ll wait a for that one to be announced.

San Francisco is on the clock, the draft just started.

3. San Francisco 49ers: Trey Lance QB North Dakota St.

Mystery solved. Seems like they are taking a major swing for a homerun. This makes a little more sense after the major trade. His ceiling is incredible but this means they are likely holding onto Jimmy G. Don’t worry, Lance will still start some next season when Jimmy G is hurt for 6-10 games. If anyone can get him to be his best it’s Kyle Shanahan.

BTW, I hate the interviews with the players right after they get drafted. It’s just filler BS. At least Deion Sanders isn’t doing it any more.

The Mac Jones slide starts now. Where does it end?

4. Atlanta Falcons: Kyle Pitts TE Florida

Matt Ryan is the happiest guy in Georgia. Not only did they not select his replacement but they got him a fantastic weapon. Pitts is unreal. He’s going to dominate. He should be joining George Kittle on the NFC Pro Bowl team for the next seven years at least.

The Bengals have the most interesting choice to make. Protection for Burrow or a weapon. Here we go.

5. Cincinnati Bengals: Ja’Marr Chase WR LSU

I completely get it. They go with Jonah Williams at LT, Riley Reiff at RT and try to find inside help later. I love Penei Sewell as much as anyone but I get this. Ja’Marr Chase is Devante Adams. He’s that good. He and Burrow will be lethal.

This is why draft grades have to take the whole draft into the picture. If they Bengals get a guy like Wyatt Davis or Creed Humphrey in round 2, this pick is much better.

6. Miami Dolphins: Jaylen Waddle WR Alabama

He’s Tyreek Hill 2.0, hopefully minus the off the field stuff. He’s a blur. I love what Waddle can be, now can Tua develop and actually use him.

Detroit didn’t trade out, are they taking Sewell?

Are they taking DeVonta Smith?

7. Detroit Lions: Penei Sewell OT Oregon

I love Sewell, he’s a future star at LT, I wonder where they play him for now. This will be interesting with Taylor Decker at LT, he’s been solid but he’s never been great. Do they move Decker to right side? Does Sewell play RT? Does Sewell play OG with Tyrell Crosby at RT? Sewell is for sure better than Crosby and I say he’s better than Decker. Do they deal Decker if he’s unhappy with this pick? Interesting. Took the best player, hard to go wrong doing that when your roster looks like the Lions.

8. Carolina Panthers: Jaycee Horn CB South Carolina

Justin Fields and Mac Jones slide. Horn is Joe Horn’s kid and he’s a talented cover corner. They need a top corner and he will match up with Mike Evans, Michael Thomas and Julio Jones. The Broncos have to love this pick, two QBs still on the board.

Where are all the trades we thought might happen? It was between 6-9 that was supposed to be the move up spots for the QBs. Fingers crossed my Mock Draft trade holds, you know which one.

9. Denver Broncos: Patrick Surtain II CB Alabama

First real surprise. Surtain is great and this ruins my Cowboys taking Surtain. The Broncos have Kyle Fuller, Ronald Darby and Surtain, interesting. I would have gone Micah Parsons but Surtain is fantastic, hard to argue against it. One thing, Michael Ojemudia may end up moving to safety, just a thought.

Where does Dallas go? Rashawn Slater or are they trading out? Who’s coming up for a QB?

Eagles trading with the Cowboys????? Really. DeVonta???

10. Philadelphia Eagles (TRADE): DeVonta Smith WR Alabama

Wow. Cats and Dogs making a trade with each other so the Eagles can screw over the Giants again. Jalen Hurts has Jalen Reagor and DeVonta Smith, that’s a nice tandem. Smith is slight but he’s an amazing technician with elite speed. I like him and this helps the Eagles a lot.

Bears coming up for a QB. Andy Dalton’s days as QB1 are numbered. It’s probably down to minutes.

11. Chicago Bears (TRADE): Justin Fields QB Ohio St.

Wow. They gave up quite a bit to move up here and steal my Patriots trade for Fields. Andy Dalton QB2. Fields is a monster. He’s the best QB the Bears have had since Sid Luckman. Congrats Bears fans, this is a legit move for a legit QB.

This is either Rashawn Slater or Kwity Paye. Maybe Jaelen Phillips for Dallas

12. Dallas Cowboys: Micah Parsons LB Penn St.

Okay, this works too. He’s a stud and he fills a need. They are worried about Leighton Vander Esch long-term and Sean Lee just retired. He can pair well with Jaylon Smith.

The Chargers have to be very happy to see Rashawn Slater and Christian Darrisaw both available here. I can’t imagine them taking any one else. Protect Justin Herbert. Protect the franchise.

13. Los Angeles Chargers: Rashawn Slater OT Northwestern

Good choice. He immediately steps in at LT and protects Justin Herbert’s blindside. He should be fine there. The Chargers have invested heavily in the offensive line and it should really help them out.

Jets trading up a head of the Patriots. I doubt they are moving up to steal Mac Jones. Maybe they want a defender the Patriots like. I’m fully expecting Bill Belichick to trade out of the 15th pick if Mac Jones is there anyway.

14. New York Jets: Alijah Vera-Tucker OG USC

I can’t say I disagree with the Jets taking an offensive lineman but they traded two third round picks to move up to get Vera-Tucker? That seems odd. They need depth and trading two third round picks will hurt that.

Is this Patriots pick Mac Jones? I’m fine with it.

15. New England Patriots: Mac Jones QB Alabama

Well I can only hope Bill Belichick’s draft luck changes here. I like the pick. He can do the things Tom Brady did. Very accurate, quick release, he won’t hold on to the ball too long. He replaces Newton sooner rather than later. He needs the offensive line to hold up in front of him because he’s not running anywhere.

Mac Jones is the anti-Cam Newton. He is accurate and he can’t move.

16. Arizona Cardinals: Zaven Collins LB Tulsa

I feel bad for Collins, Steve Keim drafted him so there must be something wrong with him. Actually, he’s a really talented LB, lets hope they don’t move him somewhere he shouldn’t play (like they did to Hassan Reddick a few years ago). Someone tell them he’s not a DE, he’s a LB. And Isaiah Simmons isn’t a safety.

17. Las Vegas Raiders: Alex Leatherwood OL Alabama

Yikes. I always loved Mike Mayock as a draft analyst but he sucks at this draft thing. Leatherwood? Seriously? Over Christian Darrisaw, or half a dozen other lineman. How about a defender? Your defense sucked.

It’s tough watching the NFL Network guys try to defend the Raiders picks because they worked with Mayock for so long. The pick sucked, just say it.

18. Miami Dolphins: Jaelen Phillips DE Miami

They need a pass rusher, they got a pure pass rusher. He’s a legit guy. He’s freak athlete and has more skills than just a pass rusher and he has lots of pass rushing moves. Good choice, I don’t like the Dolphins getting better.

Going back to the Raiders pick. There’s always that team that makes you go “huh”. It’s been the Raiders too many times the last few years under Gruden and Mayock. Clelin Ferrell at #4 a couple years ago. They reached for a box safety Jonathan Abram in the first round and now Leatherwood. Leatherwood isn’t a better option a RT than Brandon Parker so why draft him 17th overall? Gruden and Mayock don’t get draft value.

19. Washington Football Team: Jamin Davis LB Kentucky

Washington sucks at LB so this is understandable. Davis is an uber athlete who stands out on film. He takes over as a starter on what was a pretty good defense last season. The Washington defense should be really good. I do wonder about passing on a guy like Darrisaw at OT, they NEED a LT. NEED! Davis is a good player.

20. New York Giants: Kadarius Toney WR Florida

Epic playmaker when the ball is in his hands. They signed Kenny Golladay, Saquon Barkley will be back and they draft Toney, no excuses for Daniel Jones.

Dave Gettleman didn’t go with a big guy, Toney is actually pretty small for a Gettleman choice. Clearly they want to help Jones or they would have gone with Kwity Paye or another defender.

21. Indianapolis Colts: Kwity Paye DE Michigan

Solid choice. I would have taken Darrisaw, they need to replace Anthony Costanzo but I’m wondering if Darrisaw’s core surgery is scaring teams off. Paye’s motor is unreal and they need a pass rusher. The Colts defense is solid and Paye makes them better.

22. Tennessee Titans: Caleb Farley CB Virginia Tech

He’s only here because of is back injury, I’m scared for the Titans taking him. Farley covers exceptionally well and he’s a supreme talent but a chronic back injury is a problem for any football player but especially a CB. If he’s healthy, he’s a Pro Bowl talent. The Titans just bought a lottery ticket and with their secondary it’s understandable. They may regret passing on Azeez Ojulari if Bud Dupree and Harold Landry don’t solve their pass rushing issues and they still need a RT. Ballsy choice.

23. Minnesota Vikings: Christian Darrisaw OT Virginia Tech

The Vikings get great value trading down and still get guy they might have taken at 14. He slides into the LT spot and they can leave Ezra Cleveland inside at OG. He isn’t as flashy as other guys and maybe he never makes a Pro Bowl but he starts at LT for the next decade. He’s also a good run blocker so he keeps the Vikings running game rolling right along.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Najee Harris RB Alabama

Well the Steelers running game sucks royally so this makes sense. I can’t blame them but if he gets hit five yards behind the line of scrimmage his talent won’t matter. This pick is dependent on if they fix the line later on in this draft.

25. Jacksonville Jaguars: Travis Etienne RB Clemson

Apparently the Jaguars scouted the Tigers quite a bit. He’s electric with the ball, he can run and catch the pass. Lawrence will love having him around. This is a little high but the Jaguars offense looks legit, they are young but holy crap are they talented.

26. Cleveland Browns: Greg Newsome II CB Northwestern

Long, fluid athlete at CB. He has the size Denzel Ward doesn’t have. He should push Greedy Williams to a backup role. Newsome gives them a guy who can matchup with bigger WRs. The Browns have made some good draft picks lately, it’s weird.

The music at the draft is pretty solid. Go Whitney Houston!

27. Baltimore Ravens: Rashod Bateman WR Minnesota

Well, I guess Sammy Watkins wasn’t enough. Bateman is a great complement to Marquise Brown. Bateman isn’t as big as he plays, but he plays BIG. I’m happy to see him out of the Big Ten so there’s that.

We are coming towards the end of the first round. The Ravens have a second 1st round pick and could look to trade it. Will a team come up for one of the offensive linemen left, or maybe a edge rusher? I’m a little surprised Teven Jenkins and Azeez Ojulari are still waiting around. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah too. Where’s Christian Barmore? Still plenty of talent on the board.

28. New Orleans Saints: Payton Turner DE Houston

Okay. A little early for Turner. They just picked up the 5th year option on Marcus Davenport. This guy moved up late, I don’t see it. They aren’t that good at picking defensive linemen. Weird choice for me. I did just watch some of him this week but I’m not convinced. There are better players available.

Here comes the Aaron Rodgers stuff. Do they try to help him or do they turn their back on him again. I don’t think they will take another QB.

29. Green Bay Packers: Eric Stokes CB Georgia

Stokes is a big CB so he’s coming to replace Kevin King sooner rather than later. This doesn’t help Rodgers but it fills a need on defense. They needed someone other than King against Tampa last year.

30. Buffalo Bills: Gregory Rousseau DE Miami

He’s a good looking edge prospect with great length and he will bring some speed off the edge. He’s a nice pairing with AJ Epenesa moving forward. They have aging DEs so they need some new blood.

31. Baltimore Ravens: Jason Oweh OLB Penn St.

This guy is an athletic freak. They need a pass rusher to replace Matt Judon and the Ravens will find ways to use him. He can bend the edge he just needs some coaching to learn how to finish.

32. Tamp Bay Buccaneers: Joe Tryon OLB Washington

He’s an edge rusher and he can be Jason Pierre-Paul’s eventual replacement. Not my favorite edge guy but he’s not bad. He needs some more polish but he’s a useful player for the Super Bowl Champs.

That’s a wrap. Welcome Mac Jones to the Patriots. Nice move by Chicago getting Justin Fields, best QB they have had in 70 years.

Good Night

Draft Night

So the NFL Draft starts tonight at 7 pm (Central) and it will be shown on ABC, ESPN, and the NFL Network and I will be following the coverage. Tonight I’m going to try something I haven’t done before and we will see if it works how I want it to work. I will be reacting live on this blog as the draft unfolds. I’ll talk about the players getting drafted and my reactions along with some of my thoughts on the coverage.

I can already tell you I plan on spending more time watching the NFL Network than ESPN because in ESPN’s infinite wisdom they have decided to make Mike Greenberg the new host. This displeases me. I knew we would have a new host when Trey Wingo left the network last year but I was hoping they would pick any of the other 1000 on air people they have covering the NFL and not Mike Greenberg, not sure why they love him so much. I will be balancing out my viewing by trying to find Mina Kimes wherever ESPN is hiding her.

There are some opinions about players I care more about than others. Mina Kimes (ESPN), Daniel Jeremiah (NFLN), Louis Riddick (ESPN), Joe Thomas (NFLN), Dan Orlovsky (ESPN) a little bit and Kurt Warner (NFLN) a little. Ones I don’t care about, Mel Kiper and Todd McShay (they have become hot take guys too often), Steve Smith (NFLN) another hot take guy. Michel Irvin, Booger McFarland and Steve Mariucci, all three are incoherent at too often.

I apologize up front for typos and incorrect grammar, the editing will be minimal tonight.

2021 NFL Mock Draft Final Version

2021 NFL Mock Draft Final Version (it’s 3 rounds)

This is one of the more interesting drafts in recent memory.  The fact that five QBs could go in the top eight or even the top five, if it goes a certain way, makes it way more interesting.  There is a franchise altering QB going #1 overall and no one seems to really be talking about him.  There are several QBs that look like lottery tickets, they will change your franchise trajectory the only thing we don’t know if that trajectory will be going up or going down.  There is a TE that looks like a future superstar, a bevy of top-flight WRs and some incredible offensive line prospects.  The defense doesn’t look as top heavy but there is potential at every level.  There is plenty of depth at DE and CB even if there isn’t a superstar at either spot. 

1. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-15):  Trevor Lawrence     QB     Clemson

The Jaguars picked the perfect time to be terrible.  Lawrence will define the franchise for the next decade (maybe two).  New coach Urban Meyer’s NFL coaching career will be defined by Trevor Lawrence.  Meyer is staking his reputation on Lawrence and if you’re going to bet big, betting on Lawrence is a pretty safe way to go.  Lawrence is a generational talent who could transform the Jaguars franchise from a long running joke to an actual legitimate franchise that people respect.  He is big, and athletic and he has all the arm talent in the world and he’s the leader every franchise hopes to find in a QB.  Lawrence will walk into the Jags locker room on day one and everyone will know who leads the team moving forward.  He is everything you want from the face of the franchise.

2. New York Jets (2-14):  Zach Wilson     QB     BYU

The Jets have bolstered their team on both offense and defense with solid additions.  They didn’t add superstars but they have some very good additions.  On offense they got WRs Corey Davis and Keelan Cole, RB Tevin Coleman, OG Dan Feeney, and TE Tyler Kroft.  It may not sound like much but this makes them a lot better just by having some depth.  They decided to take a shot on getting a superstar QB when they dealt Sam Darnold to Carolina to clear the way for this pick.  Wilson checks all the boxes as a QB; size, arm strength, touch, athleticism and skill.  He burst on to the scene this season and he has made the most of his opportunity.  It wasn’t an easy climb up the draft boards considering the number of top QBs in this class but he managed to pass almost everyone to get up to this pick.  He will have more talent to work with than Darnold had and he won’t have the handicap of playing for Adam Gase, that alone should give him a shot at fulfilling his potential. 

3. San Francisco 49ers (from Miami):  Mac Jones     QB     Alabama

I’m going to disagree with this pick until Jones proves me wrong but it looks like the 49ers will go with Jones.  I would take Justin Fields but Kyle Shanahan likes Jones’ profile and thinks he will run his offense better than Fields or Trey Lance.  Jones is highly accurate and will get the ball out quickly.  I do think he can improve even if many people feel he has reached his ceiling.  The biggest question with Jones is whether he is actually as good as he looked or was he a product of the system at Alabama and playing with overwhelming talent around him?  I feel like it’s a little bit of both and perhaps Shanahan’s QB-friendly system will make Jones good look good too.  The problem is that while the 49ers have talented players like George Kittle, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk, they aren’t overwhelming better than the defenses they play, at least not like Alabama’s players are against their competition.  This is a gamble for Shanahan and the 49ers to stake their reputation on Mac Jones, they better hope he’s an upgrade over Jimmy G or this trade is going to kill them for years to come. 

4. Atlanta Falcons (4-12):  Kyle Pitts      TE     Florida

This is the first trade possibility point in the draft now but unless Atlanta finds value in trading down, they will likely stay right here and draft the best non-QB in the draft.  Pitts is a freakish athlete and he will immediately become one of the most dangerous playmakers in the NFL.  He’s not a great blocker but no one is drafting him to block, he is matchup nightmare and Arthur Smith knows how to use TEs.  Matt Ryan is basically locked in at QB for the next two years with is recent contract restructuring that helped the Falcons salary cap now but pushed money to the future.  Since they are locked in with him, they might as well try to get him as much help as possible and make it work.  The defense needs more help than the offense but Pitts is far better than any defensive prospect in the draft.

5. Cincinnati Bengals (4-11-1):  Ja’Marr Chase     WR     LSU

I’m not making any changes so far because I feel like this is where every team is going.  The Bengals have a choice to make between protecting Joe Burrow with Penei Sewell at OT or getting him a WR he has a connection with in Ja’Marr Chase.  Chase has Devante Adams-like potential and that’s going to be the deciding factor for the Bengals but I can make a pretty compelling case to go for Sewell.  I would rather have the combination of Sewell at LT and a WR in the second round of this draft than taking Chase and settling for a second-round offensive lineman.  My opinion doesn’t count so the Bengals take Chase.  I love him as a receiver and he’s a legitimate #1 WR for the next decade so I certainly don’t hate the pick. 

6. Miami Dolphins (from Philadelphia):  Jaylen Waddle     WR     Alabama

The Dolphins traded down because they just couldn’t pass up the value the 49ers were offering for the #3 pick, then they traded back up to this spot because they want to get Tua as much help as they can.  Waddle is one of the big three WRs (Chase and Smith are the others) and you can make a case he’s the best of the group.  He is coming off of an ankle injury that wasn’t quite healed in the National Championship game but as long as his medical checks come back clean, he’s a top 10 pick.  Tua played with Waddle at Alabama even though he wasn’t one of his main targets.  He can play inside or out and he has absolutely electric speed.  He’s been compared to Tyreek Hill because he’s not the biggest guy in the world but he can beat almost anyone off the line and get open in a heartbeat.  The Dolphins could surprise everyone and take an offensive lineman like Penei Sewell here but I just don’t see it. 

7. Los Angeles Chargers (TRADE from Detroit):  Penei Sewell     OT     Oregon

This is a different trade scenario and it’s not one I’ve seen anywhere else (well I hadn’t until CBS Sports published a mock draft just before I put this one up).  The Chargers aren’t generally believed to be looking to move up and most trade scenarios involve teams moving up for QBs.  The Chargers have their QB but they need a LT to protect Justin Herbert and Sewell already has experience doing it.  Sewell looks like a top-notch LT prospect and the Chargers have spent the off season improving their line but they still need a LT.  The Panthers pick next and they need a LT too so if the Chargers want a shot at Sewell they need to move up.  Once Cincinnati and Miami pass on him the Chargers trade their pick (13th overall) and their third-round pick (78th) to move up six spots to take Sewell.  He completes their offensive line overhaul and gives Justin Herbert the protection up front he didn’t have last year.

8. Carolina Panthers (5-11):  Rashawn Slater     OT     Northwestern

The trade for Sam Darnold takes the Panthers out of the QB sweepstakes for now.  They could certainly take a shot on Trey Lance or Justin Fields here but I feel like they want to give Darnold a fair shot.  The offensive line wasn’t great last year and right now they have Greg Little penciled in at LT in place of Russell Okung and that’s not ideal.  I’m not the biggest proponent of Slater as an OT but he’s a better option than Little.  Slater would give them bookend tackles with franchise player Taylor Moton at RT.  They probably still need to get some help on the interior but this is a step in the right direction to help Sam Darnold.  Darnold never played with great talent in New York and he was handcuffed by the fact he played for Adam Gase.  Offensive coordinator Joe Brady is a real upgrade and building a sturdy offensive line would be a welcomed sight for Darnold.  He also never had a player like Christian McCaffrey in his backfield and a better offensive line might help McCaffrey stay healthy. 

9. Denver Broncos (5-11):  Trey Lance     QB     North Dakota St.

I’ve been operating under the assumption that the Broncos would look to bring in a veteran to compete with (unseat) Drew Lock and I am right, they traded for Teddy Bridgewater. I actually think this is a sign they plan on taking a QB.  With Bridgewater around they can take Trey Lance and they don’t have to rush him.  Lance has had some impressive pro days and his upside is considerable.  The Broncos have a new GM, George Paton, and he has no allegiance to Drew Lock so Lock is probably on his way out of town.  Something tells me this next season doesn’t go great and they move on from Vic Fangio as head coach and clear out Von Miller after the season.  Then Paton gets to build a team with a head coach he picks next off season and the QB he takes here.  Lance won’t have to start if he doesn’t look ready because they have Bridgewater, however, Bridgewater is not an obstacle long-term.  Perhaps if it’s someone other than John Elway making the QB pick it will go better for the Broncos.

10. Dallas Cowboys (6-10):  Patrick Surtain II     CB     Alabama

This pick still makes too much sense.  The Cowboys desperately need a #1 CB and that’s exactly what Surtain is going to be.  There is some talk that teams are starting to like Jaycee Horn, the CB from South Carolina better, one problem, Surtain is the better fit for Dallas.  Horn is a press/man corner and Dan Quinn doesn’t run that type of system.  Quinn was brought in to fix the defense and he knows his system works with the right players. Surtain has the size and skill set Quinn wants and would give him two bigger CBs to work with outside, Surtain and Trevon Diggs.  I’m not sure how Dallas could mess this up as long as Stephen Jones can keep his father Jerry from doing something stupid. 

11. New England Patriots (TRADE from NY Giants):  Justin Fields     QB     Ohio St.

I have Fields slipping a little after his medical reveal the week before the draft.  Fields has epilepsy and that might explain why teams haven’t been enthusiastic about him (I really don’t know what they are thinking otherwise) and why he seems to be falling a bit. I’m not going to try to explain what his diagnosis means but at this point it doesn’t seem like a condition that will preclude him from playing football but it is a concern.  The Patriots see an opportunity here and move up four spots (probably give up a fourth-round compensatory pick, they have #140) and secure a QB for the future. With Cam Newton under contract the Patriots can be patient with Fields both medically, if necessary, and developmentally. I like Fields a lot and he’s a steal here. 

12. Philadelphia Eagles (from Miami/SF):  Jaycee Horn     CB     South Carolina

The Eagles have Darius Slay and Avonte Maddox and not much else at CB.  Slay is 30-years old and Maddox should play in the slot.  Horn has been climbing the draft boards as teams take a closer look at his tape.  New defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon has a history with a lot of different defensive concepts so it’s hard to know exactly where he will go but he has also changed defenses based on his personnel.  Horn would give him a bigger matchup CB than he has right now and he will find the best ways to deploy him.  He has benefited from Caleb Farley being a medical question mark in the pre-draft process and moved up considerably.  He’s a fantastic athlete who hasn’t always been a CB so he still has room to grow and that’s a scary thought for opposing offenses. 

13. Detroit Lions (TRADE from LA Chargers):  Micah Parsons     LB     Penn St.

I’ve decided to refer to the Lions as undertaking a remodel instead of a rebuild.  They aren’t trying to rebuild to something they had before because they have never really been any good.  They are trying to remodel their roster, that means taking an existing structure and upgrading it all around.  New GM Brad Holmes and new head coach Dan Campbell have their work cut out for them.  This team needs talent at every position, for them, drafting for need and drafting best player available are the same thing.  Micah Parsons is the best player left on the board.  He’s a special talent and he shouldn’t even be available here but there are so many offensive players going early he gets pushed down to 13th overall.  That’s a coup for the Lions.  Parsons would be the best LB they have had since…Chris Spielman?  He has the versatility to be used in so many ways and he could immediately start at MLB and be the quarterback of the defense. 

14. Minnesota Vikings (7-9):  Kwity Paye     DE     Michigan

This is a change for me because I’ve had the Vikings on the offensive line train for quite some time.  This pick is a toss-up between Paye and Christian Darrisaw and I love Darrisaw.  However, the Vikings defense was a major problem last season because DE Danielle Hunter missed the year and they had almost no pass rush without him.  Hunter is also questionable long-term for them because he may leave.  Paye is the top edge rusher in this draft and the one most ready to contribute right now.  It’s the difference between taking the top player on the edge vs. the third best OT, Mike Zimmer will want the edge rusher.  They don’t need to take on OT if they move Ezra Cleveland outside and there will be plenty of talented OGs available in later rounds.  Paye would be a major upgrade opposite Hunter and could potentially be Hunter’s replacement if he leaves the Vikings. 

15. New York Giants (TRADE from NE):  Azeez Ojulari     OLB     Georgia

There is this weird rumor that Dave Gettleman is looking at WR DeVonta Smith and it seems crazy because Gettleman is generally obsessed with drafting big guys and Smith is literally one of the smallest players in this draft.  Also, the Giants paid a huge price to sign Kenny Golladay and they have Darius Slayton, Sterling Sheppard and they took a chance on John Ross, they don’t need WRs.  What they do need is an edge rusher.  They run mostly a 3-4 defense and yet their two DEs, Leonard Williams and Dexter Lawrence, each had more sacks than any of the OLBs on the roster.  Ojulari is a great athlete, has a great motor and generally wins when rushing the passer.  He instantly upgrades the pass rush, which would in turn take some pressure off the Giants much maligned secondary.  Depending on how Gettleman feels about Nate Solder coming back after opting out last season, you could convince me he drafts Christian Darrisaw.  It would be strange after drafting Andrew Thomas and Matt Peart last year but I put nothing past Gettleman. 

16. Washington FT (TRADE from Arizona):  Christian Darrisaw     OT     Virginia Tech

Washington makes a move up in this mock draft too but instead of making a major trade up to get a QB they move up to get the LT they desperately need.  If Darrisaw starts to slip a little bit, Washington might see an opportunity and look to move ahead of the Raiders and Dolphins, two teams that would have to consider upgrades to their offensive lines.  Washington hasn’t adequately replaced Trent Williams at LT and with QB Ryan Fitzpatrick their likely new starter they need to protect him, he’s not exactly fleet of foot.  Darrisaw is a prototypical LT and would be an immediate starter and a huge upgrade over what they presently have on the blindside.  Making a move up four spots at this point in the draft shouldn’t be overly expensive in terms of draft assets and getting ahead of a couple of teams to secure Darrisaw would be a wise move. 

17. Las Vegas Raiders (8-8):  Zaven Collins     LB     Tulsa

Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock like to zag when everyone expects them to zig, or maybe it’s the other way around.  The Raiders need help at CB and on the offensive line but they go for a LB a little earlier than LBs typically go.  Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah is also considered a better prospect than Collins but Collins has the size Mayock and Gruden prefer.  Collins is a versatile LB who would seriously improve that unit for the Raiders.  They have bigger needs but that has never stopped Gruden and Mayock from doing what they want to do.  Collins is a great playmaker and could line up at either MLB or strongside LB for Raiders.  His game should translate very well and the Raiders have to find ways to get better on defense.    

18. Miami Dolphins (10-6):  Jaelen Phillips     OLB     Miami

I really want to give the Dolphins DeVonta Smith here to go with Jaylen Waddle earlier just so I can say they are getting the band back together giving Tua two of his Alabama WRs.  That’s not going to happen.  The Dolphins defense had trouble getting the QB last year and they traded away Shaq Lawson (not a big loss) and cut Kyle Van Noy (bigger than they realize) so they need some pass rush.  Phillips is a supreme athlete with a variety of pass rushing moves.  He is also more developed at this point than guys like Gregory Rosseau and Jason Oweh so he can help sooner.  The Dolphins won 10 games last season and they are looking to improve on that quickly.  Phillips would give them a dynamic edge rusher at OLB for Brian Flores to deploy in many ways.  Also, Phillips isn’t strictly a pass rusher.  He has some typical LB skills that Flores would also enjoy using, he’s a better all-around player than he probably gets credit for. 

19. Arizona Cardinals (TRADE from Washington): Caleb Farley     CB     Virginia Tech

I’ve stopped trying to make sense of the Cardinals off season moves.  Trading down would be a solid move here but drafting Farley is a major gamble.  They act like a team that is one step short of a Super Bowl but they are more likely to finish last in the NFC West then they are to be in the NFC Championship game.  GM Steve Keim doesn’t seem to care about age or injury concerns, evidenced by his JJ Watt and AJ Green signings.  The Cardinals should probably look to add some youth to their offensive line but they seem to have their starters so that won’t happen.  Right now, their starting CBs are Malcolm Butler and Robert Alford with Byron Murphy as the nickel, that’s not great.  Farley would be the best CB on the roster by a mile if he is healthy, and that’s a Grand Canyon sized if.  Farley has a back injury that required surgery during the pre-draft process and this isn’t a one-time thing, he’s had this back injury before.  A back injury for a player whose position requires constant turning and twisting just seems like it should be a bigger red flag.  Farley is my pick for a guy most likely to drop on draft day (and by drop, I mean into round three or four) but here Keim bails him out.  If he somehow overcomes his back injury, Farley might be the best defensive player in this class, if he doesn’t, he’s the biggest bust if goes in the first round (sounds like a Steve Keim pick to me). 

20. Chicago Bears (8-8):  DeVonta Smith     WR     Alabama

The Bears specialize in disappointing young WRs, Anthony Miller and Riley Ridley had forgettable years last year.  Darnell Mooney showed some flashes but that’s about it.  Allen Robinson is a bona fide #1 WR but he is on a one-year franchise tag contract and they need more help.  The Bears are seen as a team that needs offensive line and QB help first, however, WR can’t be overlooked.  Smith is a supreme talent and the only reason he falls this far is because the one major knock on him is his size and it was only confirmed by his weigh in the week before the draft.  Smith is 6’1 so he has plenty of height, unfortunately he weighed in 166 lbs. which is even lower than the expected 170-175 lbs. teams were hoping to see.  Smith wins with technique, footwork and speed but there is a serious concern that he won’t be able to handle the physical nature of the NFL at his size.  I really like Smith’s game but I can’t completely dismiss the concerns so he falls, the Bears would be lucky to have him.  Now they just have to find a real QB to throw to him…and Robinson. 

21. Indianapolis Colts (11-5):  Teven Jenkins     OT     Oklahoma St.

The Colts made a major move trading for Carson Wentz to be their new QB after having Phillip Rivers for one year.  They really shouldn’t make the same mistake the Eagles made which was letting the offensive line fall apart in front of Wentz.  The Colts have had one of the best offensive lines in football over the past several years and four starters return.  The one guy they are missing is stalwart LT Anthony Costanzo who retired.  The team only signed Sam Tevi, the former Chargers starter, as a possible replacement and that’s not a great plan.  Jenkins is a step below guys like Penei Sewell, Rashawn Slater and Christian Darrisaw, as a prospect but he’s still a starting caliber LT.  Costanzo was never the best LT in the league but he was a proven starter and solid as a rock.  Jenkins is a better player than Tevi and he would allow Tevi to be the swing tackle and provide depth.  The Colts need to rely on RB Jonathan Taylor to help take pressure off of Wentz and having Jenkins providing security on the blindside and opening holes for Taylor would help Wentz succeed.  And the Colts need Wentz to succeed. 

22. Tennessee Titans (11-5):  Rashod Bateman     WR    Minnesota

For a team that went 11-5 the Titans surprisingly have quite a few needs.  They need WR help, a RT, they desperately need a TE, NT could use someone and CB looks pretty bleak.  They lost Corey Davis in free agency and they cut Adam Humphries, they only signed Josh Reynolds and that’s not a huge help.  Bateman is a bit overlooked in this draft because the big three WRs cast a large shadow and Bateman doesn’t have elite speed or freakish size that jumps off the page.  However, he is one of the best WRs in the draft and he’s going to be a highly effective pro.  He knows how to get open and with his elite ability to go up and get the ball, he’s never out of the play.  Playing for Minnesota also taught him how to block downfield for the running game and that will come in handy in Tennessee’s offense.  Bateman plays much bigger than his listed size and he would really improve the Titans WR depth chart behind AJ Brown. 

23. New York Jets (from Seattle):  Gregory Rousseau     DE     Miami

The Jets signed Carl Lawson to be one DE but they are transitioning from the 3-4 defense under the last regime to Robert Saleh’s 4-3 look.  The one thing they never did in San Francisco under Saleh was skimp on the defensive line.  Rousseau is a little bit of a project but one thing he knows how to do is get to the QB.  If he lines up opposite Lawson the Jets will be able to put pressure on the QB and that’s where Saleh’s defense starts.  There is better depth at CB so the Jets can afford to wait until round two to address that pressing need.  The Rousseau and Lawson DE pairing also would make life easier for the Jets secondary. 

24. Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4): Liam Eichenberg     OT     Notre Dame

Previously I was operating under the assumption the Steelers would end up bringing back Alejandro Villanueva but he recently took a trip to Baltimore so he has other options.  If they don’t expect him back, they need to address the LT position.  Eichenberg isn’t a flashy LT choice but he’s a solid player and a worthy starter.  He isn’t going to be the next Walter Jones or Jonathan Ogden but he can start right away and he’s a more advanced blocker than a guy like Jalen Mayfield.  The Steelers brought back a lot of players, including Ben Roethlisberger, and they are trying to stay in the hunt for the Super Bowl, they don’t have time to develop a prospect.  This would be a bit high for Eichenberg but OTs are like QBs, they get overvalued on draft boards.  The Steelers also need to address RB and CB but those positions offer depth further into his draft and the starting caliber LTs are running out fast. 

25. Jacksonville Jaguars (from LA Rams):  Trevon Moehrig     S     TCU

For a team as bad as the Jaguars were last year their list of glaring needs isn’t as big as you might imagine.  With Trevor Lawrence arriving the offense should see a substantial improvement.  Having Urban Meyer around with a pretty good coaching staff should help too.  On defense, the Jaguars spent some money on CB Shaquil Griffin and S Rashawn Jenkins but that’s not enough.  They really need some help in the deep middle and that’s exactly what Moehrig is built to do. He’s clearly the best safety in this draft and while he hasn’t been talked about a lot, he’s a very talented prospect.  He would help in coverage allowing Jenkins to play closer to the line.  If the Jaguars have Griffin, CJ Henderson, Jenkins and Moehrig in their secondary it would be a major improvement from last year’s backfield. 

26. Cleveland Browns (11-5):  Terrence Marshall Jr.     WR     LSU

The Browns are in the enviable position that they don’t have major needs.  It’s always nice to have depth on the offensive and defensive line and I could make a solid case for them taking Christian Barmore here but I won’t.  They expect Odell Beckham back from his injury by the start of next season but they actually play better without him.  Dumping him this year makes very little sense because there isn’t much cap savings but Beckham can go after next year with no cap hit.  They need another outside receiver so Jarvis Landry can stay inside the slot.  Marshall is a 6’3 outside receiver who would be perfect as a complement to Landry. He has been playing second (and sometimes third) fiddle to guys like Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson, he knows how to blend. 

27. Baltimore Ravens (11-5):  Alijah Vera-Tucker     OG     USC

The Ravens usually go for the best player available and that’s probably Vera-Tucker here.  They traded RT Orlando Brown to the Chiefs but I’m not sure Vera-Tucker ends up being his replacement.  I could see them still signing Alejandro Villanueva to play RT and drafting Vera-Tucker to be their new LG.  There is a really good chance they move current LG Bradley Boseman inside to center to replace the departed Matt Skura and that leaves a hole next to Ronnie Stanley.  Also, Stanley is coming off an injury and they just traded away the guy that stepped in for him last year, Brown, and Vera-Tucker gives them a nice backup plan in case Stanley isn’t 100%. 

28. New Orleans Saints (12-4):  Christian Barmore     DT     Alabama

The Saints could use a WR and a CB but Barmore is just too good to pass up.  The need some help on the defensive line for sure and he is a huge get for the them.  Barmore proved to be a game wrecker for Alabama in one season as a starter and he is just scratching the surface of his talent.  The Saints have Cameron Jordan at one DE but they desperately need former first-round pick Marcus Davenport to show up at the other DE spot and they have some serious holes to fill at DT.  Barmore can play in multiple alignments and he should add a nice pocket collapsing element on the inside of the defensive line. 

29. Green Bay Packers (13-3): Kadarius Toney     WR     Florida

It might be out of character for the Packers to actually draft someone to help Aaron Rodgers out on offense but Toney is great value here.  I think the Packers move Elgton Jenkins to center to replace Corey Linsley meaning they can grab an OG later and Toney is a far better prospect than any defensive lineman they will find here.  Toney would be an excellent addition as a gadget guy and a slot receiver playing alongside Davante Adams and Allen Lazard on the outside.  It’s been a while since Rodgers had an elite slot receiver but he used to love using Randal Cobb and Jordy Nelson inside.  Toney has elite speed and change of direction ability that makes him a matchup problem over the middle.

30. Buffalo Bills (13-3):  Jason Oweh     DE     Penn St. 

Jerry Hughes will be 33 this year and he had 4.5 sacks last year, Mario Addison will be 34 and he had 5 sacks last season, the Bills need pass rushers.  Oweh would be a nice complement in the future to AJ Epenesa who is more of a base end not a speed rusher.  Oweh can bend the edge but he lacks some refinement, playing with veterans like Hughes and Addison might help him learn a thing or two.  The Bills could go with a CB or an interior offensive lineman but they went 13-3 last season so they don’t have to take someone to fill an immediate need.  Oweh has a very high ceiling and under Sean McDermott and Leslie Frazier he might just reach that ceiling. 

31. Baltimore Ravens (from Kansas City):  Levi Onwuzurike     DL     Washington

I’m not sure the Ravens will be making a choice here.  It feels like they will either package this pick with their #27 overall choice to move up and get someone they want or this pick will be a prime candidate for a trade down.  The Ravens have a pretty solid roster and two late first-round picks would bolster their depth but maybe not improve them a lot this year.  They could use the two picks to get up to draft the edge rusher they need or they trade this one for future draft capital.  If they are picking here Onwuzurike would be a solid addition to an aging defensive line.  He’s not a finished product and he could play multiple spots as a backup until they decide where he fits best moving forward.

32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-5):  Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah     LB     Notre Dame

Tampa Bay returns all 22 starters from their Super Bowl winning team so if there was ever a team that could go for the best available player, it’s Tampa Bay.  Owusu-Koramoah is a hybrid LB/S because he’s basically a very small LB who can cover.  No team does better with small LBs than the Bucs and while Lavonte David just signed an extension, it was only for two years and he’s 31.  Bringing in a guy who can take some plays for him now might extend his career and then they would have a ready-made replacement standing by.  The Bucs could go a number of directions; an OT because Donovan Smith is nothing special, d-line because Ndamukong Suh isn’t getting any younger, edge rusher because neither is Jason Pierre-Paul, or even CB because Todd Bowles never met a CB he didn’t like.  The thing is, Owusu-Koramoah is one of the best defenders in the draft and he only falls here because he doesn’t fit most team’s defenses, he fits in Tampa Bay. 

Round 2

33. Jacksonville:  Jalen Mayfield     OT     Michigan

Jacksonville needs to protect Trevor Lawrence and while Mayfield is raw, he has a lot of talent.  They only have LT Cam Robinson on a one-year franchise deal and he gets hurt often.  Mayfield can push Robinson for the LT spot and if he fails to turn into a LT, he could always move inside to OG where Jacksonville has two guys (Andrew Norwell and AJ Cann) who are both about to turn 30. 

34. New York Jets:  Javonte Williams     RB     North Carolina

It might surprise some people to see Williams come off the board before Najee Harris and Travis Etienne but not me.  I think Williams is the best back in the draft and he fits Mike LaFleur’s offense (aka Shanahan’s offense) perfectly.  The Jets signed Tevin Coleman but he’s never carried the ball more than 167 times in a season and he’s coming off an injury.  A superior running game would help Zach Wilson in his rookie year and Williams would be a dynamic partner to Coleman.

35. Atlanta: Jamin Davis     LB     Kentucky

Atlanta’s defense is certainly in a state of transition with an entirely different coaching staff coming on and I’m not even sure what defense they will run.  At this point, Deion Jones is the only sure thing at LB and Davis has positional versatility, that’s a very good thing. 

36. Miami:  Najee Harris     RB     Alabama

The Dolphins picked up Jaylen Waddle at WR in round one, they come back with his Alabama teammate Harris here (look at that, I get to say putting the band back together after all).  Harris is a fantastic all-around RB with better size and skill than Myles Gaskin, last year’s top back.  Tua needs talent around him and Alabama had plenty of talent.  Harris steps in as a starter on day one. 

37. Philadelphia:  Pat Freiermuth     TE     Penn St.

There’s a better than even chance the Eagles trade Zach Ertz during the draft and getting a player like Freiermuth would help their offense immensely.  Jalen Hurts needs all the help he can get and most of the WRs left with the value of this spot are redundant with Jalen Reagor around. 

38. Cincinnati:  Creed Humphrey     OC    Oklahoma

The Bengals need to protect Joe Burrow and it’s been a while since they had a top-notch center.  Trey Hopkins is coming off an injury and he could slide to OG with Humphrey in the pivot.  Humphrey was a three-year starter at Oklahoma and he’s going to be an excellent pro. 

39. Carolina:  Greg Newsome II     CB     Northwestern

Carolina needs a bigger CB to match up better to the big WRs in the NFL, especially considering their own division has Julio Jones, Mike Evans and Michael Thomas.  Newsome only falls here because he hasn’t been the most durable player but he has size at 6’1 and as plenty of skill. 

40. Denver:  Jevon Holland      S      Oregon

Kareem Jackson is 33-years old and the team just signed Justin Simmons to a long-term deal, he needs a future running mate.  Holland is a versatile safety who can cover a lot of ground and even line up as a slot corner.  He would be a very solid addition to an evolving secondary. 

41. Detroit:  Rondale Moore    WR     Purdue

Detroit would be wise to try to at least give Jared Goff a fighting chance to be effective.  They invested in the running game with Jamaal Williams joining D’Andre Swift and they signed two veteran WRs, Tyrell Williams and Breshad Perriman.  Those two can man the outside spots but Goff needs a slot receiver. Rondale Moore is a blur on the field and a threat to score any time he touches the ball.  He has to prove he can stay healthy but he’s well worth the risk at this point in the draft. 

42. New York Giants:  Elijah Moore    WR     Ole Miss

The Giants signed Kenny Golladay to be Daniel Jones’ #1 WR and that was a solid move.  Jones has a good connection with Darius Slayton too.  Right now, their #3 receiver spot is between John Ross, a free agent who has never proven anything in the league and Sterling Shepard, a talented guy who never stays healthy.  Moore would be an amazing addition in the slot.  He’s lightening fast and would be a real weapon for Jones.

43. San Francisco:  Eric Stokes     CB     Georgia

The 49ers need some help at CB after not re-signing Richard Sherman and Ahkello Witherspoon.  Jason Verrett, K’Waun Williams and Emmanuel Moseley are back but they are all smaller corners.  Stokes is 6’1 and he fits their zone heavy scheme better than a guy like Asante Samuel Jr.  The team will benefit from some healthy bodies up front but they could help those guys out with a talent like Stokes in the secondary. 

44. Dallas: Samuel Cosmi     OT     Texas

Tyron Smith and La’el Collins both had major injuries last year.  Smith is 30-years old, has been in the league 10 years and is coming off a neck injury.  The team doesn’t have a legitimate backup, as evidenced by last year’s disaster.  Cosmi isn’t flashy but he’s effective and he can back up both OT spots for now and he could be Smith’s eventual replacement. 

45. Jacksonville:  Travis Etienne     RB     Clemson

James Robinson was a solid find last year as an undrafted free agent but he’s more of a grind it out type and not a game breaker.  Carlos Hyde is a decent short-yardage veteran but he’s not making game breaking plays.  Travis Etienne specializes in game breaking plays.  Give Trevor Lawrence his college teammate, they were a pretty good duo at Clemson. 

46. New England:  Asante Samuel Jr.     CB     Florida St.

This one will seem strange on the surface but stay with me.  Stephon Gilmore is 30 and probably wants new contract.  JC Jackson is back on a one-year tender. And they didn’t re-sign Jason McCourty.  Samuel is a Patriot legacy, he fills a need going forward, and he happens to be one of the best players left on the board. 

47. Los Angeles Chargers:  Joseph Ossai     DE/OLB     Texas

The Chargers haven’t re-signed Melvin Ingram and they need someone to take some of the pass rushing load off of Joey Bosa.  Ossai is a pure pass rusher and he would fill that need quite well.  The Chargers also need a CB but Ossai is a better player than the CBs left on the board. 

48. Las Vegas:  Dillon Radunz      OT      North Dakota St.

The Raiders have overhauled their offensive line and for now they have either Brandon Parker or Denzelle Good playing RT, that’s not ideal.  They also need some depth and while Radunz will need to make the transition from North Dakota St. to the NFL, he’s a talented player who gives the Raiders some options. 

49. Arizona:  Alex Leatherwood     OL     Alabama

The Cardinals have four offensive linemen who will be 30 or older this season.  They need some new blood and Leatherwood is a talented prospect who can fill in at a number of different spots as a backup for now.  He can be a future starter once they figure out where he fits the best. 

50. Miami:  Baron Browning     LB     Ohio St.

Miami has four picks in the top 50 and they are filling needs all over.  Browning is a LB with a versatile skill set that would complement the LBs they already have.  He can play multiple positions and he would be an excellent depth piece for the Dolphins’ defense. 

51. Washington:  Davis Mills     QB     Stanford

Washington signed Ryan Fitzpatrick and he can hold down the spot for now but they need a long-term solution.  Mills doesn’t have a ton of experience at Stanford but he’s got all the tools to be a starter in the NFL.  He can learn from some veterans and possibly become the starter in the future. 

52. Chicago: Jamar Johnson     S     Indiana

The Bears re-signed Tayshaun Gipson for the safety spot opposite Eddie Jackson but he’s not a long-term solution.  Johnson is a versatile player that new defensive coordinator Sean Desai will find ways to use.  It’s not the Bears biggest need but he’s too good to pass up. 

53. Tennessee:  Ifeatu Melifonwu     CB     Syracuse

The Titans lost Malcolm Brown and Adoree Jackson at CB this off season.  They signed Janoris Jenkins to be one starter but for now they are looking at Kristian Fulton as the other starter, not a great plan after the year he had.  Jenkins will be 33 this year and Fulton struggled as a rookie.  Melifonwu has the size and athleticism to be a difference maker on the outside.  He might not be the only CB they draft this year. 

54. Indianapolis:  Dyami Brown     WR     North Carolina

Brown is a dynamic downfield threat and that would help the Colts quite a bit.  They re-signed TY Hilton but he took a step back last season and he’s on the wrong side of 30.  Brown would be a nice weapon for Carson Wentz moving forward and his skills pair nicely with Michael Pittman Jr. 

55. Pittsburgh:  Joe Tryon     OLB     Washington

The Steelers lost Bud Dupree and they need someone other than Alex Highsmith to play opposite TJ Watt so he doesn’t have to carry the load alone.  Tryon is a versatile pass rusher but I think he fits best as an OLB in a 3-4 defense.  He needs to refine his skills but he can learn a lot from Watt and maximize his talent. 

56. Seattle: Jackson Carman     OT     Clemson

Carman was Trevor Lawrence’s left tackle for the last several years and he’s a massive human being with elite power.  He doesn’t have the lateral mobility to play LT in the NFL but he could be a RT.  Carman is an elite run blocker with his size and power and the Seahawks could use an upgrade at RT.  He will make Russell Wilson happy as he’s been begging for some offensive line help but he’ll make Chris Carson and the running game even happier.  The Seahawks don’t have a first round pick after trading it to the Jets for Jamal Adams so this is their first pick.  Carman fits both a major need for the Seahawks and this is his value spot, end of the second round. 

57. Los Angeles Rams:  Wyatt Davis     OG     Ohio St.

The Rams traded away their first-round pick for Jalen Ramsey last year so this is their first pick in this draft.  They need to address the offensive line and they should probably do it more than once.  C Austin Blythe left for the Chiefs in free agency and they weren’t exactly stacked on the inside to begin with.  Brian Allen should slide in at center but he’s not great and David Edwards and Austin Corbett aren’t world-beaters at OG.  They really should address LT with Andrew Whitworth pushing 40 but there isn’t great value at OT here.  Davis is an immediate starter at OG and he would be a nice start in front of Matt Stafford.  He fits their blocking scheme and he will be a mainstay for the next decade.

58. Kansas City:  Carlos Basham Jr.     DE     Wake Forest

The Chiefs traded their first-round pick to the Ravens for LT Orlando Brown Jr. filling their biggest need.  They have other holes to fill like CB and they could even use a WR to replace Sammy Watkins.  However, they lost Tanoh Kpassagnon at DE and while he wasn’t great, he was a solid player.  They don’t have a veteran replacement so they can look to the draft to find one.  Basham is a stout player with a strong build and he will play the left end spot opposite Frank Clark.  Clark is the flashy pass rusher while Basham can get to the QB with his strong play and versatile moves.

59. Cleveland:  Nick Bolton     LB     Missouri

The Browns signed Anthony Walker at MLB to improve their run defense but he’s only signed for one year.  Bolton is a prototypical MLB prospect who tackles everything in sight and he would be a great addition to the LB corps.  This is also the Browns going for the best player available, Bolton has a chance to be an excellent pro. 

60. New Orleans:  Elijah Molden     CB     Washington

The Saints need help at CB.  Molden might strictly be a nickel corner in the NFL due to his slight frame but he’s going to be excellent at it.  He’s one of the more naturally gifted inside cover guys.  It’s not an easy position to play and it has become a major piece on every defense.  Molden makes the Saints defense better. 

61. Buffalo:  Richie Grant     S     UCF

The Bills have a starting safety duo of Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde, a solid duo but they are both over the age of 30 and there isn’t much depth.  Grant is a versatile safety who can back up both spots and he’s a pretty impressive playmaker on the back end. 

62. Green Bay:  Daviyon Nixon     DT     Iowa

The Packers have Kenny Clark inside on the defensive line but they don’t have much else in terms of playmakers up front.  Nixon has taken a fall down draft boards for some unknown reason but the Packers have a history of taking Iowa guys and they will trust Kirk Ferentz’s word about Nixon.  Nixon was a pocket collapsing menace in his one season as a starter for the Hawkeyes, the Packers need that type of player up front. 

63. Kansas City: Landon Dickerson     OL     Alabama

The Chiefs have overhauled their offensive line with new starters; LT Orlando Brown Jr, LG Joe Thuney, C Austin Blythe and RG Kyle Long.  Mike Remmers is slated to start at RT but I don’t think that will actually be the case (they either re-sign Mitchell Schwartz or Lucas Niang wins the job).  Dickerson is a talented player with experience at all five line positions but a long injury history.  He’s best inside and with Kyle Long coming off retirement Dickerson would be a nice backup to have.  Dickerson is a bit of a gamble due to his extensive injury history but the Chiefs are built to take a chance here. 

64. Tampa Bay:  Amon-Ra St. Brown     WR     USC

The Bucs just re-signed Antonio Brown but it’s a one-year deal.  Chris Godwin is also on a one-year franchise contract.  St. Brown is a versatile talent who could play a lot like Godwin being equally adept at playing outside or in the slot.  For now, he would make a solid fourth WR depending on how they use Scotty Miller going forward.

Round 3

65. Jacksonville:  Brevin Jordan     TE     Miami

The Jaguars TE group is underwhelming to say the least.  Jordan would bring a dynamic pass catching element the group just doesn’t possess.

66. New York Jets:  Paulson Adebo     CB     Stanford

The Jets secondary is woefully short at CB.  Adebo was once considered a top prospect, he’s fallen a bit but he’s still a potential starting CB in the NFL.

67. Houston:  Trill Williams     DB     Syracuse

Houston finally gets to make a pick after trading away their top two picks.  This team has a lot of needs on the defensive side of the ball and a few notable ones on offense.  After losing stalwarts on defense like JJ Watt, Jadeveon Clowney, Brian Cushing and Bernardrick McKinney over the last several years the front seven needs plenty of help.  However, they have patched some of these holes with middling veterans but their secondary is a bit thin.  CBs Vernon Hargreaves and Bradley Roby are set to start with FS Justin Reid set at his spot.  Desmond King was signed and I would expect him to be the nickel corner where he once excelled for the Chargers.  They don’t have a true SS safety and that leaves former CB Lonnie Johnson potentially for that spot.  Trill Williams a big CB at 6’2 and he has played all over the secondary at Syracuse.  He could help out at CB or play safety too.  I’m not expecting the Texans to get this pick right just given their moves this off season but they can hope they luck into a good player.

68. Atlanta:  Michael Carter     RB     North Carolina

The Falcons brought in Mike Davis who had a good year in Carolina as Christian McCaffrey’s replacement.  Davis is a very tough between-the-tackles type of runner but he isn’t a big play threat.  Carter is used to working in a tandem and he would be an outstanding complement to Davis.

69. Cincinnati:  Quincy Roche     DE     Miami

The Bengals signed Trey Hendrickson but he’s never been a full-time starter in the NFL.  Sam Hubbard isn’t great at getting to the QB, he had only two sacks last season and has never had more than 8.5 in a season.  Roche isn’t really big enough to be a full-time DE but he would be an excellent third DE as a designated pass rusher. 

70. Philadelphia: Nico Collins     WR     Michigan

The Eagles have Jalen Reagor and Greg Ward as two of their top WRs.  Former second round pick JJ Arcega-Whiteside hasn’t really panned out so they need some size at WR.  Collins is 6’4 215 lbs. and still has good deep speed.  He would help the offense quite a bit.

71. Denver: Jabril Cox     LB     LSU

Alexander Johnson is a free agent at the end of the year and the Broncos could use a coverage LB to pair inside with Josey Jewell.  Cox is a very good coverage LB and he would grow into the position during his rookie year.

72. Detroit: Tommy Togiai     DT     Ohio St.

The only DT of note is Michael Brockers, a guy they traded for this off season, and he’ll be 31 at the end of the year.  The other starter is likely to be Nick Williams, he’s already 31.  They need some youth, Togiai isn’t flashy but he’s steady and that’s what you want in round three.

73. Carolina:  Kenneth Gainwell     RB     Memphis

Gainwell isn’t a traditional running back, he’s more of a slot back.  He can play RB which the Panthers may need since they lost Mike Davis as Christian McCaffrey’s backup.  Gainwell could also fill the Curtis Samuel role since he left in free agency.  He’s a good fit here.

74. Washington: Cameron McGrone     LB     Michigan

McGrone is a talented young guy with not a lot of experience.  Washington has Jon Bostic at MLB, a guy with a ton of experience but not a lot of talent.  Bostic can hold down the spot while McGrone learns and then he can replace him.  Bostic is used to it; he’s been on half the teams in the league.

75. Dallas: Pete Werner     LB     Ohio St.

Dallas just had Sean Lee finally retire and Leighton Vander Esch has an injury history that might make his future in Dallas a bit hazy.  Werner is a good coverage LB who can play all three downs and would be a nice addition to group in flux.

 76. New York Giants:  Tommy Tremble     TE     Notre Dame

Evan Engram is an exciting player, when he plays.  He’s just hurt too often.  The team signed Kyle Rudolph but he’s 31 and coming off an injury, he’s a stopgap measure at best.  Tremble s more like Engram, a true pass catching threat that you really don’t want to use as an inline blocker.  Tremble is raw but maybe he’ll be more available than Engram. 

77. New England: Dylan Moses     LB     Alabama

The Patriots have Kyle Van Noy coming back from Miami and Dont’a Hightower back from an opt out season.  Both are over 30 and if anyone is going to take an Alabama LB a little higher than he should, it’s Belichick.  Moses is solid prospect who would have gone higher before but he had an injury, Belichick won’t care. 

78. Detroit (TRADE):  Andre Cisco     S     Syracuse

Cisco is a ballhawk who gambles too much and gets beat when he shouldn’t.  New defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn was a long-time NFL defensive back who can hopefully coach that out of him.  Talented kid, just needs some coaching.    

79. Minnesota: Josh Myers     OL     Ohio St.

Myers could be a center or guard but for the Vikings he ends up at guard and allows them to move Ezra Cleveland outside to LT.  They have to address the offensive line after addressing the defensive line in round one. 

80. Las Vegas:  Tyson Campbell     CB      Georgia

Campbell is a tall outside CB who would allow the Raiders the ability to move Damon Arnette into the slot when teams have bigger slot receivers to cover.  Campbell is still a bit raw but he’s worth a third-round pick.

81. Las Vegas: Quinn Meinerz     C/G     Wisconsin-Whitewater

A Division III player who held his own at the Senior Bowl seems right up Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock’s alley.  Meinerz wins with his toughness and demeanor.  The Raiders will eventually have to replace Richie Incognito, Meinerz could be the guy. 

82. Miami:  Janarius Robinson     DE     Florida St.

Robinson would give the Dolphins some depth at DE and he can give them some pressure off the edge.  He wasn’t highly productive at Florida St. but no one really was, he’s a solid addition. 

83. Washington: Hunter Long     TE     Boston College

Long isn’t the epic playmaker Kyle Pitts will be or the athlete Brevin Jordan is but he’s a highly productive TE and Washington could use one of those. 

84. Chicago:  Kellen Mond     QB     Texas A&M

This is a round later than I had him going before but I feel like the QBs will drop a bit after the top five.  Chicago still has to do something besides Andy Dalton and Mond would be solid value here.

85. Philadelphia:  Alim McNeill     DT     North Carolina St.

Fletcher Cox will be 31 this year and beyond him and Javon Hargrave the Eagles don’t have much depth at DT.  McNeill is a bit raw but he would have some time to develop and in the mean time he’s a solid run stuffer up front.

86. Tennessee:  Spencer Brown     OT     Northern Iowa

Brown is a tall prospect at 6’8 and offers great length.  He played RT at UNI and that’s where Tennessee would need him.  He has some developing to do but the team whiffed on first rounder Isaiah Wilson last year due to off-the-field issues so they would be happy to take some time to develop a solid citizen.

87. New York Jets:  Dwayne Eskridge     WR     Western Michigan

It’s possible the Jets let Jamison Crowder go for salary cap purposes and having Eskridge around would make that easier.  He can play inside or outside at WR and he could become the primary return man. 

88. Pittsburgh: Milton Williams     DL     Louisiana Tech

Cameron Heyward will be 33 and Tyson Alualu will be 34 this season.  The Steelers need some youth and Williams is a guy that’s a bit of a tweener.  He’s not really fast enough to be a pure pass rusher and not big enough to play exclusively inside, he’s perfect for Pittsburgh’s 3-4 defense. 

89. Los Angeles Rams:  Walker Little     OT     Stanford

This pick would have the chance to be the steal of the draft.  I really like Little as a prospect and the Rams have to keep adding to their offensive line.  Little could back up Andrew Whitworth for the year and then take over at LT.  He’s an excellent player and Matt Stafford would love having Little and Wyatt Davis protecting him for the rest of his career. 

90. Cleveland: Tyler Shelvin     DT     LSU

Shelvin is a pure run stuffing DT who doesn’t offer much in the pass game but will shut down the inside run.  The Browns want to be better against the run, it’s why they signed LB Anthony Walker, and Shelvin would help keep the LBs clean to get to the ball carrier.  

91. Minnesota:  Jay Tufele     DT     USC

The Vikings signed Dalvin Tomlinson to be one DT but he’s not much for pressuring the QB.  Tufele is a little more versatile and he would give them some depth at a position that is lacking for now.

92. Cleveland: Ronnie Perkins      DE      Oklahoma

Perkins can be a very solid base end with a little bit of a pass rush in him.  The Browns signed Jadeveon Clowney but it’s a short-term deal and he usually disappoints relative to expectations.  Perkins is nice developmental player who can actually contribute something right now.

93. Green Bay:  Benjamin St-Juste     CB     Minnesota

The Packers re-signed their big CB Kevin King, even after he got torched against Tampa Bay in the playoffs.  They need a CB with size to play opposite Jaire Alexander and St-Juste is 6’3, that’s plenty of size.

94. Buffalo:  Amari Rodgers     WR     Clemson

Cole Beasley is 32 (his body is 50) and Emmanuel Sanders is 34.  The Bills are going to need a slot receiver replacement and Rodgers is excellent there.  This is amazing value late in round three. 

95. Baltimore:  Jordan Smith     OLB     UAB

The Ravens need some help at OLB and they have never been opposed to grabbing a developmental player from a smaller school.  Smith has all the tools you need to play edge rusher in the NFL, he just needs someone to help him figure it all out.

96. Tampa Bay:  Kyle Trask     QB     Florida

I think the league is coming around to my thinking on these later QBs, they aren’t worth second-round choices.  Trask is a lot like Tom Brady coming out of Michigan.  Not all that athletic, not a rocket for an arm, but highly effective in a rhythm passing scheme.  The Bucs don’t have a lot of needs and a developmental QB behind Brady isn’t a bad idea.  Perhaps Bruce Arians can help Trask get more power out of his throwing motion, Arians is a great QB coach.     

Round 3 Compensatory Picks

97. New England:  Hamsah Nasirildeen     S     Florida St.

Yes, I spelled that right.  He sounds like a Belichick pick already.  He’s a big safety with lots of raw skills that I’m sure Belichick will love.  After losing Patrick Chung to retirement Belichick will be looking for his next big safety, he already has Kyle Duggar but Belichick can’t help himself.

98. LA Chargers:  Chatarius “Tutu” Atwell     WR     Louisville

Tutu Atwell is speedy inside receiver who lacks polish but can take it the distance any time he touches the ball.  The Chargers don’t have a real slot receiver and Atwell will be one.  He’s also a bit of a gadget guy so he could really spice up the offense.  All those little wrinkles they missed last season when Austin Ekeler was hurt, Atwell can do them all. 

99. New Orleans:  Tylan Wallace     WR     Oklahoma St.

Wallace doesn’t exactly have elite speed but he does have elite deep ball skills.  He is the perfect complement to Michael Thomas as he would take the top off the defense and let Thomas work the rest of the field.

100. Dallas:  Trey Sermon     RB     Ohio St.

After addressing needs at CB, OT and LB first, the Cowboys take a little bit of a luxury pick.  Sermon is a talented back who should take some of the load off of Ezekiel Elliott but he doesn’t have the skills to cut into Tony Pollard’s action as the third-down back.

101. Tennessee:  Shaun Wade     DB     Ohio St.

Wade has fallen off a cliff as a prospect, going from potential first-round pick to middle rounds at best.  He isn’t an outside CB and I think he ends up at safety.  He could play some in the slot and he would be a solid coverage safety because he has some skills.  I think Tennessee will see those skills and invest in him accordingly.  He could pair nicely with Amani Hooker long-term.

102. Detroit: Brady Christensen      OL      BYU

Christensen played LT at BYU but his athletic limitations mean he probably moves to RT or inside to guard.  He could slide to LT if needed in a pinch.  With Detroit he would compete on the right side with Tyrell Crosby at RT and Logan Stenberg at RG, Christensen could replace Crosby and force him inside or replace Stenberg himself, or he ends up the backup. 

103. San Francisco: Ihmir Smith-Marsette     WR     Iowa

This would be a bit surprising considering Smith-Marsette is expected to go lower, however, he offers two things the 49ers need.  He has deep speed that Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel don’t possess and he’s an excellent return man.  His ability to go deep would help open up the middle for Aiyuk, Samuel and George Kittle and he can actually back up Samuel and Aiyuk because he can run the gadget plays too.  Remember, San Fran does what they want not what other expect.

104. LA Rams:  Payton Turner     DE     Houston

Turner has excellent size for a 3-4 DE at 6’5 270 lbs.  He would be an excellent addition to a defensive line looking to replace Michael Brockers and find someone more effective than A’Shawn Robinson, Turner would be that for sure. 

105. Baltimore:  Ambry Thomas     CB     Michigan

Marcus Peters is getting really expensive, Jimmy Smith is getting kind of old, and Tavon Young is coming off an injury.  The Ravens are the type of team to make plans before they need to and they need to plan for the future of the CB position opposite Marlon Humphrey.  Thomas sat out 2020 but he’s a pretty solid prospect moving forward. 

106. New Orleans:  Chazz Surratt     LB     North Carolina

Demario Davis has started every game for the Saints since he joined them in 2018 and has only missed one start since 2013, however, he can’t play forever.  They also have Andrew Dowell listed as a starter, that’s not ideal.  The Saints need LBs and Surratt is a pretty good one.  That’s amazing considering three years ago he was a QB.  He’s still learning but he’s a smart player and should be able to learn from Davis and that would be a very good thing.            

2021 Draft Prospects Like/Dislike

A lot of what happens with a prospect is determined by what team they end up with, the coaching staff, the team around them and how they fit with the team.  It’s one of the reasons I like taking a look at the draft afterwards and trying to see how a guy works with the team.  How is Sam Darnold’s career going if he doesn’t end up with Adam Gase as his head coach? Does Hassan Reddick end up a better player if he goes to a team that lets him use his natural pass rush ability instead of going to the Cardinals who try to turn him into an ILB?  Would Josh Rosen be starting in the NFL if he goes to a team that wants him to succeed?  These questions plague the NFL every year.  However, there are always prospects to like more than others and some guys that are harder to like.  Here are some guys in this draft that I like and then some guys I don’t. 

Quarterback Likes

Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)- This is a no-brainer but I have to mention it because even though he’s a generational talent I feel like he’s getting lost in the shuffle a bit.  He can be a transformational talent for the Jaguars franchise.  He could turn DJ Chark and Laviska Shenault into stars.  He might make Urban Meyer a legitimate NFL head coach.  If the Jaguars screw this up they should just fold as a franchise because they will have done the NFL a serious disservice. 

Justin Fields (Ohio St)- There are not many QBs I like in this draft.  I wasn’t sure I would like Fields as a prospect but there has been such a weird backlash against him that I feel like I have to defend him.  Fields is an excellent prospect, he’s not perfect but he has everything you look for in the QB.  He’s big, physical, fast and he has a cannon for an arm.  All the things he needs work on are the things you can coach him to do. 

Quarterback Dislikes

Kellen Mond (Texas A&M)- It’s not like I hate Mond but I really don’t like him as a possible second round pick.  That’s just too damn high for him.  Don’t take Mond in the second round, just wait until round five or six and take Jamie Newman instead.  He’s not a bad prospect but I don’t think he turns into a starter and I think his ceiling is being a Jacoby Brissett level backup.

Kyle Trask (Florida)- He’s also being considered as a second-round pick, that’s a bad idea.  He’s just missing something.  He’s a big guy but doesn’t have the arm to match.  He’s a statue in the pocket and that is something the league is going away from in a big way.  He’s a solid backup but I just don’t think you want him starting for you.  To me he’s Jimmy Clausen.  If you take Trask before the fourth round, you’re over drafting him, take a seventh-round flyer on Ian Book.

Running Back Like

Javonte Williams (North Carolina)- He’s 5’10 220 lbs. and he runs through tackles and tacklers with ease.  He’s incredibly hard to take down.  He has enough speed and elusiveness to complement his power and he has the hands to be a threat on third down.  Najee Harris and Travis Etienne get all the glory at the RB position but five years I expect Williams will be having just as good of a career as those two, if not better. 

Running Back Dislike

Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma St)- The Oklahoma St. back was extremely productive in his career and he’s an excellent one-cut runner who would excel in the zone blocking scheme offense.  If the 49ers draft him at some point, he could put up huge rushing numbers.  Two things he doesn’t do; he can’t catch out of the backfield and he doesn’t pass block well at all.  He’s a committee RB type of player because he’s useless on third down or any passing down.  He’s a big name, he’s not a great prospect. 

*This isn’t a great RB draft overall.  It’s basically Harris, Etienne and Williams and then a bunch of guys that might fill a specific role.

Wide Receiver Likes

DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle (Alabama)- I’m putting the two Alabama guys together because I would take either one.  Waddle has the leg injury that needs to check out and Smith needs to eat a few burgers but these two are insanely talented WRs.  Alabama is cranking out WRs like a factory and I’m on board with pretty much all of them.  Smith wins with technique and excellent footwork; Waddle is a devastating athlete with amazing instincts.

Ja’Marr Chase (LSU)- I’m really out on a limb with these first three WRs considering they are the top three WRs but they are all fantastic.  Chase plays bigger than his 6’0 height and his field speed is incredible.  He is one of the most naturally gifted pass catchers you’ll ever see and his understanding of how to set up a defender is matched only by DeVonta Smith.  He’s the next Devante Adams and that is high praise.  If he ends up in Cincinnati with Joe Burrow, look out, those two will be amazing together.   

Elijah Moore (Ole Miss)- He isn’t the most refined route-runner but when he’s in the slot he’s almost uncoverable.  His speed and agility are off the charts and if he gets into the open field, you’ll never catch him.  The NFL does amazing things with great slot receivers and he’s a great slot receiver. 

Kadarius Toney (Florida)- He does a little bit of everything and I like how he does most of it.  He’s a WR by trade but he can line up in the backfield, you can use him as a wildcat QB and he can play inside or out at WR.  He’s quick and he’s fast and it will only take the right coach to use him to his fullest extent for him to be a major difference maker in the NFL. 

Amari Rodgers (Clemson)- Primarily a slot receiver and a damn good one at that.  He’s basically in the same mold as guys like Deebo Samuel or AJ Brown where he won’t wow you with his speed or overwhelming physical prowess.  However, he just knows how to get open and what to do with the ball once he has it.  He was essentially Trevor Lawrence’s only reliable WR last season and even though every team knew they had to stop Rodgers, they couldn’t. 

Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Brandon Smith (Iowa)- I know it’s the homer pick but stay with me.  These are two of the most talented WRs to ever play at Iowa and they never had a consistent QB throwing to them.  Nate Stanley had a great overall career at Iowa but he could be a rollercoaster week-to-week.  Then they had Spencer Petras last year and he was all over the place.  Smith-Marsette has elite outside speed and while he’s a bit light (he has the same build as DeVonta Smith) he has excellent body control down the field and is a very natural deep ball catcher.  Brandon Smith is a big-bodied leaper with huge hands and a knack for making contested catches.  He a legit 6’2 and while he may only have 4.6 speed you can throw it up to him and he’s coming down with it most of the time.  Both of these guys could excel with more consistent QB play and coaches who understand how to best use their gifts. 

Wide Receiver Dislike

Rondale Moore (Purdue)- It’s not that I dislike Moore as a player, he’s absolutely electric.  My issue is he has basically played one season and that was three years ago as a freshman.  He got injured as a sophomore and missed the season and then last year he opted out after not being completely healthy.  He’s potentially a late first round/likely second round pick and there is no way I’m taking a guy with that injury history when this draft is stacked at WR.  He has the potential to be a star but if he only plays 6-8 games a year, that’s not helpful.  He’s also small in stature and probably works best in the slot and this draft has slot receivers coming out of its ears.  No chance I’m using a second-round pick on Rondale Moore when I can draft Elijah Moore in the second round or get Amari Rodgers, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Dyami Brown, or D’Wayne Eskridge later on.

Tight End Likes

Kyle Pitts (Florida)- Everybody loves Pitts.  He’s going to be a star.  He’s going to be a top 3 TEs in the NFL in two years.  Whoever drafts him, don’t screw this up. 

Pat Freiermuth (Penn St)- If he wasn’t being compared to Pitts he might feel like a better prospect.  He has regressed a bit but some of that has to do with injury and with the regression last year of Penn St’s offense.  Freiermuth is a good athlete and has very natural pass catching instincts.  He can block and he will get better at it too but that’s not why you draft him.  He’s a starting TE in the NFL next season. 

The rest of the TE class

The rest of the TE class isn’t overly impressive.  Miami’s Brevin Jordan has a chance to become something but he’s not an overwhelming talent.  He does a lot of things well but nothing great.  Hunter Long from Boston College was very productive but he lacks the athletic gifts to be a major star.  He can have a nice career but I think his ceiling is Kyle Rudolph, not Rob Gronkowski. 

Offensive Tackle Likes

Penei Sewell (Oregon)- Sewell is experiencing some of the same things Fields is going through, people nitpicking his game and not seeing the big picture.  Sewell opted out last season but two years ago, as a true sophomore, he won the Outland Trophy and was the best offensive lineman in college football.  Yes, he needs a little development but he doesn’t turn 21 until October, that means he was the best offensive lineman in college football when he was 19.  The sky is the limit on this guy’s potential. 

Christian Darrisaw (Virginia Tech)- There is a little bit of an injury worry after he had what was called a core surgery (I have no idea what that means).  There is also some talk that he doesn’t always play hard, that’s strange to me.  I saw Darrisaw blocking downfield quite often and he seems to enjoy crushing guys on the second level, hard to do if you’re not giving full effort. 

Samuel Cosmi (Texas)- He needs to work on his strength and he needs to add functional strength and weight to his long, lean frame.  He also has some technical deficiencies that need some coaching.  However, the dude is 6’7, long and understands positioning.  If he adds 10 pounds of muscle and better technique (knee bend, hand placement, etc.) he can be a very tough OT, on either the left or right side.

Walker Little (Stanford)- Little is suffering from an out of sight, out of mind problem.  Two years ago, he had a knee injury that knocked him out for the season and last year he opted out.  Before that he was a high-level prospect.  He’s 6’7 with optimal length for an OT and while he’s not the most overpowering run blocker, when he gets his hands on someone he usually wins.  He is considered a later round pick at the moment but he’s the type of guy I would take chance on.   

Offensive Tackle Dislikes

Rashawn Slater (Northwestern)- I actually really like Slater as a OG prospect, he can be an OT but I think he’s an All-Pro guard.  The one thing that bothers me is the idea he’s better than Sewell, I just can’t see it.  Slater is good, Sewell is better. 

Alex Leatherwood (Alabama)- He played LT at Alabama and won the Outland Trophy this last season but he seems limited to me.  He could be a RT but he would be best moving inside to OG.  He’s a huge man and his size will be a major advantage at guard but he’s lateral mobility limits his potential at OT. 

Guard/Center Likes

Rashawn Slater (Northwestern)- He’s a future All-Pro guard.  If he plays guard.  He should play guard. 

Wyatt Davis (Ohio St)- He’s become the forgotten man as an interior offensive lineman.  He’s not a guy that played OT in college and is converting to guard (Slater, Alijah Vera-Tucker, Leatherwood) and he’s not a center prospect (Landon Dickerson and Creed Humphrey).  Those guys get the press, Davis is just a great guard prospect.  He gets drafted in the second or third round and starts for the next decade.  He isn’t flashy but he’s what a lot of teams need. 

Creed Humphrey (Oklahoma)- Paralysis by analysis, or in this case over analysis.  Humphrey has starter at center for three years at Oklahoma, there is so much tape on his it’s crazy.  Everyone likes to pick him apart and talk about his lack of overall athleticism and nitpick anything he screwed up once.  Sorry, but he’s fantastic.  He starts at center in the NFL for the next 12 years and makes the Pro Bowl a half dozen times.  Stop overthinking it.

Trey Smith (Tennessee)- Smith is limited athletically and he is probably only built for a power running scheme (he isn’t going to a zone blocking team).  That said, he’s a mammoth human being with fantastic strength.  He needs some technical refinement so he can use his power more consistently but I like him.  He’s a late round pick but he starts at RG in the right scheme.

Guard/Center Dislike

Landon Dickerson (Alabama)- He only really played at Alabama one year which is typical because he’s always hurt.  If Dickerson could stay healthy, I would like him a lot more but he’s scheme limited (power/man) and he only ever played one full season in five years in college.  He is beloved by teammates and a fantastic leader but he just doesn’t stay on the field.  If he wants to, someday he’s going to be an excellent coach because players would love to play for him and he’s extremely knowledgeable.  However, for a guy who is likely to go in the second or third round, you would like him to play more often.  I don’t like to label guys injury prone but when it happens four out of five years, it’s hard to ignore. 

Edge Rusher Likes

Azeez Ojulari (Georgia)- This guy is just scratching the surface of his talent as a pass rusher.  If he gets with the right defensive play caller who uses him correctly, he can be the next Von Miller or Khalil Mack.  He’s fast, athletic and plays like his hair is on fire.

Kwity Paye (Michigan)- He moved around on Michigan’s defensive line and he can rush from just about anywhere.  He’s best playing with his hand on the ground and while he measured in much smaller than he was listed as at Michigan he has plenty of power and speed to make up for his lack of size. 

Joseph Ossai (Texas)- Once the Longhorns stopped trying to get cute with the way they used Ossai and just let him become a flat out pass rusher, he excelled.  As long as his NFL team does the same, he should be fine.  He’s not a standard LB and he’s not a pure DE, don’t act like he is.

Chauncey Golston (Iowa)- Yep, another homer pick, but not so much.  Golston can play many different positions and he’s good at all of them.  He may never be a 10-sack guy in the NFL but he will be a very valuable player on any defense. 

Edge Rusher Dislike

Gregory Rousseau (Miami)- He has all the physical tools you look for but he’s quite raw.  He opted out last season and he really could have used the playing time to work on his game.  I like his former teammate Jaelen Phillips a lot more and I would feel more comfortable with Rousseau in round two as opposed to round one.  He isn’t bad I just get the feeling he will never live up to his potential. 

Defensive Tackle Likes

Daviyon Nixon (Iowa)- This is not just a homer pick.  Nixon is just starting to come into his own as a player and I think his best football is ahead of him.  I think he’s best as a DT in an even front like he played at Iowa but he can play a one-gap or two-gap system.  He is a game wrecker inside and he collapses the pocket in passing game and blows up running lanes with the best of them.  Whichever team drafts him is going to love him and if he falls into round two, he’s a major steal. 

Marvin Wilson (Florida St)- Coming into the year Wilson was seen as a potential first round pick, he has fallen quite far since then.  Wilson has many natural gifts and this last season he played out of position and just didn’t look like himself.  For a guy who is now a day three pick I really like his upside.  If he can get back to playing DT in an attacking style defense, he can be quite good, and he’s excellent value late. 

Defensive Tackle Dislike

Levi Onwuzurike (Washington)- It’s not so much that I dislike him but I’m just not sure where he fits best.  He plays with good leverage but he’s not very big and playing him at DT could be an issue.  He might be best as a five-technique in a 3-4 defense but that’s not where he has experience.  I have a hard time placing him.  Depending on who takes him he’s a boom or bust guy and for a potential first rounder, that bothers me. 

Linebacker Likes

Micah Parsons (Penn St)- He’s a fantastic athlete with everything you look for in a LB.  He can play inside or outside and he’s an excellent blitzer.  I’m not totally sure what seems to be the issue teams are questioning, for me Parsons should be one of the first defenders off the board.  If he falls to the middle of round one, he’s a complete steal.

Dylan Moses (Alabama)- He had an injury that set him back two years ago but I really think he’s a starting LB pretty quickly in the NFL.  He’s smart, athletic and attacks the ball like a madman.  He’s fallen from potential first round pick to middle rounds and I think that’s crazy. All this dude does is tackle.   

Nick Niemann (Iowa)- Like most Iowa guys he’s overlooked.  He finally got notice at Iowa’s pro day when he blazed his forty.  He’s fast and athletic and he can play any LB position you need.  His brother Ben is making a living as a backup LB in Kansas City and Nick might be even better.  His versatility is key and for a guy likely to go in the late rounds, he’s a steal. 

Linebacker Dislike

Baron Browning (Ohio St)- I like Browning overall because he’s got a lot of skills and is very athletic, however, he’s never settled in at one position and excelled at just that.  He’s the jack-of-all trades, master of none.  He played well as a coverage LB this last season and that skill will come in handy in today’s NFL.  My problem is, can he find a position and stick to it?  For a guy being talked about in the very late round one, likely round two discussion, I would like to know where he will play. 

Cornerback Likes

Patrick Surtain II (Alabama)- Stop over analyzing this guy.  That happens when you’ve been playing since your true freshman season but just believe what you see.  Surtain is fantastic, he has great size, skills and instincts and he’s the best CB on the board.  If Dallas passes on him, they are crazy. 

Asante Samuel Jr. (Florida St)- Another legacy player, his father was a fantastic NFL corner for years.  If you’re looking for a man-coverage CB, this is your guy. He’s fluid and flips his hips naturally (he should, it’s in his genes).  He isn’t big at only 5’9 but that doesn’t seem to stop him.  He covers like a blanket and if he goes in the second round or later, that’s grand theft.

Cornerback Dislike

Caleb Farley (Virginia Tech)- I love Caleb Farley’s talent but his back injury scares me.  He had surgery for it and it’s not the first time his back has been a problem.  There is no chance I’m committing a first-round pick to a guy who might have a chronic back condition.  Playing CB is all about flexibility and fluidness, back injuries aren’t good for that. 

Safety

I really can’t say I like or dislike any of the safety prospects.  Trevor Moehrig from TCU is the top guy and that’s understandable but the bar isn’t set very high.  He’s a starter and his value is higher because it’s not a deep class but I’m not making a move to get him.  If he falls a bit okay, but I’m not excited to take him.  Jevon Holland is a solid center fielder, if he goes middle to late second round, that’s solid value.  Jamar Johnson is solid player too who should be in that same range, perhaps he falls to the third round and that’s good value.  Moehrig is the only one worthy of a potential first-round pick and even then, I’m only taking him if I’m good at most positions and there isn’t a lot of value in the other positions left. 

Kicker/Punter

I’m just kidding. Although I hope someone gives Keith Duncan a real shot as a free agent, even if he struggles from 50+ yards. 

2021 Mock Draft (2nd Round)

2021 NFL Mock Draft (Second Round) I wrote the 2.0 version so many times I decided to just keep going.

33. Jacksonville:  Najee Harris      RB      Alabama

The Jaguars can pretend they are fine with James Robinson and Carlos Hyde at RB but passing on Harris if he falls here would be a mistake.  The best friend a rookie QB can have is a great running back.  Harris has the all-around game to be a legit starter. 

34. New York Jets:  Greg Newsome II      CB      Northwestern

The Jets defense is pretty poor and even with Carl Lawson and Jaelen Phillips bringing the pass rush the need someone to cover.  They have Bryce Hall and that’s about it.  Newsome has good size and speed and he would be an excellent addition. 

35. Atlanta:  Davis Mills      QB      Stanford

The Falcons may have passed on a QB in round one but that doesn’t mean they won’t look for one here.  Mills has plenty of potential but not a ton of experience.  The Falcons have Matt Ryan and Matt Schaub, two very, very veteran QBs.  Mills is a solid investment in the future.

36. Miami:  Travis Etienne    RB     Clemson

The Dolphins signed Malcolm Brown to add to their depth behind starter Myles Gaskin but neither of those guys is a game breaker.  Etienne is a threat to score every time he touches the ball. More offensive firepower around Tua is a good idea.

37. Philadelphia:  Terrence Marshall Jr.      WR      LSU

The Eagles passed on a WR in round one and here they find a guy who could have gone in round one.  Marshall was overshadowed playing with Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson at LSU and LSU wasn’t good this year even though Marshall was excellent.  A big WR at 6’3, he’s a nice complement to Jalen Reagor.

38. Cincinnati:  Landon Dickerson      C/G     Alabama

The Bengals passed on an offensive lineman in round one but here they get Dickerson who is an immediate starter inside.  They need plenty of help inside and Dickerson could supplant Trey Hopkins at center or play next to him at guard but either way, he starts day one. 

39. Carolina:  Eric Stokes      CB      Georgia

The Panthers need help at CB and one thing they could really use is a guy with some size. Stokes is 6’1 and that would separate him from Carolina’s other CBs who aren’t over 5’10. Stokes has good height and excellent speed to go with his cover skills.

40. Denver:  Joseph Ossai      OLB      Texas

The Broncos retained Von Miller even though he’s expensive, that doesn’t make him a long-term solution.  Ossai is a talented pass rusher and would be a nice partner for Bradley Chubb moving forward. 

41. Detroit:  Nick Bolton      LB     Missouri

The Lions are undertaking a massive rebuild, or really just a build, you can’t rebuild something you never were.  Taking the most talented player available is a smart idea.  Bolton is an excellent MLB prospect and he could quarterback their defense for the next decade. 

42. New York Giants:  Wyatt Davis      OG      Ohio St.

The Giants spent plenty of money in free agency to get Daniel Jones some playmakers but they didn’t get help on the o-line.  Davis isn’t flashy but he’s an excellent guard who can slide in on the right side and stabilize the protection up front.

43. San Francisco:  Asante Samuel Jr.      CB      Florida St.

The 49ers lost Richard Sherman and Ahkello Witherspoon to free agency leaving them with plenty of questions at CB.  Samuel isn’t the biggest guy, or the fastest guy but he knows how to cover.  They need more of those guys.

44. Dallas: Jamin Davis      LB      Kentucky

Davis is not one of the more well-known names coming into the draft but teams certainly know him.  He is long and rangy and the Cowboys need help at LB.  Davis should have the speed coordinator Dan Quinn likes and the team needs to protect themselves against Leighton Vander Esch’s constant injuries. 

45. Jacksonville:  Samuel Cosmi      OT     Texas

Jacksonville franchise tagged Cam Robinson but that only means he’s on a one-year deal and he has never been a consistent presence at LT.  Cosmi doesn’t blow you away but he’s started over 30 games at LT for the Longhorns and he has the experience to step in right away if needed. 

46. New England:  Rondale Moore      WR      Purdue

I don’t think the Patriots will have to give up this pick to move up in round one, probably a 1st next year and their 3rd this year.  Moore would go higher but he’s a serious health risk.  He basically missed the last two seasons with an injury and an opt out and that scares teams.  The Patriots are going to need a new slot receiver because Julian Edelman is done and while Jakobi Myers had a good year, Moore is a more dynamic playmaker. 

47. LA Chargers:  Pat Freiermuth      TE     Penn St.

The Chargers let Hunter Henry walk in free agency and while they signed Jared Cook, he is short-term solution at best.  Cook is 34 and Freiermuth is the clearly the second-best TE prospect in this draft and he can fill Henry’s shoes quite admirably.  He isn’t the athlete Kyle Pitts is, but he’s a pretty good TE. 

48. Las Vegas:  Jevon Holland      S      Oregon

The Raiders have Jonathan Abram at one safety spot but he needs a running mate.  Abrams is best playing close to the line which would leave Holland to play free safety and man the deep middle, a position he can excel at. 

49. Arizona:  Javonte Williams      RB      North Carolina

In the last two years the Cardinals have traded David Johnson and lost Kenyan Drake in free agency.  No matter how much they like Chase Edmonds they need help at RB.  Williams is a beast who breaks tackles like a madman and he would be excellent value this deep in the draft, he’s a starting RB. 

50. Miami:  Jayson Oweh      DE      Penn St.

The Dolphins defense needs help getting pressure and while Azeez Ojulari will bring the heat from the edge they need more help.  Oweh is just too good to pass up here. Emmanuel Ogbah is a starting DE and he’s just okay.  Oweh could line up in many positions and give Brian Flores and his defense some more versatility up front. 

51. Denver (from Washington):  Daviyon Nixon      DT      Iowa

I do have this pick going from Washington to Denver in the trade up in my round one mock draft. Nixon only has eight games as a starter under his belt but he made the most of them.  He was as disruptive in the middle against both the run and the pass and the Broncos could use some push up the middle.  Shelby Harris, Dre’Mont Jones and Shemar Stephen are solid players but they don’t collapse the pocket the way Nixon can. 

52. Chicago:  Kellen Mond      QB      Texas A&M

After signing Andy Dalton and naming him QB1 I’m not sure drafting a developmental QB like Mond is what Bears’ fans are hoping for but that’s what they get here.  Mond has a lot of physical tools and plenty of potential.  Although, I’m not sure I would want to trust QB development to Matt Nagy and company after watching the last few years. 

53. Tennessee:  Dillon Radunz      OT      North Dakota St.

The Titans struck out badly with last year’s first-round OT Isaiah Wilson who is already out of the league after having more off-the-field issues than snaps played last year (only four snaps if you’re counting).  Radunz is making the move from North Dakota St. to the NFL so there’s an adjustment period but he’s a talented prospect who could slide in and compete at RT.

54. Indianapolis:  Baron Browning      LB      Ohio St.

The Colts lost Anthony Walker at LB and that’s a lot of production to replace.  They need an edge rusher too but Browning is a better prospect than the DEs available here and he can blitz so Matt Eberflus should be able to find creative ways to use him.

55. Pittsburgh:  Joe Tryon      OLB      Washington

Unless one of the top three RBs (Harris, Etienne, Javonte Williams) falls here there is no reason to draft a RB.  The rest all bunch together and this would be over drafting any of them.  The team lost Bud Dupree and they really shouldn’t just count on Alex Highsmith taking pressure off TJ Watt.  Tryon is a good pass rushing prospect and fits the defensive system quite well.

56. Seattle:  Ifeatu Melifonwu      CB      Syracuse

Seattle should probably take an offensive lineman to placate Russell Wilson but that isn’t their style.  Melifonwu is a 6’2 CB with the size the Seahawks prefer and after losing Shaquill Griffin in free agency, they need a CB.  He is also a far better value than any offensive linemen left on the board.  This is Seattle’s first pick in this draft after trading their first-round pick for Jamal Adams last year.  They really didn’t do much in free agency other than picking up CB Ahkello Witherspoon, he’s nice depth but he’s not great.  They did trade for OG Gabe Jackson from the Raiders and that should make Russell Wilson at least slightly happier.

57. LA Rams:  Alex Leatherwood      OL      Alabama

This is the Rams first pick after trading their first rounder to the Jaguars in the Jalen Ramsey trade.  Their big move this off season was the massive trade for Matt Stafford.  With guys like Stafford, Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and others taking up so much cap space they just don’t have a lot of room to maneuver.  They have Andrew Whitworth at LT and he will turn 40 at the end of this season but he’s still capable.  The problem is they don’t have much depth on the line and they are patching it together at times.  Leatherwood might not be the long-term answer at LT as there are many who believe he should play inside, however, he can play there if need be.  The team needs depth and Leatherwood could take one of the OG spots and be the backup for Whitworth at LT.  One thing this team must do is protect their investment in Stafford and give him the time to use their group of WRs. 

58. Baltimore:  Jamar Johnson      S      Indiana

The Ravens rarely go against their board and at this point Johnson is far too valuable to pass up.  He has starting safety written all over him and his versatility would work nicely in their defense. They need an edge rusher but none of the ones still on the board rate as highly as Jamar Johnson does at safety. 

59.  Cleveland:  Tommy Togiai      DT      Ohio St.  

Cleveland takes the best defensive player they can here and even though it doesn’t look like a huge need, Sheldon Richardson and Malik Jackson are both over 30 and Andrew Billings opted out last season.  They may need some depth inside this year. 

60. New Orleans:  Cameron McGrone      LB      Michigan

The Saints need help on defense and while CB may have a bigger need the value is at LB.  McGrone is a young guy who needs some seasoning but the team has Demario Davis to teach him.  They might go with LSU’s Jabril Cox and I wouldn’t argue with that choice either. 

61. Buffalo:  Elijah Moore      WR      Ole Miss

When you just won your division, you’re picking late in the round and you have the best QB in your division you take the best player you can get.  Adding Moore to a group that has Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, Cole Beasley and Gabriel Davis is frightening.  Moore is a devastating slot receiver and Beasley is on the wrong side of 30 and has taken a beating in his career.  Josh Allen would love Elijah Moore.

62.  Green Bay:  Amon-Ra St. Brown      WR      USC

Okay, finally.  The depth at WR in this draft means at this point there are just too many good WRs left that are by far the best prospects on the board.  St. Brown can play in the slot or outside and he would be an excellent weapon to take pressure off Devante Adams. He would also be quite deadly with Aaron Rodgers throwing to him.

63. Kansas City:  Janarius Robinson      DE      Florida St.

The Chiefs don’t have much opposite Frank Clark at DE and while Robinson isn’t an amazing pass rusher, he is a solid base end. With Clark and DT Chris Jones being great pass rushers, the Chiefs can afford a guy on the end who sets the edge and just plays his position soundly, sounds like Robinson. 

64. Tampa Bay:  Kyle Trask      QB      Florida

Technically, at the moment, the Bucs don’t have a backup QB to Tom Brady.  As ageless as he seems. he is going to be 44 this season while he has fought father time better than anyone, father time is undefeated.  I’m not a huge Trask fan but he does profile as a similar skill set to Tom Brady. Also, if there was ever a QB built to backup Brady, a guy who doesn’t seem to want someone he feels is his eventual successor sitting behind him, it’s Trask.  Trask wasn’t the starting QB in high school, he backed up Miami starting QB D’Eriq King his last three years.  Then he went to Florida and watched as they tried to find a competent starter and waited for his chance.  He’s a patient guy, he can wait on Brady to retire.